Showing posts with label Oregon Ducks. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Oregon Ducks. Show all posts

Monday, August 11, 2014

Complete 2014 College Football Preview


http://www.thenation.com/sites/default/files/alabama_auburn_football_ap_img.jpgIt is finally that time of year again! My social life on Saturdays will officially go by the wayside on August 30th. I have no problem with that, however. College football is the greatest sport in existence. I spend several hours every day thinking about it and its implications, which is thrilling enough until I actually sit spellbound in front of a TV from 9AM-11PM every Saturday witnessing the pageantry and thrill ride of watching 5-10 games at any given time. Last year, I did my comprehensive preview article, which is about to be renewed for a new season, the first in 8 years where an SEC team is not the reigning champion and the first one ever where we have some form of a playoff! This article will rank the Power 5 conferences with my predictions for season-end standings, some top 5-10 lists of individuals and teams to keep an eye on, my preseason top 25, and finally my Bowl/Playoff predictions. Check it out!

Conference Rankings

Atlantic Coast Conference (#5)
ATLANTIC
7. Wake Forest Demon Deacons (HC: Dave Clawson, 1st season)
6. Syracuse Orange (HC: Scott Shafer, 2nd season)
5. North Carolina State Wolfpack (HC: Dave Doeren, 2nd season)
4. Boston College (HC: Steve Addazio, 2nd season)
3. Louisville Cardinals (HC: Bobby Petrino, 5th season)
2. Clemson Tigers (HC: Dabo Swinney, 7th season)
1. Florida State Seminoles (HC: Jimbo Fisher, 5th season)
COASTAL
7. Pittsburgh Panthers (HC: Paul Chryst, 2nd season)
6. Virginia Cavaliers (HC: Mike London, 5th season)
5. Miami Hurricane (HC: Al Golden, 4th season)
4. Duke Blue Devils (HC: David Cutcliffe, 7th season)
3. Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets (HC: Paul Johnson, 7th season)
2. North Carolina Tar Heels (HC: Larry Fedora, 3rd season)
1. Virginia Tech Hokies (HC: Frank Beamer, 28th season)
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The ACC has gotten been constantly shifting teams throughout the past few years. Adding the best of the AAC in Louisville is interesting. I would have loved to see Teddy Bridgewater vs Florida State last year. Anyway, the Hokies have been sputtering in recent years, but the rest of the teams in their division seem primed for a down year after losing key players. I see them as the unlucky squad who has to face the almost certainly unbeaten Seminoles in the title game. The bottom four teams in the Atlantic have basically no chance at challenging for the conference, so as it has been in the past few years, the Florida State-Clemson game will decide the division/conference. Also, look for North Carolina to have a nice year. Larry Fedora has had a couple years to get his legs under him. They have the talent to take the Coastal with some luck.

Offensive Player of the Year: Jameis Winston, QB, Florida State
Defensive Player of the Year: Vic Beasley, DE, Clemson
http://media.247sports.com/Uploads/Assets/701/212/6_1212701.jpg
Coach of the Year: Frank Beamer, Virginia Tech
Conference Championship Game: Florida State over Virginia Tech


Big Ten Conference (#4)
EAST
7. Rutgers Scarlett Knights (HC: Kyle Flood, 3rd season)
6. Indiana Hoosiers (HC: Kevin Wilson, 4th season)
5. Michigan Wolverines (HC: Brady Hoke, 4th season)
4. Maryland Terrapins (HC: Randy Edsall, 4th season)
3. Penn State Nittany Lions (HC: James Franklin, 1st season)
2. Michigan State Spartans (HC: Mark Dantonio, 8th season)
1. Ohio State Buckeyes (HC: Urban Meyer, 3rd season)
http://www.greengarageblog.org/wp-content/uploads/2011/11/Ohio-State-Logo.jpg
WEST
7. Purdue Boilermakers (HC: Darrell Hazell, 2nd season)
6. Minnesota Golden Gophers (HC: Jerry Kill, 4th season)
5. Illinois Fighting Illini (HC: Tim Beckman, 3rd season)
4. Iowa Hawkeyes (HC: Kirk Ferentz, 16th season)
3. Northwestern Wildcats (HC: Pat Fitzgerald, 9th season)
2. Nebraska Cornhuskers (HC: Bo Pelini, 7th season)
1. Wisconsin Badgers (HC: Gary Andersen, 2nd season)
http://www.natcom.org/uploadedImages/More_Scholarly_Resources/Doctoral_Program_Resource_Guide/Wisconsin%20Logo.gif
The Big Ten is extremely top heavy and becoming a compelling conference, but the new division realignment is really lopsided. Wisconsin should have very little trouble taking the west, unless Nebraska makes a surprising run with an unproven quarterback. The East is really where the interest lies. Ohio State and Michigan State are the top contenders, and seeing the clash of styles on a more regular basis will be amazing. Michigan looks like they are going to have a slide back this year after losing a lot of offensive talent (their only talent). Maryland appears to be one of the teams that could be a newcomer that no one can really get a read on in year one. They also have Stefon Diggs, one of the most exciting receivers in the nation. Penn State will be great under new coach James Franklin and dynamite QB Christian Hackenberg, but they are still ineligible, sadly.

Offensive Player of the Year: Melvin Gordon, RB, Wisconsin
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Defensive Player of the Year: Randy Gregory, DE, Nebraska
Coach of the Year: Gary Andersen, Wisconsin
Conference Championship Game: Ohio State over Wisconsin


Big 12 Conference (#3)
10. Kansas Jayhawks (HC: Charlie Weis, 3rd season)
9. TCU Horned Frogs (HC: Gary Patterson, 15th season)
8. Iowa State Cyclones (HC: Paul Rhodes, 6th season)
7. West Virginia Mountaineers (HC: Dana Holgorsen, 4th season)
6. Oklahoma State Cowboys (HC: Mike Gundy, 10th season)
5. Texas Longhorns (HC: Charlie Strong, 1st season)
4. Kansas State Wildcats (HC: Bill Snyder, 23rd season)
3. Baylor Bears (HC: Art Briles, 7th season)
2. Texas Tech Red Raiders (HC: Kliff Kingsbury, 2nd season)
1. Oklahoma Sooners (HC: Bob Stoops, 16th season)
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This conference is always hard to predict. Really, the top 7-8 teams could finish in any order depending on how schedules shape up. The most alarming thing about these rankings is probably seeing Texas Tech finishing second. Last year, they started off extremely hot, only to cool off due to a rookie head coach and a walk on true freshman QB. They will be better prepared for success this year, and Kingsbury is an offensive genius. Texas can take the conference, but I am more confident in the Longhorns underachieving than I am in Charlie Strong turning the program around immediately. Oklahoma is the team with all of the returning talent and definite momentum after taking down Alabama in the Sugar Bowl. Never count out offensive power Baylor or a Bill Snyder-coached team either. Who am I kidding…I have no idea how this conference will line up.

Offensive Player of the Year: Bryce Petty, QB, Baylor
Defensive Player of the Year: Quandre Diggs, CB, Texas
Coach of the Year: Kliff Kingsbury, Texas Tech
http://static.nfl.com/static/content/public/photo/2013/12/04/0ap2000000292710.jpg
Automatic Bid: Oklahoma


Southeastern Conference (#2)
EAST
7. Kentucky Wildcats (HC: Mark Stoops, 2nd season)
6. Vanderbilt Commodores (HC: Derek Mason, 1st season)
5. Tennessee Volunteers (HC: Butch Jones, 2nd season)
4. Florida Gators (HC: Will Muschamp, 4th season)
3. South Carolina Gamecocks (HC: Steve Spurrier, 10th season)
2. Missouri Tigers (HC: Gary Pinkel, 14th season)
1. Georgia Bulldogs (HC: Mark Richt, 14th season)
http://www.wbrz.com/images/news/sports/sec/GeorgiaLogo.jpg
WEST
7. Mississippi Rebels (HC: Hugh Freeze, 3rd season)
6. Arkansas Razorbacks (HC: Bret Bielema, 2nd season)
5. Texas A&M Aggies (HC: Kevin Sumlin, 3rd season)
4. Mississippi State Bulldogs (HC: Dan Mullen, 6th season)
3. LSU Tigers (HC: Les Miles, 10th season)
2. Alabama Crimson Tide (HC: Nick Saban, 8th season)
1. Auburn Tigers (HC: Gus Malzahn, 2nd season)
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The SEC West is absurd, almost as much as the Pac-12 North. Everyone is predicting a surprise Ole Miss run or a Mississippi State rise to the top. How is that possibly going to happen with what is ahead of them? I actually think Texas A&M could be a lot better than last year, but they still sit in 5th place? This is crazy. No one is going undefeated in this conference. The Iron Bowl will likely be the game of the year again. In the East, it is a much clearer path. Georgia has a ton of returning talent, even without Aaron Murray. Missouri cannot do what they did in 2013 again. South Carolina is always going to challenge. Florida isn’t quite ready to rise up yet. Whoever takes the East is going to win the SEC Championship, just because the West is such a war zone that they will all be beaten down by that point.

Offensive Player of the Year: Todd Gurley, RB, Georgia
Defensive Player of the Year: Dante Fowler, DE, Florida
http://firstroundgrade.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/07/Fowler2.jpg
Coach of the Year: Mark Richt, Georgia
Conference Championship Game: Georgia over Auburn


Pacific-12 Conference (#1)
NORTH
6. California Golden Bears (HC: Sonny Dykes, 2nd season)
5. Oregon State Beavers (HC: Mike Riley, 14th season)
4. Washington State Cougars (HC: Mike Leach, 3rd season)
3. Stanford Cardinal (HC: David Shaw, 4th season)
2. Washington Huskies (HC: Chris Petersen, 1st season)
1. Oregon Ducks (HC: Mark Helfrich, 2nd season)
http://cdn3.volusion.com/dssex.jyswt/v/vspfiles/photos/1734-2.jpg
SOUTH
6. Utah Utes (HC: Kyle Whittingham, 11th season)
5. Arizona State Sun Devils (HC: Todd Graham, 3rd season)
4. Colorado Buffaloes (HC: Mark MacIntyre, 2nd season)
3. Arizona Wildcats (HC: Rich Rodriguez, 3rd season)
2. USC Trojans (HC: Steve Sarkisian, 1st season)
1. UCLA Bruins (HC: Jim Mora, 3rd season)
http://theivycoach.com/wp-content/uploads/2012/04/UCLA-Admissions.jpg
Now, to what is unquestionably the best and deepest conference in the land, we have the teams out west. The North is going to be a battle. Oregon, Washington, and Stanford will likely split the games between each other. It all depends on if they can escape their rivalry games and how they play against the top of the South. I suspect Oregon will grade out the best, but maybe that is just a fear of getting my hopes up too far for my Huskies. The South appears to be pretty set with UCLA at the top, but USC has the talent and coaches to take over very soon. The window for the Bruins to keep their crown in LA is closing quickly. Colorado definitely improved at the end of last year, and I suspect that they will be able to fight off a few conference wins this year. I am probably underrating Oregon State again, but that has become a tradition, I guess. They should play South Carolina sometime. They are in the same boat every year.

Offensive Player of the Year: Brett Hundley, QB, UCLA
http://www.wcbsports.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/10/101913-Hundley.jpg
Defensive Player of the Year: Ifo Ekpre-Olomu, CB, Oregon
Coach of the Year: Jim Mora, UCLA
Conference Championship Game: UCLA over Oregon


Top 5 BCS College Football Playoff Busters
5. Marshall Thundering Herd – They will almost certainly run the table. They do not play anything close to Power 5 talent all season. It depends on how much everyone falls in love with Rakeem Cato if they will even be on the discussion table for the playoff.
                Toughest games: vs Ohio, vs Western Kentucky
4. UCF Knights – Yes, Blake Bortles is gone, but they had enough talent to take a BCS bowl last season. Most of it returns, and they have quite the slate of games this year. If they approach another unbeaten season, they might get enough respect to make a run at the top 4.
                Toughest games: vs Penn State, at Missouri, vs BYU
3. Wyoming Cowboys – With 3-time defending FCS national champion Craig Bohl calling the plays in an already dynamic spread attack, the Cowboys will soon rise to the top of the non-AQ programs. This year will be tough, but don’t completely count them out.
http://trendspig.com/static/e8c2248ebcb2b637006fb96b687ea5f8.jpgToughest games: at Oregon, at Michigan State, at Fresno State, at Boise State
2. Boise State Broncos – Under new coach Bryan Harsin, the Broncos will have a new look. He has been on the staff in the past, however, and their tradition of success will likely not take too much of a hit.
                Toughest games: vs Ole Miss, at Nevada, vs Utah State
1. Southern Methodist Mustangs – They have the type of schedule that if they are able to run the table, they will have a good shot at sneaking into the playoff. It is a brutal road, but maybe this is finally their return to national prominence.
                Toughest games: at Baylor, at North Texas, vs Texas A&M, vs TCU

Top 5 Defenses
5. Mississippi State Bulldogs – They ranked in the top 20 last year in total defense, and they really hit their stride late. Losses to the draft were minimal, so look for this to be that team in the SEC that is able to spring upsets simply because they make it ugly.
4. USC Trojans – The Trojans quietly had one of the best defenses last season, despite being in an offensive conference. As the sanctions have slowly gotten lifted, we have started to see the talent and depth on the defensive side of the ball. With Justin Wilcox calling the shots, this will be one of the best units in the nation this season.
3. Alabama Crimson Tide – They lose a handful of All-Americans to the draft. They also had their fourth straight #1 recruiting class filled with defensive talent and athletes. With Vinnie Sunseri returning from injury, they have their leader and rock that will make this another top 5 defense for Nick Saban and Kirby Smart.
http://firstroundgrade.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/07/calhoun.jpeg2. Florida State Seminoles – They play in a conference without too many challenging offensive attacks, and they return several great players like Jalen Ramsey and Ronald Darby from their National Championship team. They will be stifling again in 2014.
1. Michigan State Spartans – The Spartans lost a host of NFL players, but they still have the scariest defensive line with Shilique Calhoun and Marcus Rush and one of the best coaches/motivators in the nation. They will be near impossible to move the ball against again this season.

Top 5 Offenses
5. UCLA Bruins – They were clicking on all cylinders by the end of 2013 behind Brett Hundley and Myles Jack. If they continue to use the latter on both sides of the ball, then this offense will roll over almost any defense.
4. Ohio State Buckeyes – Braxton Miller could single-handedly make this a top 20 offense, but he has incoming weapons to replace the likes of Carlos Hyde and Jordan Hall. Meyer has slowly remade his Florida offense with even more athletic and impossible-to-guard players. This team should torch most Big Ten defenses.
http://thebatekeeperspeaks.files.wordpress.com/2012/10/braxton-miller.jpg
3. Auburn Tigers – Replacing Greg Robinson and Tre Mason will be difficult, but they have reinforcements in the likes of Cameron Artys-Payne and such. Nick Marshall seemed to develop some passing skills late in the year, so if this can be more than just a running attack, then Auburn should roll over the overrated SEC defenses.
2. Oregon Ducks – Marcus Mariota returning to school did wonders for this program. With returning backs Byron Marshall and Thomas Tyner, this offense will be unstoppable again, as long as they let Mariota do his thing. There is no more talented player with the ball in his hands in all of college football.
1. Baylor Bears – Playmakers leave, but seeing how they averaged 600+ YPG and 52+ PPG last year, it is clear that the backups got some time. Shock Linwood is one guy I definitely have my eye on to be the next great one at Baylor, taking his place in the backfield alongside All-American candidate Bryce Petty.

Top 5 Coach of the Year Contenders
5. Chris Petersen, Washington – He is one of the elite coaches in the nation, and if he can get the Huskies over the hump in year one, then he will officially be the best coach in college football.
4. Mark Richt, Georgia – He is constantly on the hot seat, but he has the type of returning talent to make a run at a national title once again.
3. Charlie Strong, Texas – He has all of the talent in the world on his squad, but not even the beloved Mack Brown could make the most of it. If he takes Texas to the top of the conference this soon, then he will officially be anointed as the next great one in Austin.
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2. Mark Dantionio, Michigan State – Objectively, he should have won the award last year. If Sparty can continue their string of overachieving, then his votes will come flooding in this time.
1. Jim Mora, UCLA – If the Bruins are able to get out of the gauntlet that is the Pac-12, then look for Jim Mora to start getting national notices and offers to take over one of the top programs in the nation.

Top 5 NFL Draft Prospects
5. Leonard Williams, DE, USC – He was the anchor of the improved Trojan defensive line last season. Under the new regime, look for his talent to be maximized and for him to have an All-America caliber year.
4. Cedric Oguehi, OT, Texas A&M – It is getting a little boring seeing all of these Aggie linemen at the top of drafts, but they just keep pumping them out. Playing RT for Johnny Manziel is just as important as LT, and this year he will get to show off his true talent under a more traditional offense.
http://media.247sports.com/Uploads/Assets/674/56/1056674.jpg3. Randy Gregory, DE, Nebraska – He is clearly the best pass rusher in the draft discussion. He had a monster year in his JC transfer season, and he will be essentially unguardable in his last year in college.
2. Jameis Winston, QB, Florida State – We will see how he does without most of his receivers from last year, but his poise and decision-making are far beyond his years. I am not 100% sure that he will declare, especially if he can keep his nose clean.
1. Marcus Mariota, QB, Oregon – There is always a hyped up spread QB in the draft discussion, yet most of them need work actually throwing the ball. He has some of the best arm talent in the nation to go with the WR-type speed and elusiveness. He is going to be a game-changer at the next level.

Top 10 Heisman Contenders
10. Myles Jack, RB/LB, UCLA – His candidacy depends on how much of a role they give him on offense. He was a stub at linebacker, but then he was breathtaking when he took over the full time duties on offense as well. That versatility will bring him votes…if they utilize him as such.
http://www.foxsports.com/content/dam/fsdigital/RSN/South/2014/1/7/PI-CFB-UCLA-Myles-Jack-010714.jpg
9. Ameer Abdullah, RB, Nebraska – His production throughout his career has increased and continued to garner national attention. The passing game is not going to be stellar, so just like the past couple years, it is going to be all Abdullah. Look for an insane year from the tailback.
8. Bryce Petty, QB, Baylor – In that offense, anyone can put up 5000 yards passing. He just happens to be a good, maybe even great, one. If the offense is as much of a juggernaut as the past three seasons, then he will get an invite.
7. Mike Davis, RB, South Carolina – He had a big year last season, and he will have the backfield basically to himself. In the SEC, if he has a 1400+ yard season, that is normally enough to get national attention.
6. Nick Marshall, QB, Auburn – He is going to get a lot more publicity this year with finalist Tre Mason leaving for the NFL and being a target from week one. If he continues to develop his passing, then he is going to put up scary numbers in Gus Malzahn’s offense.
5. Todd Gurley, RB, Georgia – He finally has the backfield to himself, so we really can see what he can do. He has grown up so much throughout his career. If Georgia is as good as they can be this season, then he will be the sole reason why.
4. Braxton Miller, QB, Ohio State – There is no more important player to his team than Miller is to the Buckeyes. Put the offense on his shoulders, and he will produce. Somehow, he has remained quite underrated throughout his career.
http://www.news4jax.com/image/view/-/23495980/medRes/1/-/maxh/360/maxw/640/-/x24tin/-/Jameis-Winston-with-Heisman-Trophy.jpg3. Jameis Winston, QB, Florida State – Winston has the talent and conference to become the second two-time winner ever. If he matures and improves on his stunning freshman year, then he could be right there for another Heisman invite.
2. Marcus Mariota, QB, Oregon – Mariota is going to have stats that are going to blow everyone away. They need to go unbeaten, evidently, for him to have a chance.
1. Brett Hundley, QB, UCLA – They are going to be hard to beat, and most of it is going to fall on Hundley’s shoulders, who I believe is the best and most complete QB in the nation. If they have the type of season I am predicting, then this could turn into a no-brainer.

Preseason Top 25
So much of college football these days are dominated by redshirt freshmen and sophomores, seeing how 6 of the last 7 winners of the Heisman trophy were playing in their first or second year of major college football, and four of them played for national championships. If you have the right young core, then your team will succeed. The teams with the top past few recruiting classes and the right talent-maximizing coaches will be the teams to beat at year’s end.

Others receiving votes: Arizona State, Florida, Nebraska, Oregon State, Virginia Tech

http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/1/18/Cato12.png25. Mississippi State – They haven’t had a great season in a while, but this year they have all of their key pieces returning. They are probably going to end up with a handful of losses due to their division, but they are as talent-filled as they have been in a long time.
24. Marshall – Rakeem Cato is returning to school, which is about all you need to know. He is the best QB that no one knows about. He could start at most any other school in the nation. They should absolutely roll over the rest of the Conference USA.
23. Texas – They have continued to pipe in the best talent in Texas, yet they underachieve. They finally have what appears to be the right guy for the job in Charlie Strong, who will bring a balance and businessmanlike attitude back to the program.
22. Missouri – They shocked everyone last year (I had them finishing last in the division) by making an SEC Championship appearance, but this year will be slightly more difficult. I do like Maty Mauk, though. That kid can take this team places.
21. Clemson – Losing Sammy Watkins and Tajh Boyd will be a bigger stumbling block than many are projecting. They will take a step back, but they have enough returning playmakers to still be the second best team in the ACC.
20. Texas Tech – The Red Raiders got off to a quick start last year, and basically all of their pieces are returning, aside from star tight end Jace Amaro. The offense should be borderline unstoppable this year, but they need to get a defense to go along.
19. Kansas State – We should be getting accustomed to seeing K-State overachieve with modest talent. They have a few returning playmakers on offense, and a QB who hit his stride late. Bill Snyder will make this the best coached team in the conference by week 3.
18. USC – Steve Sarkisian was able to turn around Washington immediately, and now he steps into the biggest gig on the west coast. He has all of the talent he needs, and the sanctions are basically gone. He can return this struggling program to the top of the heap in a year or two.
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17. Texas A&M – Yes, Johnny Manziel is gone, but Kevin Sumlin still has an elite offensive line and a dynamic group of returning defensive players. We have yet to see a decent defense under Sumlin, but the returnees have the experience to be moderately good.
16. Wisconsin – The team, aside from the opener against LSU, has a very manageable schedule. If they survive week one, they could run the table in a slightly down Big Ten.
15. South Carolina – Another season, another case of me probably underrating Steve Spurrier. I do not understand how he does it, but this is probably going to be another boring 11 win campaign.
14. Baylor – Bryce Petty returning to school was key for this program. They will not have the historic offensive output they had last year, but it can be close. Look for another high-flying, no defensive year for the Bears.
13. Washington – There is no better developer of talent than Chris Petersen, and he actually has some serious weapons to play with this year. This team is talented enough to take the conference, but we will see how long it takes for the coaches to implement their system.
12. Notre Dame – They are not a sexy pick to be up this high, but their schedule shapes up nicely and they will likely have their QB Everett Golson back after a season-long suspension.
http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/b/b4/StanfordUniversityFootballOffense2007.jpg11. LSU – Week one against Wisconsin will tell a lot about this team, who won’t have another real challenge until October. They were young last year, so this seems like time for the Mad Hatter to rally the troops and get in title contention.
10. Stanford – The Cardinal have become a staple in the top 10 over the past few years. Every year, it seems like they lose too much talent and seem poised for a step back. They reload, and they have a rock at QB. Look for another great year for David Shaw, future coach of the Oakland Raiders.
9. Ohio State – I find it hard to fathom how bad the defenses at Ohio State have been under Urban Meyer. That will likely change this year. Braxton Miller can put up points on his own, but if the defense is still as bad as we saw at the end of last season, then they will not make it out of the Big Ten Championship Game again.
8. Michigan State – The Spartans were undeniably the best team at the end of last season, with Connor Cook becoming one of the most reliable QBs in the nation and a stifling defense that shut down everyone. They return the key members of the defensive line and will likely have another ugly-looking season of double digit wins.
7. Georgia – Aaron Murray has finally graduated, so the Bulldogs might actually have a chance to win a big game or two. Todd Gurley should torch every defense he lines up against, as he has the past two years.
http://media.ledger-enquirer.com/smedia/2013/11/09/16/24/972-L76ol.AuSt.71.jpeg
6. Oklahoma – The Sooners finally appeared to solve their QB issue at the end of the season. Their team was really young, and they blossomed late. This team might not lose a game, but the Big 12 schedule is a gauntlet of rivalries and tough environments.
5. Auburn – Tre Mason and a host of talent left in the draft, but Auburn’s past couple recruiting classes under Gus Malzahn have assured that they are back and ready to challenge for national titles on a more regular basis.
http://img.bleacherreport.net/img/images/photos/002/642/629/hi-res-452278541-quarterback-marcus-mariota-of-the-oregon-ducks-runs_crop_exact.jpg?w=1500&h=1500&q=854. Oregon – With Marcus Mariota returning and an improving defense rising up the ranks, Oregon should be in position to take the Pac-12 North crown back from Stanford. They will likely get two shots at UCLA as well.
3. Alabama – The Crimson Tide have to replace one of college football’s greatest champions at QB, but weren’t we talking about the same thing when Greg McElroy graduated? This program is a machine.
2. Florida State – Yes, Jameis Winston lost many of his key targets on offense, but the defense is still stout and Winston will be a more mature player his sophomore season. They will almost certainly run the table in a weak ACC.
1. UCLA – The Bruins have probably the best returning quarterback in the nation in Brett Hundley. They have the most versatile player since Charles Woodson in Myles Jack. They have the right coach. This is their year.

Bowl Predictions
Chik-fil-A Peach Bowl: Auburn over Ohio State
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Cotton Bowl: Oklahoma over Marshall
Fiesta Bowl: Oregon over Wisconsin
Orange Bowl: LSU over Notre Dame
College Football Playoff Semifinal #1 (Rose Bowl): Georgia over Florida State
CFB Playoff Semifinal #2 (Sugar Bowl): UCLA over Alabama
National Championship Game: UCLA over Georgia
http://s3.amazonaws.com/assets.quintevents.com/resources/1317/large/College-Football-Playoff-Unveils-National-Championship-Trophy-QuintEvents-Front.jpg
The playoff was difficult to figure out in year one without any basis for how the new committee is going to vote. I figured at least a few SEC teams will weasel their way in there. Marshall is going to be undefeated, and the top-ranked non-Power 5 team is guaranteed a spot in the big bowls. Defending champs Florida State really have a cakewalk schedule again, but UCLA is the best and most dynamic team in the nation. They should be the champions when all is said and done. It will be fascinating to follow this race as the season goes along.


So, there you have it. Feel educated and ready for the season? Are you as pumped as I am to finally see some live games? Who do you think will be in the inaugural CFP? Let me know in the comments.


Sunday, October 13, 2013

Week 7 College Football Recap: Rankings, Heisman, BCS Projections

So, this was the most eventful week of the season so far. I may have jumped the gun a bit on Baylor, but one of the great equalizers in college football is the revenge factor. Last year, Baylor ended K-State’s BCS Title run, and the Wildcats nearly returned the favor on Saturday. Washington proved that they can go blow-for-blow with Oregon, but a couple of late scores and miscues turned the score into a lopsided venture. Marcus Mariota was really the only difference between the teams talent-wise. Oklahoma had a very Sooner-like embarrassing upset loss in the middle of the season. Stanford got stunned in Utah. A few others struggled to avoid bad losses on the road. Check out the aftermath below!

Top 25 Poll
Others receiving votes: East Carolina, Michigan, Northwestern, Oregon State, UCF
Dropped from the rankings: Michigan (19), Northwestern (20), Florida (24)

http://cdn.newsday.com/polopoly_fs/1.6245531.1381617396!/httpImage/image.JPG_gen/derivatives/display_600/image.JPG25 (NR). Michigan State (5-1) – With how bad their offense has been, there is no way that I thought they could be 5-1. You have to commend D’Antonio, though. He is one of the best in the business.
24 (NR). Houston (5-0) – They have not lost yet, but their conference is just terrible. They may have a battle of unbeatens in Louisville November 16th.
23 (13). Oklahoma (5-1) – The Sooners had another classic confusing loss in a season that was so promising. I love it.
22 (23). Northern Illinois (6-0) – The Huskies continue to win in unimpressive fashion. Wins are wins, though…
21 (22). Nebraska (5-1) – Blowing out Purdue is nothing special, but they seemed to have really shored up that defense that got torched early in the year.
20 (21). Oklahoma State (4-1) – IDLE. Next week: vs TCU.
19 (12). Georgia (4-2) – Their injuries finally caught up to them. They still deserve a ton of credit for taking down most of the teams throughout the toughest part of their schedule.
18 (NR). Missouri (6-0) – They got it done against Georgia in their first test of the season. Their starting QB is also now out for the year. This will probably be their peak ranking this season.
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17 (25). Virginia Tech (6-1) – Looking at their wins, none of them are overly impressive. Looking at who they lost to and how, it is clear that they deserve a bit more respect.
16 (18). South Carolina (5-1) – The Cocks obliterated Arkansas on the road. This team, more than any I can remember, wins in different ways each week. I don’t understand them.
15 (9). Washington (4-2) – They suffered a painful loss against Oregon with everyone in the country watching. They are still a fine team, but they may still be a year or two away from really competing for a Rose Bowl in the nation’s toughest conference.
14 (17). Fresno State (5-0) – IDLE. Next week: vs UNLV.
13 (16). Texas Tech (6-0) – They won with a different quarterback, which seemed to reignite the offensive attack. They are going to be a tough out.
12 (15). Miami (5-0) – IDLE. Next week: at North Carolina.
11 (4). Stanford (5-1) – I knew that Utah would give them all they could handle, but I didn’t think they could actually pull it off. There is no shame in losing that game, but their title hopes are all but gone. This seems similar to their loss in Seattle last year.
http://www.washingtonpost.com/rf/image_606w/2010-2019/Wires/Online/2013-10-13/AP/Images/APTOPIX%20Stanford%20Utah%20Football.JPEG-0aa6d.jpg
10 (14). Texas A&M (4-1) – The Aggies took the best shot in a road test against desperate Ole Miss. Johnny Football came up big again, this time in the running game. That offense is so ridiculously dynamic…
9 (11). LSU (6-1) – LSU continues to impress after a sluggish win over Florida.
8 (10). Louisville (6-0) – I told you that those Thursday games are always a little weird. Rutgers nearly pulled off the stunner when Louisville finally had the national stage. They are going to get every AAC team’s best shot week in and week out. I am not sure if they are good enough to withstand it.
7 (8). UCLA (5-0) – The Bruins looked strong against the putrid California defense. No one is talking about their championship hopes, but they are right there in the running with Oregon in the Pac-12.
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6 (7). Ohio State (6-0) – IDLE. Next week: vs Iowa.
5 (6). Florida State (5-0) – IDLE. Next week: at Clemson.
4 (5). Clemson (6-0) – BC gave both Florida State and Clemson tough tests leading up to their long-awaited matchup next week. Clemson was able to get by…barely.
3 (2). Baylor (5-0) – The Bears had to gut out a victory against an inspired team on the road. The long touchdowns will not be available against everyone, but if this offense withstood this test, then they might not lose at all.
2 (3). Alabama (6-0) – Alabama had another cruising win in the weak part of the SEC. They finally opened it up on offense, though. They are looking unbelievably strong.
1 (1). Oregon (6-0) – The Ducks look absolutely unstoppable. I can only think of a few teams in the nation that could possibly upset them, unless they just have an off day and turn it over. That doesn’t seem likely at this point, however.
http://media.cmgdigital.com/shared/img/photos/2013/10/12/5c/ce/APTOPIX_Oregon_Washington_Football__KIRO_AP_5.jpg


Top 5 Games for Next Weekend
5. Auburn at Texas A&M (#10), 12:30PM CBS – We really don’t know too much about Auburn just yet. Can they show up on the road against the toughest offense in the conference? My pick: Texas A&M
4. UCF at Louisville (#8), Friday 5:00PM ESPN – UCF has proven that they are a viable opponent, and Louisville has the national stage once again. Can they survive their toughest test of the season so far? My pick: Louisville
3. BYU at Houston (#24), 12:30PM ESPN/ESPN2/ESPNU – BYU has the talent and offense to upset anyone. Houston will receive their first true test of the year. I am intrigued by this one. My pick: BYU
2. UCLA (#7) at Stanford (#11), 12:30PM ESPN2 – This will be a battle. Stanford cannot afford a second loss in conference. UCLA has been rolling, especially on the road. This should be a tremendous game. My pick: UCLA
1. Florida State (#5) at Clemson (#4), 5:00PM ABC – Obviously, this is the biggest game of the week and one of the biggest of the season. They both withstood BC’s inspired upset-minded efforts leading into next week. Who takes the next step toward the BCS Title Game? My pick: Florida State
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Heisman Trophy Watch
5. Brett Hundley, QB, UCLA – Hundley may be the top quarterback taken in the draft whenever he comes out. When they finally get a big game next weekend, the nation will take notice of this phenomenal talent.
4. Tajh Boyd, QB, Clemson – He has another huge game next weekend to show the nation that he is the best QB in the country. Can he keep up the pace in that unique offense?
http://cdn.bleacherreport.net/images_root/slides/photos/003/390/672/hi-res-184245464-quarterback-johnny-manziel-of-the-texas-a-m-aggies_crop_650x440.jpg?13816427543. Jameis Winston, QB, Florida State – He had the week off, but playing against the senior Boyd on the road next week will really show if he has a real chance to win this.
2. Johnny Manziel, QB, Texas A&M – If he can take his team to a one-loss season the way they have been going, then he needs to be right there at the top of everyone’s ballot once again.
1. Marcus Mariota, QB, Oregon – The early season favorite normally cannot keep up the pace all year, but he is the exception, I suspect. He is clearly the best player on whatever field he steps onto.


BCS Projections
Rose Bowl – UCLA over Ohio State
Orange Bowl – Clemson over Louisville
Sugar Bowl – Alabama over Fresno State
Fiesta Bowl – Baylor over LSU
BCS Championship Game – Oregon over Florida State


What did you think of this weekend? Rankings? Heisman predictions? Let me know below!


Sunday, September 29, 2013

Week 5 College Football Recap: Rankings, Heisman, BCS Projections

It was a thrilling week in college football. Lane Kiffin got fired after a beat-down by Arizona State. Alabama shut (out/up) Bo Wallace and Ole Miss. The northwest had monsoon-like conditions for a few of the top teams in the country who all rolled to victories. All the “experts” talk about how LSU at Georgia was going to be a defensive struggle, yet I called it a shootout. Who was right? 44-41 final score should tell the story. Check out how week 5 is reflected in my new rankings/projections:

Top 25 Poll
Others receiving votes: Florida, Houston, Georgia Tech, Nebraska, UCF, Wisconsin
Dropped from the rankings: Wisconsin (20), UCF (22)

25 (NR). Maryland (4-0) – IDLE. Next week: at Florida State. That blowout/shutout win over West Virginia looks pretty good now. This could be a bonehead inclusion after they play in Tallahassee next week, but they have been strong so far this season. Randy Edsall has his boys believing.
24 (19). Arizona State (3-1) – The Sun Devils could score at will against USC, but they also gave up some 41 points to a team that was struggling offensively. That does not bode well for their chances in the South division.
http://www.trbimg.com/img-5247a68a/turbine/la-sp-usc-arizona-state-11-20130928/600
23 (NR). Northern Illinois (4-0) – After blowing out Purdue on the road, they are the first MAC team with two wins over the Big Ten in the same season. They are going to threaten another potential BCS bowl appearance.
22 (21). Michigan (4-0) – IDLE. Next week: vs Minnesota.
21 (17). Mississippi (3-1) – They were the latest shutout victim by Alabama, which there is no shame in, but for a team talking as much trash as they were, that has got to be discouraging and humbling.
20 (14). Oklahoma State (3-1) – Just when you want to count out West Virginia, they take out the #1 team in the conference. The Cowboys looked a bit lost throughout the game for the first time. Morgantown isn’t exactly the most hostile of crowds in the Big 12. They are going to need to get it together and soon.
19 (24). Fresno State (4-0) – They had one of those classic 9:00PM pickoffs in Hawaii that a team could sleepwalk through. Their offense was as on fire as it has been all year.
18 (18). Northwestern (4-0) – IDLE. Next week: vs Ohio State.
17 (25). Miami (4-0) – The Canes looked fantastic against the worst team in the nation, the South Florida Bulls. At some point, you have to think they will not show up. That hasn’t happened yet. Morris and Johnson have been scary good early on.
http://cdn.bleacherreport.net/images_root/slides/photos/003/372/105/hi-res-7702382_crop_650.jpg?1380400339
16 (15). Texas Tech (4-0) – IDLE. Next week: at Kansas.
15 (16). South Carolina (3-1) – They were down at the half and had lost their starting quarterback. They could have folded, but instead they came out furiously and took control of the game immediately on the road. Impressive effort by the Cocks.
14 (23). Oklahoma (4-0) – Here we go again…the Sooners look unbeatable early in the year, only to probably disappoint down the stretch again. Same story for the Bob Stoops-era Oklahoma squad.
13 (12). LSU (4-1) – The Tigers have now shown that they can put up the monster numbers in the SEC, and that Cam Cameron has suddenly turned Mettenberger into a top 5 QB in the conference.
12 (11). Texas A&M (3-1) – Johnny Football and company were able to escape with another shootout victory, this time at Arkansas in front of a ruckus crowd.
11 (13). Georgia (3-1) – The win against LSU proved that they still do not have a defense, but that offense can score on anyone. They have a terrific chance of not losing any SEC games.
10 (10). Louisville (4-0) – IDLE. Next week: at Temple.
9 (9). UCLA (3-0) – IDLE. Next week: at Utah.
8 (5). Florida State (4-0) – There is something always missing with hyped-up Florida State teams. The defense just decided it was ok to give up 34 points to a lame duck Boston College offense. They are going to need to get a lot better to contend for an ACC title.
7 (8). Ohio State (5-0) – The Buckeyes had an impressive win over a tough Wisconsin squad. Braxton Miller looked terrific in his return to the lineup. They are starting to look like the preseason #2 team in the country.
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6 (7). Baylor (3-0) – IDLE. Next week: vs West Virginia.
5 (6). Washington (4-0) – They were able to blow out Arizona, who isn’t a great team, but one that came in rolling. The Huskies are for real, and with Stanford and Oregon coming up I consecutive weeks, they could prove to be the nation’s best team if they are able to spring the upsets.
4 (4). Clemson (4-0) – The Tigers jumped out to a big lead early and never let up. When they are hitting on all cylinders, I do not know who can beat them.
3 (3). Stanford (4-0) – They had the most impressive result of the week with a hammering of a confident and improved Washington State team in front of a crazy crowd at the Seahawks home stadium. They looked like the Stanford teams who pushed around the entire conference two years ago.
2 (2). Alabama (4-0) – They had one of the more confusing results of the season. Their defense had not been dominant, yet they were able to shut out perhaps the best pure offense they have played yet. The Tide are gearing up for another title run.
1 (1). Oregon (4-0) – The played in stupid conditions in Eugene, but they were seemingly unaffected by it when Cal looked like a bunch of fools. They did nothing to lose the top spot.


Top 5 Games for Next Weekend
5. BYU at Utah State, Friday 5:00PM CBS Sports Network – The Utah in-state matchups are all going to be amazing this year. It may be the best trio of teams the state has ever had. Chuckie Keeton vs Taysom Hill. Should be electric.
4. Maryland (#25) at Florida State (#8), 9:00AM ESPN – This is an intriguing matchup. Stefon Diggs and company are going to be able to score, but can they slow up Winston? No team has been able to do that yet.
3. TCU at Oklahoma (#14), 4:00PM FOX – TCU has looked mighty impressive defensively since losing to LSU on the opening weekend. This is the type of game that the Sooners like to drop.
http://www.gannett-cdn.com/-mm-/278568100437974f352ec232e751425f0ac2cba1/c=243-100-2741-1978&r=x404&c=534x401/local/-/media/USATODAY/USATODAY/2013/09/28/1380422621000-USP-NCAA-Football-Arizona-at-Washingtonstankey.jpg2. Ohio State (#7) at Northwestern (#18), 5:00PM ABC – Northwestern is always a team that pushes the top B1G teams. This time, the Wildcats have their best squad in decades. Ohio State would be foolish to look any further than this game.
1. Washington (#5) at Stanford (#3), 7:30PM ESPN – No real surprise here, right? The game in Seattle last season, the last game that Stanford lost, was a hard-fought and low-scoring affair. Look for some more offense this time around a terrific game in front of a half-full stadium in Palo Alto.


Heisman Trophy Watch
5. Lache Seastrunk, RB, Baylor – So far, he has put up video game numbers. If he can do the same in games against Oklahoma and his Texas state rivals, then he will be invited for sure.
4. Jameis Winston, QB, Florida State – It doesn’t matter the venue or situation he is in. He looks like a seasoned veteran. Next year may be his time, but he is threatening this year.
3. Tajh Boyd, QB, Clemson – He seems to get better and better each week. If they go unbeaten, he could potentially take the first Heisman Trophy in school history.
2. Johnny Manziel, QB, Texas A&M – He has led his team to victories in every way possible. He is going to torch every SEC defense and probably win this thing again.
1. Marcus Mariota, QB, Oregon – He will be the top contender all season, unless they lose a game. That seems unlikely at this point.
http://cache.daylife.com/imageserve/06Gx4x65Gy1Ao/350x.jpg

BCS Projections
Rose Bowl – Ohio State over Washington
Orange Bowl – Clemson over Louisville
Sugar Bowl – Texas A&M over Oklahoma
Fiesta Bowl – Baylor over Northern Illinois
BCS Championship Game – Oregon over Alabama


What did you think of this weekend? Thoughts? Give me your rankings in the comments!