2024 Pre-Season Profile: Texas Rangers

 #17

The Texas Rangers shocked the baseball world by going all the way and winning the World Series.  Will there be a repeat postseason run in 2024?

2023 Predictions

#16 - 3rd in AL West

MIH - Corey Seager

MIP - Jacob deGrom

PTW - Owen White

FP - The Rangers best starter in 2023 will be Nathan Eovaldi.

2023 Results

#1 - 90-72, 1st in AL West, won World Series

Highest WAR (Position) - Marcus Semien

Highest WAR (Pitcher) - Nathan Eovaldi

I knew the Rangers were on their back to the postseason, but no one saw winning the World Series in 2023.  It truly shows that all it takes is getting into the tournament, then who knows what will happen.  The crazy part is Jacob deGrom, the prize of last off-season, only pitched 6 games.  Nathan Eovaldi, as predicted, was the ace of the staff, even after they went out and traded for a few more starters.  Bruce Bochy is a magician.

Additions / Subtractions

After buy, buy, buy the last few offseasons signing Marcus Semien, Corey Seager, Jacob deGrom, Nathan Eovaldi, trading for Max Scherzer, the Rangers went very quiet.  The biggest addition they made was starter Tyler Mahle who is starting the season injured.  Relievers David Robertson and Kirby Yates were added.  That's about it.

Most Important Hitter

Marcus Semien

Marcus Semien has definitely been earning the megadeal he signed a few years ago, and in 2023 he was the Rangers best player.  He played in every regular season game and every playoff game.  Now he's entering his age 33 season.  Eventually, the workload and the age are going to catch up with him.  Semien, combined with Corey Seager, have been the anchors of this team since they signed.  Seager is always getting hurt.  They need Semien to remain the stabilizing force he was in 2023 for them to be elite again this season.

Most Important Pitcher

Nathan Eovaldi

The sneaky good signing of last offseason became their best starter (as predicted).  Now, Nathan Eovaldi will be relied on even more with Jacob deGrom, Max Scherzer, and Tyler Mahle all starting the season on the IL.  They could have a stellar rotation by the end of the season, but Eovaldi has to be great for the end of the season to matter.

Prospect to Watch

Wyatt Langford

Along with a World Series ring, the Rangers also have the 7th best farm system in baseball.  That's even with several elite pitching prospects falling apart and getting injured.  Of the 4 prospects in the Top 100, they have two outfielders in the Top 10.  One became a household name last postseason when Evan Carter broke out.  Now the prospect getting ready to turn heads is Wyatt Langford.  Taken with the 4th pick in last year's draft, Langford is already in the big leagues and ready to take the league by storm.  All he does is hit, which is why to get him in the lineup, he is a 22 year old full time DH.

2024 Prediction

4th in AL West

For a team that came out of nowhere to win a World Series, a hangover feels very likely the next season.  The pitchers were taxed, the starters are already injured.  They still have a ton of talent, but even Bruce Bochy's Giants teams only made the postseason every other year in their World Series dominance.  I have nothing else but a hunch.  The Rangers will take a step back in 2024.

Fearless Prediction

Marcus Semien and Corey Seager will combine for 162 games played.

They are easily the two most important players on the roster.  Seager is always injured, and Semien is getting old.  With the pitching staff dealing with injuries, the Rangers need to score to win.  If these two go down for any amount of time, scoring could be difficult, which would make winning difficult.

2023 Pre-Season Profile: Texas Rangers

 #16

The Texas Rangers have spent the last couple offseasons trying to buy their way into contention.  Will 2023 reward them with a playoff berth?

2022 Predictions

#20 - 4th in AL West

MIH - Adolis Garcia

MIP - Jon Gray

PTW - Josh Jung

2022 Results

#24 - 68-94, 4th in AL West

Highest WAR (Position) - Marcus Semien

Highest WAR (Pitcher) - Martin Perez

The 2022 Texas Rangers were all about seeing how much improvement they could get out of the money they spent on Marcus Semien and Corey Seager.  The answer was ... not a lot with them alone.  They only won 8 more games in 2022 from 2021 as their pitching struggled to keep up.  Outside of Martin Perez and a couple arms out of the bullpen, the pitching staff was well below average in 2022.  The lack of improvement led to manager Chris Woodward being fired mid-season.

Additions / Subtractions

The Rangers continued this offseason on their spending spree, which started by replacing their manager with future Hall of Famer Bruce Bochy.  Then, the Rangers rebuilt their rotation the same way they did their lineup: free agency and lots of money.  So in comes free agent starters Jacob deGrom, Andrew Heaney, Nathan Eovaldi, and Jake Odorizzi (only he was via trade), as well as reliever Ian Kennedy.  So consider the rotation re-tooled.

Most Important Hitter

Corey Seager

Entering his second season as a Ranger, Corey Seager should have something to prove.  Although 2022 was a really good season for him, it could have been even better.  Seager is being paid like a superstar, yet his production was eclipsed by his high-priced double play mate Marcus Semien.  He hit a career high 33 homers, but he only had a 119 OPS+ when he has been in the 130-150 range.  He did play the full season, which is huge for a guy who has struggled to stay on the field.  Now he has to put it all together, which may be easier for him in 2023.  Seager is one mentioned often as a player that will benefit the most from the new rule that bans the shift.  Teams implemented the shift on Seager more than almost any other player in baseball in 2022.  This led to a .245 batting average when he has a career average of .287.  With this simple change, that batting average could bump significantly.  Now, can he stay on the field for a second consecutive full season, a feat he has only accomplished once in his career?

Most Important Pitcher

Jacob deGrom

Speaking of health ... The Rangers took a huge gamble this offseason giving Jacob deGrom one of the richest contracts a starting pitcher has ever received.  His 5 year, $185 million deal will make him the 5th highest paid starter in baseball this season, a number that actually goes up as the contract ages.  So why is the a problem?  Over the last 3 seasons, deGrom has only thrown 224 innings.  He has almost had single seasons reach that number.  To be fair, one of those seasons was the COVID-shortened 2020 season, but the point remains the same.  After being a work horse for the first 6 seasons of his career, deGrom simply hasn't been on the field.  The struggle has also been those seasons have been some of his most dominant.  He was going to set records in 2021 before he got hurt.  If he's healthy, he's the best pitcher in baseball and can lead this re-vamped starting rotation to great heights.  If he's hurt, the Rangers have a black hole at the top of their rotation (as well as their check book).  Which will it be?

Prospect to Watch

Owen White

More focus on pitching for the Rangers...  The Rangers have a strong top end of their farm system, boasting 6 players in the Top 100 Prospects.  The one most intriguing this season is Owen White.  Thanks to injuries and the pandemic, White has had a bit of a rocky start to his pro career, but he has also shown he is probably the best pitcher the Rangers have in their system right now.  With all the new arms in the rotation (and a few returning), White may have trouble cracking the starting 5, but if the Rangers have a shot at a playoff spot down the stretch, White might be an electrifying option out of the bullpen.

2023 Predictions

3rd in AL West

There are multiple ways to build a winner.  You can build your team from the ground up, or you can buy an All Star roster.  The Rangers have gone the second route, and it just might work.  The reason to have faith in this team is Bruce Bochy.  All he has done in his coaching career is win, whether it was early on in San Diego or it was winning 3 World Series in 5 years in San Francisco.  He knows what it takes to build a winner, even when the talent isn't elite.  Now he has possibly the most talented roster he has ever had.  It might take a year or two to put it all together, but Texas is on the fast track to getting back to the playoffs.

Fearless Prediction

The Rangers best starter in 2023 will be Nathan Eovaldi.

What is crazy about what the Rangers have done in their spending spree is they were able to buy depth.  Jacob deGrom is a huge gamble, but they also backed it up with several other guys in case he is injured again or needs extra rest.  That's why I think, when all is said and done in 2023, Nathan Eovaldi will be the one looked at as their best pitcher.  He has had some injury issues in the past as well, but he has been consistent over the last few seasons and has always shown the ability to carry a staff if he needs to.  This was one of the sneaky best signings of the offseason.  The Rangers will be glad they got him.