tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4380946854105905251.post2419249924165272173..comments2024-03-05T02:32:55.943-08:00Comments on AlmostSideways.com: 2015 Oscar Predictions: SeptemberAlmostSideways.com Staffhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/08672858658801711392noreply@blogger.comBlogger5125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4380946854105905251.post-26556295088416948132014-09-26T10:52:32.389-07:002014-09-26T10:52:32.389-07:00Would "The Field" include something like...Would "The Field" include something like "Tell No One" where she isn't really dead and faked her own death? But these odds seem pretty legit, except I don't think Affleck is that much of a slam dunk at 2/1. William Miller looks all Paul Dano in "Prisoners"-ish, so he is almost too obvious, but would have higher bookie odds. Scoot is always a possibility. And of course the cliche out-of-body killer of Tyler Durden, but no way Fincher goes there twice in a career. I had no idea that Minkus was in this or "Zodiac". Weird...Todd Plucknetthttps://www.blogger.com/profile/10682024154899135277noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4380946854105905251.post-86893933800310405682014-09-26T10:35:43.611-07:002014-09-26T10:35:43.611-07:00If I were a bookie, these are the odds I would mak...If I were a bookie, these are the odds I would make for the kidnapper's identity in "Gone Girl":<br /><br />Ben Affleck: 2/1<br />Neil Patrick Harris: 5/2<br />Tyler Perry: 4/1<br />Grown-up William Miller: 6/1<br />Minkus from "Boy Meets World": 10/1 <br />Scoot McNairy: 12/1 <br />Emily Ratajkowski-Saltz: 15/1 <br />Tyler Durden: 50/1 <br />The Field: 10/1Zach Saltzhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/15798264454945245748noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4380946854105905251.post-15604063641634008182014-09-25T23:20:17.223-07:002014-09-25T23:20:17.223-07:00Love is strange will be at the grand this week!!!
...Love is strange will be at the grand this week!!!<br />Also I would love to see Tyler Perry as the killer though my money is on Harris. <br />Adam Dalyhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/15870605157732168554noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4380946854105905251.post-51328523612574583312014-09-24T21:44:07.478-07:002014-09-24T21:44:07.478-07:00Thanks for the good words, Zach. I always look for...Thanks for the good words, Zach. I always look forward to your thoughts and integrity-questioning of my predix haha.<br /><br />1. I hope you are right about Boyhood. The problem is that reviews aren't the most important thing, and despite shattering limited box office records, it still was only seen by a fraction of who will see Gone Girl, Unbroken, or Birdman. It is still an underdog, but if it takes the National Board of Review to start the season, for example, then it could become a foregone conclusion that it is going to sweep (even Arquette).<br /><br />2. I am with you on Keaton. The only thing that makes his case different is that he has somehow remained nominationless (that's a word, right?) throughout his career. In fact, all five of my Best Actor predictions would be first timers...yeah that can't happen. Pitt sneaks in because, you know, he made a movie.<br /><br />3. I am prepared to hail Carell as giving the best performance of the year, but can he really win? He won a Globe for The Office, but never got anything for a movie. It is almost tragic that he makes a few serious movies and is going to get nominated or win, when Jim Carrey tried the same thing for a decade and he always got snubbed.<br /><br />4. The problem Interstellar is going to run into is Gravity. McConaughey is at his peak right now, but after winning everything in movies and TV in the last year, can they really justify giving him another one? Interstellar doesn't seem like a huge box office thing either. It is more Close Encounters than anything else, and those types aren't awarded as much nowadays. As for Miles Teller, I just think that Whiplash is going to be a big hit. It isn't necessarily my fandom. And I would love nothing more than to see Gleeson get in. He is still my winner.<br /><br />5. Yeah, The Judge's mediocre corny reviews almost solidified its Oscar candidacy.<br /><br />6. Well, I feel like Adams might be a lock just because EVERYONE adores her every one of her roles. And playing opposite Christoph Waltz and Jane Margolis has got to bring out the best in her.<br /><br />7. Yeah, I loved the Whiplash trailer and I think both actors look incredible in it. I mean it when I say it looks very Billy Elliot-ish. Good call on Tucci haha. I think the other frontrunners for being the killer/SA nominee are Patrick Fugit and Tyler Perry.<br /><br />8. Yeah, Aghdashloo was really a result of all of my other contenders failing since my last article. Into the Woods really does seem to have some great supporting parts, but it is probably way too light. Musicals are so beloved by the Academy, though. You gotta think even the panned Nine was in the top 15 in Best Picture voting.<br /><br />9. Yeah, three of those (Binoche, Knightley, Gandolfini) were in my Oscar preview back in March. I hope Love Is Strange is as good as it can be. Ira Sachs has made some good films. It's about time that Molina get that Oscar nom after being the unheralded supporting guy in far too many great movies.Todd Plucknetthttps://www.blogger.com/profile/10682024154899135277noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4380946854105905251.post-2827308655231653942014-09-24T20:14:35.746-07:002014-09-24T20:14:35.746-07:00This is obviously amazing, as usual. I originally ...This is obviously amazing, as usual. I originally wrote a much longer comment but the computer erased it, so here goes:<br /><br />1. I think you're underselling "Boyhood" a bit. At this point, it's "Boyhood's race to lose (99% RT approval, recent Oscar nominations for Linklater, the only good movie released before October not named "X Men" or "Guardians of the Galaxy"). I think I get what you're saying about how it would be the odds-on favorite a couple generations ago, when Best Pictures were inflated epics like "Gandhi" and "The Last Emperor." But let's remember that Oscar voters are generally old and nostalgic in the first place. The only thing that could be holding it back is the fact that it probably won't win any acting awards... but 6 of the last 11 BPs haven't either. If "Boyhood" doesn't win Best Picture, they might as well stop handing out the awards.<br /><br />2. Same goes with Michael Keaton -- it's his race to lose at this point. Sort of reminiscent to when Jeff Bridges won in '09 -- a loveable, legendary actor in a semi-autobiographical role that resurrects his career. Redmayne feels like Michelle Williams as Marilyn Monroe -- a great imitation, but probably won't be seen widely enough to win. <br /><br />3. And then there's Carell. Is it weird to think we may soon live in a world where Jonah Hill and Steve Carell are Oscar nominees? Let's also not forget the potential for Zach Galifinakis to snab a Supporting Actor nomination for “Birdman” a la Jonah Hill. <br /><br />4. It is surprising how little faith you have in “Interstellar.” At this point it seems like a virtual lock for a Best Picture nomination, at the very least. And I realize that Best Actor may be stacked (as usual) but in the Year of Matthew McConaughey, you really aren’t even putting him in contention? That seems like a more likely nomination than Bill Murray or Robert Downey Jr. And your apparent man-crush on Young John Cusack Miles Teller may be influencing your decision making. I wouldn’t completely ignore Brandon Gleeson in “Calvary” quite yet. <br /><br />5. Speaking of Robert Downey Jr… GREAT call on Duvall getting a Supporting Actor nomination. Just the type of schmaltzy, sentimental role by a veteran actor that the Academy loves to recognize. Almost so obvious that it could be forgotten. <br /><br />6. The only real locks for Actress at this point appear to be Witherspoon and Streep (for whichever movie they choose to nominate). I think Chastain has a fighting chance of sneaking in there if “Eleanor Rigby” is as good as some critics have said it is. I also like the Shailene Woodley pick – obvious admission of guilt for not nominating her in 2011 – but I don’t know if Oscar voters will remember the film by January. I hadn’t heard of the Julianne Moore film, but after reading a description, that role sounds very juicy and Oscar bait-y.<br /><br />7. Something tells me that even though you haven’t seen it, you are going to like “Whiplash.” I love your logic with the Neil Patrick Harris pick – feels like the ridiculous Stanley Tucci nomination in ’09. <br /><br />8. Aghdashloo seems reasonable, as long as her role is considered supporting. “Into the Woods” feels like “Walter Mitty” last year – just because it has a crazy cast doesn’t mean it’s any good. The fact that Rob Marshall is directing certainly does not help. But there’s definitely Anne Hathaway in 2012 potential here. Basically to win Supporting Actress these days you either have to sing or be black. <br /><br />9. Some other roles/films you I think have a fighting chance: John Lithgow or Alfred Molina (or both) for “Love is Strange;” Keira Knightley in “Laggies;” Juliette Binoche in “Clouds of Sils Maria;” and James Galdolfini in “The Drop.” <br />Zach Saltzhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/15798264454945245748noreply@blogger.com