2018 Pre-Season Profile: Toronto Blue Jays

#22

The Toronto Blue Jays went from perennial playoff contender to irrelevance in 2017.  Does 2018 bring a return to form or more of the same?

2017 Predictions

5th in AL East

No Blue Jays starting pitcher will start more than 30 games.

2017 Results

76-86, 4th in AL East

I had a pretty good read on the Blue Jays last year.  Losing some key pieces, watching others age in front of them, and fighting through injuries led to them only one game out of the cellar in the AL East.  As for their pitching, Marcus Stroman and JA Happ were able to each start 33 games, however 2016 All Star Aaron Sanchez had the setback I predicted, only pitching 36 innings in an injury-plagued campaign.

Additions / Subtractions

The Blue Jays made some minor moves for some veterans that will help fill out their roster in 2018.  The most noteworthy additions were veteran Curtis Granderson to man leftfield and former top prospect Randal Grichuk to man rightfield.  Some other minor moves for depth were infielders Yangervis Solarte and Aledmys Diaz along with pitchers Jaime Garcia and Seung Hwan Oh.  None of these moves could be considered huge difference makers (maybe Grichuk), but it helps the lineup look respectable in 2018 as opposed to some of the "extreme tankers" (Marlins, I'm looking at you).

Most Important Hitter

Justin Smoak

In 2017, Justin Smoak went from a prime example of potential that never delivers to finally putting it all together to be an All Star.  Now entering 2018, the Blue Jays are going to be relying on Smoak to anchor the center of their order with Josh Donaldson.  More times than not, when a player has a spike year like Smoak did in 2017, it is more likely for it to be a fluke instead of a sign of good things to come.  The Blue Jays are really hoping Smoak can buck the trend.

Most Important Pitcher

Marcus Stroman

Over the last few seasons, Marcus Stroman has emerged as one of the better pitchers in baseball.  Only entering his age 27 season, Stroman will try and repeat a productive 2017 that started with him dominating in the WBC and finished with him being the best player on the Blue Jays in terms of WAR.  Stroman is the ultimate competitor.  Will he be able to stay interested and on top of his game if the Blue Jays aren't in contention?  Also, he has thrown over 200 innings the last two seasons.  He has not had a history of arm issues (although he is working through some shoulder inflammation right now).  Will he be able to avoid the inevitable lost season young pitchers have had to arm problems?

Prospect to Watch

Anthony Alford

The Blue Jays have a pretty stacked farm system, highlighted by a couple second generation big leaguers.  However, Vlad Guerrero Jr. and Bo Bichette are still at least a year away from being ready for the big leagues.  The intriguing one to watch for 2018 is Anthony Alford.  This former football player for Southern Miss is a crazy athlete with blazing speed.  His other tools are still developing, but the Blue Jays would love to see him break through in leftfield at some point this year and maybe even be their leadoff hitter with a little pop.

2018 Prediction

3rd in AL East

Predicting them to finish in the middle of the AL East might be a little deceiving.  The Yankees and Red Sox are the only teams in this division that will finish over .500.  The Blue Jays are actually set up well moving forward.  They have some big-time prospects waiting in the wings and a decent pitching staff, led by Stroman and Aaron Sanchez, that will still be there when they are ready to compete again.  This season might not be a success in Toronto, but they are building to something great.

Fearless Prediction

2018 will be Josh Donaldson's last season as a Blue Jay.

Josh Donaldson only has one more year of control after 2018.  His relationship with the Blue Jays' front office has been rocky at best throughout his time in Toronto.  Chances are he will not be re-signing with the Blue Jays.  The Blue Jays probably don't want him back considering they have one of the top prospects in the world (Vlad Guerrero Jr.) that plays third base.  So all this leads to, ideally, an offseason trade to bring back more prospects that will support this new wave that will be ready to compete in a few years.

2015 Pre-Season Profile: New York Mets

The New York Mets definitely made significant strides in 2014, even with superstar pitcher Matt Harvey sidelined for the whole season.  With Harvey healthy and ready to go, does 2015 show even more success for the Mets?

Last Season

79-83, 3rd in NL East

There is definitely hope in Mets Nation after their 2014 season.  Despite missing their best player, they came up with their highest win total since their last winning season in 2008.  With young players like Juan Legares and Travis d'Arnaud solidifying their roles alongside mainstays like David Wright and Curtis Granderson, things are starting to look up for the offense.  On the pitching side, youngsters Zack Wheeler and Rookie of the Year winner Jacob deGrom showed that there is more to their pitching staff than just Matt Harvey.

2015 Additions / Subtractions

For the most part, the Mets were almost silent this offseason, which is rare out of a New York team.  The one change in their lineup is the addition of veteran Michael Cuddyer replacing Eric Young, Jr. in leftfield.  The most significant move going into this season is one they did not want to make.  During Spring Training, phenom pitcher Zack Wheeler underwent Tommy John surgery and will miss the 2015 season.  As disappointing as this is, remembering that there is now a healthy Matt Harvey lessens the sting some.

Most Important Hitter

David Wright

The Mets' most important hitter is also by far their most popular hitter.  David Wright has been the heart and soul of the Mets since he debuted as a 21 year old in 2004.  Now he is entering his age 32 season and is coming off one of his worst seasons of his career.  The Mets are getting younger, but if this current team is going to have any success this year, Wright has to return to his All Star level and produce at the plate.  Was last year an anomaly or a sign of age?

Most Important Pitcher

Jacob deGrom

The weight of the world has been thrown onto the shoulders of ace Matt Harvey, who has yet to even pitch a full season in the big leagues.  That is a lot of pressure for a young pitcher, but unless you are Clayton Kershaw, one starting pitcher doesn't win you a pennant (and Kershaw even had Zack Greinke helping out).  Harvey needs a number two to take some pressure off, and with Wheeler out for the year, Jacob deGrom needs to be that number two.  Although he won the Rookie of the Year in 2014, he was far from great.  He has the potential to get there, and he needs to show that potential if the Mets want to continue to make positive strides in 2015.

Player to Watch

Noah Syndergaard

The recent injury to Zack Wheeler almost ensures this year will feature the emergence of prospect Noah Syndergaard.  Ever since the Mets received him in the RA Dickey trade, fans have been awaiting the Mets' version of the "Big 3" at the top of their rotation with Harvey, Wheeler, and Syndergaard.  Although Wheeler's injury has delayed the debut of the Big 3, it will speed up the debut of Syndergaard, who could easily give the Mets two straight Rookie of the Year awards in their starting rotation.

Prediction

4th in NL East

The Mets are making strides in the right direction.  Their young rotation is poised for greatness for sure, but I don't see the lineup being quite ready to break out.  As good as David Wright has been, his best years are behind him.  The same can be said for Granderson and Cuddyer.  Looking at the rest of their lineup, I don't see any bats that are feared.  If Wright, Cuddyer, and Granderson can all stay healthy for the whole season (unlikely) and all return to their greatness they once showed (unlikely), then the Mets have a chance this year.  Instead, I see another season full of promise but nothing fulfilled.  They need to find some younger impact bats for that lineup before the window of this amazing pitching staff passes.