Showing posts with label Jacob deGrom. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Jacob deGrom. Show all posts

Thursday, April 4, 2024

2024 Pre-Season Profile: Texas Rangers

 #17
The Texas Rangers shocked the baseball world by going all the way and winning the World Series.  Will there be a repeat postseason run in 2024?


#16 - 3rd in AL West
MIH - Corey Seager
MIP - Jacob deGrom
PTW - Owen White
FP - The Rangers best starter in 2023 will be Nathan Eovaldi.

2023 Results
#1 - 90-72, 1st in AL West, won World Series
Highest WAR (Position) - Marcus Semien
Highest WAR (Pitcher) - Nathan Eovaldi
I knew the Rangers were on their back to the postseason, but no one saw winning the World Series in 2023.  It truly shows that all it takes is getting into the tournament, then who knows what will happen.  The crazy part is Jacob deGrom, the prize of last off-season, only pitched 6 games.  Nathan Eovaldi, as predicted, was the ace of the staff, even after they went out and traded for a few more starters.  Bruce Bochy is a magician.


Additions / Subtractions
After buy, buy, buy the last few offseasons signing Marcus Semien, Corey Seager, Jacob deGrom, Nathan Eovaldi, trading for Max Scherzer, the Rangers went very quiet.  The biggest addition they made was starter Tyler Mahle who is starting the season injured.  Relievers David Robertson and Kirby Yates were added.  That's about it.


Most Important Hitter
Marcus Semien
Marcus Semien has definitely been earning the megadeal he signed a few years ago, and in 2023 he was the Rangers best player.  He played in every regular season game and every playoff game.  Now he's entering his age 33 season.  Eventually, the workload and the age are going to catch up with him.  Semien, combined with Corey Seager, have been the anchors of this team since they signed.  Seager is always getting hurt.  They need Semien to remain the stabilizing force he was in 2023 for them to be elite again this season.


Most Important Pitcher
Nathan Eovaldi
The sneaky good signing of last offseason became their best starter (as predicted).  Now, Nathan Eovaldi will be relied on even more with Jacob deGrom, Max Scherzer, and Tyler Mahle all starting the season on the IL.  They could have a stellar rotation by the end of the season, but Eovaldi has to be great for the end of the season to matter.


Prospect to Watch
Wyatt Langford
Along with a World Series ring, the Rangers also have the 7th best farm system in baseball.  That's even with several elite pitching prospects falling apart and getting injured.  Of the 4 prospects in the Top 100, they have two outfielders in the Top 10.  One became a household name last postseason when Evan Carter broke out.  Now the prospect getting ready to turn heads is Wyatt Langford.  Taken with the 4th pick in last year's draft, Langford is already in the big leagues and ready to take the league by storm.  All he does is hit, which is why to get him in the lineup, he is a 22 year old full time DH.


2024 Prediction
4th in AL West
For a team that came out of nowhere to win a World Series, a hangover feels very likely the next season.  The pitchers were taxed, the starters are already injured.  They still have a ton of talent, but even Bruce Bochy's Giants teams only made the postseason every other year in their World Series dominance.  I have nothing else but a hunch.  The Rangers will take a step back in 2024.


Fearless Prediction
Marcus Semien and Corey Seager will combine for 162 games played.
They are easily the two most important players on the roster.  Seager is always injured, and Semien is getting old.  With the pitching staff dealing with injuries, the Rangers need to score to win.  If these two go down for any amount of time, scoring could be difficult, which would make winning difficult.


Wednesday, March 22, 2023

2023 Pre-Season Profile: Texas Rangers

 #16
The Texas Rangers have spent the last couple offseasons trying to buy their way into contention.  Will 2023 reward them with a playoff berth?


#20 - 4th in AL West
MIH - Adolis Garcia
MIP - Jon Gray
PTW - Josh Jung

2022 Results
#24 - 68-94, 4th in AL West
Highest WAR (Position) - Marcus Semien
Highest WAR (Pitcher) - Martin Perez
The 2022 Texas Rangers were all about seeing how much improvement they could get out of the money they spent on Marcus Semien and Corey Seager.  The answer was ... not a lot with them alone.  They only won 8 more games in 2022 from 2021 as their pitching struggled to keep up.  Outside of Martin Perez and a couple arms out of the bullpen, the pitching staff was well below average in 2022.  The lack of improvement led to manager Chris Woodward being fired mid-season.


Additions / Subtractions
The Rangers continued this offseason on their spending spree, which started by replacing their manager with future Hall of Famer Bruce Bochy.  Then, the Rangers rebuilt their rotation the same way they did their lineup: free agency and lots of money.  So in comes free agent starters Jacob deGrom, Andrew Heaney, Nathan Eovaldi, and Jake Odorizzi (only he was via trade), as well as reliever Ian Kennedy.  So consider the rotation re-tooled.


Most Important Hitter
Corey Seager
Entering his second season as a Ranger, Corey Seager should have something to prove.  Although 2022 was a really good season for him, it could have been even better.  Seager is being paid like a superstar, yet his production was eclipsed by his high-priced double play mate Marcus Semien.  He hit a career high 33 homers, but he only had a 119 OPS+ when he has been in the 130-150 range.  He did play the full season, which is huge for a guy who has struggled to stay on the field.  Now he has to put it all together, which may be easier for him in 2023.  Seager is one mentioned often as a player that will benefit the most from the new rule that bans the shift.  Teams implemented the shift on Seager more than almost any other player in baseball in 2022.  This led to a .245 batting average when he has a career average of .287.  With this simple change, that batting average could bump significantly.  Now, can he stay on the field for a second consecutive full season, a feat he has only accomplished once in his career?


Most Important Pitcher
Jacob deGrom
Speaking of health ... The Rangers took a huge gamble this offseason giving Jacob deGrom one of the richest contracts a starting pitcher has ever received.  His 5 year, $185 million deal will make him the 5th highest paid starter in baseball this season, a number that actually goes up as the contract ages.  So why is the a problem?  Over the last 3 seasons, deGrom has only thrown 224 innings.  He has almost had single seasons reach that number.  To be fair, one of those seasons was the COVID-shortened 2020 season, but the point remains the same.  After being a work horse for the first 6 seasons of his career, deGrom simply hasn't been on the field.  The struggle has also been those seasons have been some of his most dominant.  He was going to set records in 2021 before he got hurt.  If he's healthy, he's the best pitcher in baseball and can lead this re-vamped starting rotation to great heights.  If he's hurt, the Rangers have a black hole at the top of their rotation (as well as their check book).  Which will it be?


Prospect to Watch
Owen White
More focus on pitching for the Rangers...  The Rangers have a strong top end of their farm system, boasting 6 players in the Top 100 Prospects.  The one most intriguing this season is Owen White.  Thanks to injuries and the pandemic, White has had a bit of a rocky start to his pro career, but he has also shown he is probably the best pitcher the Rangers have in their system right now.  With all the new arms in the rotation (and a few returning), White may have trouble cracking the starting 5, but if the Rangers have a shot at a playoff spot down the stretch, White might be an electrifying option out of the bullpen.


2023 Predictions
3rd in AL West
There are multiple ways to build a winner.  You can build your team from the ground up, or you can buy an All Star roster.  The Rangers have gone the second route, and it just might work.  The reason to have faith in this team is Bruce Bochy.  All he has done in his coaching career is win, whether it was early on in San Diego or it was winning 3 World Series in 5 years in San Francisco.  He knows what it takes to build a winner, even when the talent isn't elite.  Now he has possibly the most talented roster he has ever had.  It might take a year or two to put it all together, but Texas is on the fast track to getting back to the playoffs.


Fearless Prediction
The Rangers best starter in 2023 will be Nathan Eovaldi.
What is crazy about what the Rangers have done in their spending spree is they were able to buy depth.  Jacob deGrom is a huge gamble, but they also backed it up with several other guys in case he is injured again or needs extra rest.  That's why I think, when all is said and done in 2023, Nathan Eovaldi will be the one looked at as their best pitcher.  He has had some injury issues in the past as well, but he has been consistent over the last few seasons and has always shown the ability to carry a staff if he needs to.  This was one of the sneaky best signings of the offseason.  The Rangers will be glad they got him.


Tuesday, March 30, 2021

2021 Pre-Season Profile: New York Mets

 #7
The New York Mets made huge headlines over the offseason with a new owner and a new superstar.  Now the expectations are ridiculously high for this team that was under .500 in 2020.  Will they be able to reach those expectations?

#14 - 3rd in NL East
MIH - Robinson Cano
MIP - Edwin Diaz
PTW - Kevin Smith

2020 Results
#21 - 26-34, 4th in NL East
The Mets were not that bad in 2020, but they got stuck in the crazy NL East where they were tied for the worst record in the division with the defending champion Nationals.  Jacob deGrom followed up back-to-back Cy Young seasons with a 3rd place finish, they had a bounceback season from Robinson Cano, and several young players had breakout seasons like Brandon Nimmo and Dominic Smith.  So although the final record doesn't show it, there were definitely some good things that happened in 2020.

Additions / Subtractions
If there was one move this offseason that revitalized an entire organization that had nothing to do with the roster, it was definitely the announcement of new owner Steve Cohen in Queens.  If there was one move this offseason that revitalized an entire organization that did impact the roster, it was the Mets trading for Francisco Lindor.  The Mets also added to the rotation with Taijuan Walker via free agency and Marcus Stroman who is back after opting out last season.  This will make up for Steven Matz signing elsewhere.  They should also be getting back Noah Syndergaard at some point this season too.  The biggest subtraction might have been a blessing in disguise when Robinson Cano was suspended for the season for steroids.  They will miss his bat in the lineup, but they enjoyed having the extra $24 million to spend in free agency.  Overall, the offseason went about as good as possible for the Mets.

Most Important Hitter
Francisco Lindor
Of all the players in the league, the most pressure might be on Francisco Lindor to singlehandedly turn around a slumping franchise.  He has to try and do that while also being in the final year of his contract.  Many think it is a foregone conclusion he re-signs with the Mets, and contract negotiations are currently ongoing, but the biggest storylines with the Mets revolve around him.  Can Lindor really make that much of an impact?  Was he worth the steep price they paid to get him?  Will he be in Queens beyond 2021?  This is by far the most important hitter on the team this season.

Most Important Pitcher
Marcus Stroman
We all know Jacob deGrom is possibly the best pitcher in baseball, but he can't pitch every day.  The rotation needs depth, and it needs more than one ace to compete with some of the elite rotations in the division and the National League in general.  With Syndergaard still recovering from an injury, this has to start with Marcus Stroman.  When Stroman is right, he is one of the best pitchers in the game.  The best example of this is probably the near no hitter he threw in the WBC Championship a few years ago.  However, the Mets have only seen him for part of 2019 before he opted out of 2020.  He needs to come back and show he is ready to be dominant again.  This is also his contract year, and if he wants to get the big pay day, this year has to be him at his best.

Prospect to Watch
Khalil Lee
The Mets are ranked the 19th best farm system in baseball.  They have some decent talent in their system boasting 4 Top 100 Prospects.  The problem is none of it is very close to the majors (you can probably thank the Cano for Kelenic trade).  The player most likely to impact the big league roster this season is Khalil Lee.  Lee is the 7th best prospect in the Mets system and was the key piece the Mets received in the Benintendi to KC deal this offseason.  He has the makeup of a solid big league outfielder, and with the lack of depth in the outfield for the Mets, he could be called up at some point and get a chance to show what he can do.

2021 Prediction
2nd in NL East, WILD CARD, lose in NLDS
I think the Mets have done enough to make themselves a serious contender in this division again, even with as competitive as it is going to be.  Francisco Lindor should breathe life and excitement into this team, Pete Alonso should bounce back after a slight sophomore slump, and with Syndergaard coming back mid-season, they should be getting healthy and dangerous at just the right time.  I have them grabbing a Wild Card spot, and knowing that Jacob deGrom is probably pitching a Wild Card Game, they should take down any lineup they face, even if it is the Padres.  They might not get much farther than that, but this will be a huge step forward for a franchise that finally might be competing with the Yankees for notoriety in the Big Apple.

Fearless Prediction
Robinson Cano has played his last game in the big leagues.
Robinson Cano's career was on a Hall of Fame path just a few short years ago.  He was the best second baseman for about a decade, he revitalized a Mariners franchise and almost singlehandedly made them relevant again, and he continued to show he was one of the most natural baseball talents of his generation.  Then he was suspended for steroids in 2018, missing a huge chunk of the season.  Then the trade to the Mets happened, giving him a fresh start back in New York.  Although 2019 didn't go great, 2020 showed the Mets there was still some life in that 37 year old bat.  Then this offseason he received his second steroids suspension, this time knocking him out for an entire season.  If this season is as successful without him as it is looking to be, the Mets might want to move on, even though he is still under contract for 2 more seasons after 2021.  Also, after a full season suspension, baseball might just be done with him, and one of the greatest players of the 21st century so far might be sent off and never heard from again.


Sunday, March 24, 2019

2019 Pre-Season Profile: New York Mets

#12

The New York Mets made several unconventional moves this offseason that set them up to try and win now.  Will this lead them to the playoffs in 2019?

2018 Predictions
4th in NL East
The Mets rotation will not see one trip through feature Syndergaard, deGrom, Harvey, Matz, and Wheeler again.

2018 Results
77-85, 4th in NL East

The Mets, under rookie manager Mickey Callaway, struggled through 2018.  Their main struggle was scoring runs, as the Cy Young winning ace could only squeeze out 10 wins.  Outside of Jacob deGrom, the Mets were about as inconsequential as could be last season.  As for my prediction around the rotation, I am not sure if they ever made it through one time with those five, but the fact that Matt Harvey was out of town barely a month into the season shows that I was onto something.

Additions / Subtractions

The Mets had one of the most fascinating offseasons.  It all started with their decision to hire an agent, Brodie Van Wagenen, as their new general manager.  He came in claiming to view personnel decisions from a different point of view which was shown in every move they made.  The biggest move was trading outfielder Jay Bruce, along with several top prospects to the Mariners for second baseman Robinson Cano and closer Edwin Diaz.  They also signed veterans Wilson Ramos and Jed Lowrie.  They traded for Keon Broxton, who looks to be their future centerfielder.  Where many teams stay away from veterans these days, Van Wagenen's philosophy seems to be to embrace the veteran to help you win now.  Every acquisition they made, except for Diaz and Broxton, was for a veteran most teams didn't even want to consider because of their age.  However, the Mets knew they needed offense to try and accompany their pitching, and it had to come from somewhere.  The quickest way to get it is through veteran proven commodities.

Most Important Hitter
Michael Conforto

Although veterans like Cano, Lowrie, and Frazier are the names everyone recognizes in the heart of the Mets lineup, their best hitter might be Michael Conforto.  The Mets have been touting Conforto as the future anchor of their lineup for several years, and he has really started to come into his own recently.  He made the All Star Team in 2017 in career year.  Then in 2018, he played his first full season without injury, playing in 153 games and hitting 28 home runs and 82 RBI's.  Although his production has been moving up, he now needs to emerge as a leader.  With veteran hitters surrounding him in the lineup, this might be the year he takes the next step into being the superstar leader the Mets have been waiting for him to be.

Most Important Pitcher
Steven Matz

When Steven Matz burst onto the scene in 2015 for the Mets World Series run, he was quickly touted as the fifth ace in a massive rotation.  Syndergaard and deGrom have definitely come through on that promise.  Matt Harvey, thought to be the best of the group in 2015, is now on his third team in 12 months.  The jury is still out on Zack Wheeler as he was out with injuries for a couple seasons.  Then there is Matz, the only lefty of the group.  He has shown signs of greatness over the last few years, but it has been inconsistent.  2018 was the first season he topped 150 innings in his career, however his ERA+ shows he was slightly under league average in his production.  If the Mets want to be elite, either Wheeler or Matz have to join deGrom and Syndergaard at the top of their rotation.  With Matz being the lefty, he is more crucial to be the one to emerge.

Prospect to Watch
Peter Alonso

One thing with a veteran team is you better have depth.  The Mets do.  Entering the offseason, Peter Alonso was probably slated as the Opening Day starting first baseman.  Now, with all acquisitions, that debut may have to wait (thanks to some injuries, maybe not...).  Alonso is a big presence at first base and at the plate.  Before the end of this season, watch for him to emerge as the everyday first baseman in Queens.

2019 Prediction
2nd in NL East

I love what the Mets did this offseason.  They needed offense, and they went out and bought one.  Going after the veterans is not popular these days, but that is more because everyone is more focused on sustainable success.  If you are looking at short term success, it isn't a bad way to go.  Look for the offense to show up and allow their pitching to actually win games this year.  I don't know how sustainable this roster will be after 2019, but they should be fun to watch this season as they come up just short of the playoffs.

Fearless Prediction
Noah Syndergaard will finish higher in the Cy Young voting than Jacob deGrom.

I am a huge Noah Syndergaard fan.  The guy is a freak athlete.  Now that he is healthy again, he has the opportunity this year to show how good he is.  For him to finish ahead deGrom in the Cy Young voting would be quite a feat considering deGrom is coming off of possibly the most dominant season a pitcher has had in the 21st century.  It is hard to repeat that level of success, but his teammate will pick up where he left off.  This seems to be what the Mets have done over the last few years.  Their aces take turns being the best pitcher on the staff.  This year should be no different.

Friday, July 20, 2018

2017-2018 MLB Wraparound Season


I am a sports junkie (probably even more so than a movie junkie).  I love watching sports, playing sports, and pretty much anything to do with sports.  My favorite might be stats.  I am a numbers guy, and I find all the stats fascinating.  This is one of the many reasons baseball season is possibly my favorite season as it is more stats-driven than any other sport.  The MLB All Star Break is one of my favorite parts of the summer.  It not only allows for baseball to take the sole sports spotlight for one of the only times in the year, but it also gives me the chance to do my yearly baseball stats deep dive.

Who have been the best baseball players over the last 12 months?  I call this the wraparound season.  I tabulate the stats from after the All Star Break last year and combine them with the stats from the first half of this season.  This helps see who might be key contributors in the upcoming playoff push.  It also might show who has been overworked and might fall off production down the stretch run.  I gathered stats for all hitters in the top 50 in hits, doubles, home runs, RBI's, and runs from last year's second half and this year's first half.  I did the same with pitchers, with the top 50 in wins, innings pitched, strikeouts, and the top 30 in saves.  Before we look at the 2017-2018 Wraparound Season, let's look back at who stood out in the 2016-2017 Wraparound Season.

Underrated Hitters
1.  Jose Ramirez - CLE
2.  Ender Inciarte - ATL
3.  Jedd Gyorko - STL
4.  Charlie Blackmon - COL
5.  Jose Abreu - CWS

Underrated Pitchers
1.  Ivan Nova - PIT
2.  Dan Straily - CIN / MIA
3.  Sean Manaea - OAK
4.  Ervin Santana - MIN
5.  Robbie Ray - ARZ

AL Wraparound MVP
1.  Jose Ramirez - CLE
2.  Jose Altuve - HOU
3.  Mike Trout - LAA
4.  Aaron Judge - NYY
5.  Nelson Cruz - SEA

NL Wraparound MVP
1.  Joey Votto - CIN
2.  Freddie Freeman - ATL
3.  Charlie Blackmon - COL
4.  Nolan Arenado - COL
5.  Daniel Murphy - WAS

AL Wraparound Cy Young
1.  Corey Kluber - CLE
2.  Chris Sale - BOS
3.  Justin Verlander - DET / HOU
4.  Chris Archer - TB
5.  Ervin Santana - MIN

NL Wraparound Cy Young
1.  Max Scherzer - WAS
2.  Clayton Kershaw - LAD
3.  Carlos Martinez - STL
4.  Kyle Hendricks - CHC
5.  Ivan Nova - PIT

Top Relievers
1.  Kenley Jansen - LAD
2.  Andrew Miller - NYY / CLE
3.  Craig Kimbrel - BOS
4.  Aroldis Chapman - NYY
5.  Wade Davis - KC / CHC

Of the 25 players to make the top lists last year, 13 made the lists this year.  Of the 10 players listed as underrated last year, two of them made a top list this year.

Batting Average

AL
Jose Altuve – HOU .336
Mookie Betts – BOS .309
Adrian Beltre – TEX .306
Yuli Gurriel – HOU .306
Manny Machado – BAL .304


Avisail Garcia – CWS .328
J.D. Martinez – DET / ARZ / BOS .319
Matt Duffy – TB .317
Lorenzo Cain – KC / MIL .310



NL
Nolan Arenado – COL .315
Charlie Blackmon – COL .314
Jose Martinez – STL .308
Scooter Gennett – CIN .307
Joey Votto – CIN .305


J.D. Martinez – DET / ARZ / BOS .319
Lorenzo Cain – KC / MIL .310


First, the list under each top 5 are players that would be on the list if they qualified.  Two things can disqualify you for these lists.  First, you need to have over 400 at bats to be considered.  Hitters like Avisail Garcia and Matt Duffy don't have enough AB's.  Second, you have to have played the last 12 months in one league.  So J.D. Martinez and Lorenzo Cain will not qualify for any list.  Jose Altuve topped the AL list last year as well, which is just more proof he is the best pure hitter int he game today (especially looking at how much better he is than everyone else).  Beltre continues to be a top hitter in the twilight of his career.  Machado, although now a Dodger, finished his time as an Oriole in pretty strong style.

In the NL, there are a lot of Rockies and, surprisingly, Reds on this list.  Arenado and Blackmon are showing they should be considered some of the top hitters in the league.  Jose Martinez is a surprise, showing the Cardinals have a good young core to build around.  Votto topped this list last year, but it is good to see a guy like Gennett hitting as well as he is.  Overall, all of these averages are down from last year.


Home Runs

AL
Aaron Judge – NYY 47
Francisco Lindor – CLE 44
Nelson Cruz – SEA 44
Mike Trout – LAA 42
Edwin Encarnacion – CLE 42
Joey Gallo – TEX 42


J.D. Martinez – DET / ARZ / BOS 60
Giancarlo Stanton – MIA / NYY 56



NL
Nolan Arenado – COL 43
Paul Goldschmidt – ARZ 37
Charlie Blackmon – COL 36
Kyle Schwarber – CHC 35
Trevor Story – COL 33
Eugenio Suarez – CIN 33


J.D. Martinez – DET / ARZ / BOS 60
Giancarlo Stanton – MIA / NYY 56


The most noticeable thing with these lists is the two best home run hitters of the last 12 months don't qualify because they spent time in both leagues.  J.D. Martinez followed up his crazy finish last year with the Diamondbacks with a great first half this year in Boston.  Giancarlo Stanton had an okay start in the Bronx, but he hit 33 second half home runs with the Marlins last year.  That alone puts him on the NL list.  Judge has shown no sophomore slump.  Lindor is not a name you consider a top home run guy, but he has shown some awesome power the last 12 months.  Names like Cruz, Encarnacion, and Gallo you expect to see.  Trout has been a beast as always.

Three of the six on this list are Rockies, showing they have possibly the best offense in the league.  Goldschmidt is still a premier hitter in the NL.  Schwarber has shown what he can do when he is healthy and in the lineup every day.  Suarez makes it three Reds that have made lists.  How are they so bad?  Oh yeah, they can't pitch (even though their manager was a pitching coach ... no wonder he got fired).


RBI

AL
Edwin Encarnacion – CLE 124
Khris Davis – OAK 114
Manny Machado – BAL 113
Eddie Rosario – MIN 112
Nicholas Castellanos – DET 111


J.D. Martinez – DET / ARZ / BOS 152
Giancarlo Stanton – MIA / NYY 129



NL
Nolan Arenado – COL 128
Trevor Story – COL 115
Javy Baez – CHC 114
Anthony Rizzo – CHC 114
Scooter Gennett – CIN 113


J.D. Martinez – DET / ARZ / BOS 152
Giancarlo Stanton – MIA / NYY 129


Once again, Martinez and Stanton would be the class of both leagues (and by a decent margin).  There are some names you are not used to seeing on this list.  Encarnacion and Machado you expect to see, but Khris Davis has quietly been one of the most productive power hitters of the last few years in Oakland.  Rosario helped lead the Twins to their playoff berth last year.  I am surprised more people aren't talking about trading for Castellanos at the Trade Deadline.  Recently moving from third base to right field, he can play either position and is a very productive bat.

If you are keeping track, this makes a Wraparound Triple Crown for Nolan Arenado.  Also, once again, a teammate takes second.  Two Cubs are tied for third.  It might be a surprise one of them is Baez.  Also, once again there is a Red popping up.


OPS

AL
Mike Trout – LAA 1.022
Jose Ramirez – CLE .980
Mookie Betts – BOS .955
Aaron Judge – NYY .938
Francisco Lindor – CLE .924


J.D. Martinez – DET / ARZ / BOS 1.073
Giancarlo Stanton – MIA / NYY .958



NL
Nolan Arenado – COL 1.004
Charlie Blackmon – COL .936
Eugenio Suarez – CIN .921
Paul Goldschmidt – ARZ .915
Joey Votto – CIN .913


J.D. Martinez – DET / ARZ / BOS 1.073
Max Muncy – LAD 1.012
Giancarlo Stanton – MIA / NYY .958
Jesus Aguilar – MIL .918


As OPS is one of the stats that shows the true value of a hitter, it is not surprising when you see the list of names on the AL list (including Martinez and Stanton once again).  Trout, Ramirez (last year's Wraparound AL MVP), Betts, Judge, and Lindor are considered three of the top hitters playing right now, and this shows why.

Considering Arenado has a Triple Crown over this stretch, it is no surprise he tops the AL list in OPS.  Once again, a teammate is second.  Still, no one gives Charlie Blackmon enough credit for just how good he is.  Suarez and Votto show up again to remind us just how good Cincinnati could be.  Goldschmidt is expected to be on a list like this, and it is good to see he doesn't disappoint.  Muncy and Aguilar have had amazing first halves of 2018, but they don't have enough at bats to qualify for the full season stats.


Wins

AL
Corey Kluber – CLE 23
Luis Severino – NYY 23
Carlos Carrasco – CLE 19
Charlie Morton – HOU 19
Justin Verlander – DET / HOU 19



NL
Jon Lester – CHC 20
Aaron Nola – PHI 18
Max Scherzer – WAS 18
Zach Godley – ARZ 16
Jon Gray – COL 16
Zack Greinke – ARZ 16


Most stat guys in baseball call the win a useless stat in today's game.  I wouldn't quite go that far.  If your team wins when you take the mound, there is value there.  Looking at the names on these lists, they are exactly who you would expect to see as the top pitchers in the league (especially the AL list).  Kluber and Severino hit a total that hasn't been hit in an actual season since 2011.  Carrasco shows the strength of the Indians' starting rotation just like Morton and Verlander show the same about the Astros.  This is an impressive list, especially considering Kluber, Carrasco, and Dylan Bundy topped last year's list with 18.

Lester is the only NL pitcher to hit the 20 win mark.  Scherzer and Greinke show they are still elite.  Nola, Gray, and Godley show they are young aces in the making.


ERA (150 IP minimum)

AL
Justin Verlander – DET / HOU 2.15
Luis Severino – NYY 2.30
Corey Kluber – CLE 2.32
Trevor Bauer – CLE 2.54
Chris Sale – BOS 2.59



NL
Jacob deGrom – NYM 2.40
Max Scherzer – WAS 2.70
Aaron Nola – PHI 2.78
Jake Arrieta – CHC / PHI 2.86
Kyle Hendricks – CHC 3.20


Gerrit Cole – PIT / HOU 3.18


Two things strike me about these lists.  First, this shows pretty clearly that the AL has the best pitchers.  Only one of the NL pitchers would even crack the AL top 5.  Considering the AL also had the top stats when it came to hitting, and that AL lineups are harder to navigate with a DH instead of a pitcher, this is really impressive.  The second thing I noticed is how hard it was to find pitchers that pitched 150 innings.  With the emergence of super bullpens, this is getting harder and harder for starters to do.  Verlander has been insane, with Severino and Kluber showing their win totals aren't a fluke.  Bauer shows again that Cleveland's rotation is ridiculous.  Sale shows that he earned his All Star Game start.

Jacob deGrom has been a great pitcher on a bad team, being this year's best Met pitcher.  Scherzer, Arrieta and Hendricks show they are still among the league's best.  Once again, there is Aaron Nola popping up.  He has been awesome.


Overall ERA

AL
Lou Trivino – OAK 1.22
Craig Kimbrel – BOS 1.75
Aroldis Chapman – NYY 2.07
David Robertson – CWS / NYY 2.12
Justin Verlander – DET / HOU 2.15


Blake Treinan – WAS / OAK 1.47
Sean Doolittle – OAK / WAS 1.84



NL
Brandon Morrow – LAD / CHC 1.79
Trevor Rosenthal – STL 1.88
Kenley Jansen – LAD 2.10
Stephen Strasburg – WAS 2.32
Jacob deGrom – NYM 2.40


Blake Treinan – WAS / OAK 1.47
Sean Doolittle – OAK / WAS 1.84


Tops on this list for the AL is a recent call-up for the A's that has gotten off to a great start.  Next you have top closers Kimbrel and Chapman.  Robertson was the closer for the White Sox and is now part of the crazy bullpen for the Yankees.  It is always impressive when a starter makes this list, and Verlander has done it.

Morrow made an easy transition from Dodgers setup man to Cubs closer.  Rosenthal hasn't actually pitched this year after having Tommy John surgery.  He will be an interesting free agent next offseason.  Jansen is expected to be near the top of this list every year.  Strasburg had an insane finish to last year, but injuries have kept him below the innings limit.  Again, deGrom deserves better.  Ineligible for either list are Doolittle and Treinan, who were actually traded for each other last year.


Strikeouts

AL
Chris Sale – BOS 318
Justin Verlander – DET / HOU 293
Corey Kluber – CLE 274
Trevor Bauer – CLE 268
Luis Severino – NYY 250


Gerrit Cole – PIT / HOU 279



NL
Max Scherzer – WAS 277
Jacob deGrom – NYM 258
Aaron Nola – PHI 234
Patrick Corbin – ARZ 232
Jon Gray – COL 213


Gerrit Cole – PIT / HOU 279


Sale and Scherzer topped these lists last year, and topped them again this year.  Sale was able to reach that magical 300 strikeout total with Verlander coming very close.  Just like every NL hitting list needs at least two Rockies, each AL pitching list needs two Indians.  Severino rounds out the list, showing he is an emerging young ace for the Yanks.  Gerrit Cole has become the latest pitcher to show a career resurrection since joining the Astros.

After Mad Max, we see some familiar names.  Nola and deGrom keep popping up over and over.  Corbin shows the Diamondbacks have a strong rotation as well.  Gray, once he finds some consistency, will be a household name with the rest of these pitchers.


Innings Pitched

AL
Corey Kluber – CLE 244
Justin Verlander – DET / HOU 238 2/3
Trevor Bauer – CLE 220
Chris Sale – BOS 215 2/3
Luis Severino – NYY 215


Gerrit Cole – PIT / HOU 223 2/3



NL
Aaron Nola – PHI 216 2/3
Jacob deGrom – NYM 213 2/3
Clayton Richard – SD 211 1/3
Patrick Corbin – ARZ 210 2/3
Zack Greinke – ARZ 207 2/3


Gerrit Cole – PIT / HOU 223 2/3


This is always an interesting list to me.  It shows which pitchers might be overworked and due for a slump or an injury in the second half of this season.  Of the five on this list last year, only two have returned to the list (Verlander, Sale).  Kluber is a machine (Klu-bot), but 244 innings is a lot, especially considering this doesn't include the last two playoff runs.  Verlander is always on this list, and seems to one immune to breaking down under a heavy workload.  Bauer is such a strange and unusual modern pitcher.  I don't see him breaking down either.  Sale is such a skinny guy with a strange delivery.  He could be Randy Johnson and never break down, or he could be due for some problems.  I am worried about Severino.  He is such a young player, and 215 innings is a lot (again, not counting playoffs last year).

Of the 6 players on last year's list, none have returned to the list.  Nola is a surprise at the top, showing again that he has been the Phillies' workhorse.  It might be deGrom's turn to have arm issues, as every one of the Mets aces has had those issues.  Richard has quietly been a steady pitcher for the Padres the last few seasons.  Then we have the top two Diamondbacks pitchers.  It makes sense for these totals to be so much less than the AL totals since they have to worry about hitting and pinch hitters.


Saves

AL
Edwin Diaz – SEA 57
Craig Kimbrel – BOS 42
Aroldis Chapman – NYY 40
Alex Colome – TB / SEA 34
Cody Allen – CLE 34


Sean Doolittle – OAK / WAS 43
Fernando Rodney – MIA / ARZ / MIN 38
Blake Treinan – WAS / OAK 37



NL
Kenley Jansen – LAD 47
Brad Hand – SD 43
Wade Davis – CHC / COL 43
Felipe Vazquez – PIT 38
Corey Knebel – MIL 36


Sean Doolittle – OAK / WAS 43
Fernando Rodney – MIA / ARZ / MIN 38
Blake Treinan – WAS / OAK 37


By far, the leader in saves the last 12 months has been Diaz, who almost set the record for most saves before the All Star Break.  This has been greatly helped by all the close games the Mariners have played.  Kimbrel and Chapman are thought to be the old standards you expect to see on this list every year.  Colome was a top closer before he was traded to Seattle to be Diaz's setup man.  Allen has been the back end of a great bullpen for quite some time.  Not eligible are the trade brother in Doolittle and Treinan as well as the Fernando Rodney Experience.

If you were to pick one closer you want on the mound in the 9th of a must-win game, I think Jansen might be the most popular pick.  The second best NL closer over the last 12 months, Brad Hand, is now the second best lefty specialist in the Indians' bullpen.  It feels like everyone always forgets how good Wade Davis is.  One of the few bright spots for the Pirates has been their closer Vazquez.  Knebel is the great closer at the end of a great bullpen in Milwaukee.



Underrated Hitters

Scooter Gennett – CIN
Eugenio Suarez – CIN
Whit Merrifield – KC
Nicholas Castellanos – DET
Javy Baez – CHC


One of my favorite parts of this exercise is finding the guys whose stats far outweigh their current reputation.  After hitting a huge game-tying home run in the All Star Game, more people will now know Scooter Gennett's name.  Eugenio Suarez has been possibly a top 5 third basemen over the last 12 months.  Whit Merrifield should be a top trade option for many teams over the next few weeks.  I already talked about Castellanos and how he has flown under the radar.  Some might be surprised to see Javy Baez on this list, but I think he has been more known for his antics and his defense.  It is easy to miss how good he has become at the plate.


Underrated Pitchers

Aaron Nola – PHI
Trevor Bauer – CLE
James Paxton – SEA
Carlos Carrasco – CLE
Blake Snell – TB


On almost every list, Aaron Nola was there.  He is one of the best pitchers in the league, and if the Phillies make the playoffs, he will be known for what he is.  Trevor Bauer has been a key member of the Indians rotation, but it is easy to be overshadowed by Kluber.  This might just be because I am a Mariners fan, but I feel like all things Mariners are underrated.  James Paxton is an ace whose stats show he should be in the conversation with the top pitchers in the league.  If Bauer is overshadowed by Kluber, Carlos Carrasco is overshadowed by both.  Blake Snell has been one of the most dominant pitchers in the league, but he was even underrated by his fellow players, taking an injury to get him on the All Star Team this year.


The Ineligibles

J.D. Martinez – DET / ARZ / BOS
Giancarlo Stanton – MIA / NYY
Gerrit Cole – PIT / HOU

Before I get into the MVP's and Cy Young winners for the Wraparound Season, I have to mention a couple ineligibles.  J.D. Martinez has been the best hitter over the last 12 months, and it isn't even close.  Regardless of league, he tops almost every statistical category.  Giancarlo Stanton ended his time in Miami with one of the greatest second halves in MLB history.  It could be said his time in the Bronx so far has been disappointing, but when you are comparing it to 2017 (and his teammate Aaron Judge), it is really hard to exceed expectations.  Gerrit Cole seems to finally be turning into the ace everyone hoped he would be when he was a #1 pick in the draft.  It is like the Astros of the 2010's are like the Braves of the 1990's.  They make pitchers great.

AL Wraparound MVP

Mike Trout – LAA
Jose Ramirez – CLE
Mookie Betts – BOS
Francisco Lindor – CLE
Aaron Judge – NYY


For awhile, I thought Mike Trout's legacy was a result of the WAR era.  WAR was built for players like Trout.  However, he is a top hitter in the league, a top defender in the league.  He is the best player out there.  I am starting to agree with those that say he could go down as a top 5 player of all time.  Jose Ramirez topped my underrated player list last year, and now everyone is realizing how good he is.  Mookie Betts gets all the notoriety, but has definitely earned it with an outstanding first half.  Francisco Lindor might end up being the best of all the great young shortstops in the league right now.  Then there is Aaron Judge.  I keep waiting for something to show that he is too good to be true, but nothing has come up yet.


NL Wraparound MVP

Nolan Arenado – COL
Charlie Blackmon – COL
Paul Goldschmidt – ARZ
Freddie Freeman – ATL
Joey Votto – CIN


I think a Triple Crown is reason enough to get the MVP.  Nolan Arenado still needs to be given the credit he deserves for how good he has been.  The same could be said for Charlie Blackmon.  These two teammates (Trevor Story could be part of the conversation too) make the Rockies a team no one wants to face in the playoffs.  Paul Goldschmidt might be the most overlooked superstar of the last decade.  Freddie Freeman has been the leader of possibly the biggest surprise team of this season.  No list of the NL's best hitters is complete without Joey Votto.


AL Wraparound Cy Young

Justin Verlander – DET / HOU
Corey Kluber – CLE
Chris Sale – BOS
Luis Severino – NYY
Trevor Bauer – CLE


This list was the easiest to make as these five pitchers topped almost every single statistical category I tabulated.  Justin Verlander has found his form again and is cementing his case as a no-doubt Hall of Famer.  Corey Kluber anchors one of the best pitching staffs in the league.  Chris Sale is a freak that is one of only three pitchers to start three straight All Star Games on the mound.  Luis Severino might be the best young pitcher to come along in some time.  Trevor Bauer, again, deserves more credit than he gets.  By the way, the top three on this list is the same as last year.  Different order, but the same.


NL Wraparound Cy Young

Max Scherzer – WAS
Jacob deGrom – NYM
Aaron Nola – PHI
Patrick Corbin – ARZ
Zack Greinke – ARZ


One of the most significant parts of this list is who is missing.  Clayton Kershaw, thought to be one of the best pitchers of his generation, has been so injured and banged up over the last 12 months that he didn't even make my list of the top 156 pitchers statistically of the last 12 months.  Max Scherzer was number one last year, and is number one again.  Like Verlander, he seems to only get better.  There is a reason so many teams want Jacob deGrom this Trade Deadline.  He is really really good.  (On a side note, also missing the top 156 was deGrom teammate Noah Syndergaard.)  Aaron Nola will soon have the reputation that matches his skill.  Patrick Corbin and Zack Greinke show why the Diamondbacks made the playoffs last year and are in position to do it again this year.  They have put together a great starting rotation.


Top Relievers

Edwin Diaz – SEA
Kenley Jansen – LAD
Craig Kimbrel – BOS
Sean Doolittle – OAK / WAS
Brad Hand – SD

Although he joined the long list of closers to blow a save at the All Star Game, it is hard to deny the dominance of Edwin Diaz over the last 12 months.  Kenley Jansen and Craig Kimbrel might be the most trusted arms in each league because they have shown they can do it year after year.  Sean Doolittle has been filthy for several years now.  Being in DC might actually get him some recognition for it.  The Indians picking up Brad Hand has the potential to have just as much impact on the playoffs (maybe more) as the Dodgers picking up Machado.


To see all the stats gathered for the Wraparound Season, click the link below: