Showing posts with label Clayton Kershaw. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Clayton Kershaw. Show all posts

Saturday, April 1, 2023

2023 Pre-Season Profile: Los Angeles Dodgers

 #1
The Los Angeles Dodgers made news this offseason for not making much news.  Can they contend for a title in 2023 with their current roster?


#2 - 1st in NL West, lose in World Series
MIH - Cody Bellinger
MIP - Julio Urias
PTW - Michael Busch

2022 Results
#5 - 111-51, 1st in NL West, lost in NLDS
Highest WAR (Position) - Mookie Betts
Highest WAR (Pitcher) - Julio Urias
The Dodgers are consistently one of the best regular season teams year after year, winning over 100 games for the 4th time in 5 seasons (excluding the COVID-shortened 2020 season).  However, outside of the COVID-shortened 2020 season, the regular season success hasn't produced any postseason results.  Adding insult to injury, they were eliminated from the playoffs by divisional rival San Diego in 2022.  Is it possible Dave Roberts is on the hot seat even with all that success?


Additions / Subtractions
The Dodgers had a very strange offseason for them in that they didn't make a splash.  While every other big market team was adding huge contracts and superstars to their payroll, the Dodgers instead watched Trea Turner, Cody Bellinger, Justin Turner, Joey Gallo, Tyler Anderson, Andrew Heaney, and Craig Kimbrel walk away while Gavin Lux and Walker Buehler will miss the season with injuries.  With that kind of star power leaving, most of them were replaced internally or with short term deals.  New Dodgers include starter Noah Syndergaard, infielder Miguel Rojas, outfielder Jason Heyward, and DH J.D. Martinez.  Many speculate that the Dodgers didn't spend this offseason so they can offer a half a billion dollars to Shohei Ohtani next winter.


Most Important Hitter
Max Muncy
The Dodgers still have Mookie Betts and Freddie Freeman at the heart of their lineup, but a lineup is more than two players (just ask the Angels).  Max Muncy is one of those players that the Dodgers are really counting on to provide that depth.  The Dodgers unlocked something in Muncy when he joined the team in 2018 as he hit over 35 home runs in 2018, 2019, and 2021 while making the All Star team twice.  However, in 2022 Muncy took a step back, only hitting 21 home runs with an OPS+ of 97.  With Justin Turner's departure, Muncy is now the everyday third baseman, especially with second base not really an option anymore with the new shift ban.  If he returns to his 2021 form, that will go a long way in keeping the Dodger lineup moving.


Most Important Pitcher
Dustin May
Julio Urias emerged as an ace last season, and Clayton Kershaw is still around, however the biggest X-factor in the Dodger rotation is Dustin May.  At one point, May was one of the most promising prospects in all of baseball, but injuries have made it difficult for him to reach his potential.  He will have every opportunity in 2023 to show what he can do.  His stuff is still filthy so as long as he can stay healthy, May may be a prime breakout candidate this season.


Prospect to Watch
Miguel Vargas
The miracle of this run the Dodgers are on is they have been able to make the blockbuster trades and sign the big free agents while maintaining one of the best farm systems in all of baseball.  Ranked either 1st or 2nd (to the Orioles), the Dodgers currently have 7 prospects in the Top 100.  This organizational depth is going to be leaned on this season to help replace some of the departing star power, with several rookies getting Opening Day starts.  One of those is Miguel Vargas.  Ranked 37th in the Top 100, the 23 year old Cuban can play anywhere on the field, but will be looked to as the everyday second baseman this season.  Vargas is a pretty elite hitter so as long as he hits, the Dodgers will find a role for him.


2023 Prediction
1st in NL West, win World Series
There you have it!  My World Series pick!  I love what the Dodgers did (or didn't do) to get ready for this year.  There's something to the consistency and trusting the talent you have, especially finally allowing the young talent to truly get a chance to thrive at the big league level.  The sneakiest move of the whole offseason might be the trade for Miguel Rojas, especially after Gavin Lux's injury.  I don't see the Dodgers winning 111 games again this season.  In fact, I have them picked to have the worst record among the division champs and having to play through the Wild Card Round.  However, it just makes too much sense that the year no one is paying attention to them is the year they go all the way.  Also, can you imagine a Yankees/Dodgers World Series?  It's a marketing dream!


Fearless Prediction
Clayton Kershaw retires after this season.
Clayton Kershaw is one of the best pitchers of this generation.  He is a 9 time All Star, a former MVP, won the pitching Triple Crown and 3 Cy Youngs.  He is also in his age 35 season and has been making a habit of signing 1 year contracts recently.  There have been rumblings that he has started questioning when it's time to call it a career each offseason.  I would imagine a full season World Series championship will be the perfect opportunity for Kershaw to ride off into the Cooperstown sunset.


Thursday, April 1, 2021

2021 Pre-Season Profile: Los Angeles Dodgers

 #3
The Los Angeles Dodgers finally broke through and took the top prize in 2020 for the first time since 1988.  Is this the start of a new dynasty in LA?

#1 - 1st in NL West, win World Series
MIH - Corey Seager
MIP - Julio Urias
PTW - Dustin May

2020 Result
#1 - 43-17, 1st in NL West, won World Series
I will once again brag that I correctly predicted the World Series matchup and result!  The Dodgers have been one of the most talented teams in the league for awhile now, but finally they took the top prize.  They seem to only ever get better and stronger and deeper.

Additions / Subtractions
Even after winning the World Series, the Dodgers couldn't be content.  They had to get better, especially after seeing the crazy moves made by the division rival Padres.  Enter 2020 Cy Young Award winner Trevor Bauer.  If any team didn't need another starting pitcher, it was the Dodgers.  Now they have the most elite rotations in memory with Trevor Bauer, Clayton Kershaw, Walker Buehler, Julio Urias, Dustin May, David Price, and Tony Gonsolin all in a position to get starts throughout the season.  In terms of the lineup, they re-signed third baseman Justin Turner while they let second baseman Kike Hernandez sign elsewhere, clearing room for former top prospect Gavin Lux to start every day.

Most Important Hitter
Will Smith
The Dodgers lineup is loaded with at least three potential MVP candidates in Mookie Betts, Cody Bellinger, and Corey Seager.  However, the key to their lineup might be catcher Will Smith, not necessarily for what he brings offensively but what he brings behind the plate.  Smith is entering his third full season in the big leagues, and he has always been able to hit.  His work defensively will be much more crucial as he looks to be the everyday catcher in 2021, especially considering the dream team pitching staff that is throwing to him.

Most Important Pitcher
Kenley Jansen
The starting rotation is deep and elite.  The bullpen is just as deep, but there are definite questions as to how elite they are at the back end.  Kenley Jansen has been the closer in LA for almost a decade.  His peak was in 2017 where he had 41 saves, a 1.32 ERA, and earned both Cy Young and MVP votes.  The last three seasons have been borderline average for Jansen, so much so that there has been talk of hi keeping his closer job.  Now the 33 year old is looking for a bounce back season to keep his job and keep the rest the back end of that bullpen elite.

Prospect to Watch
Keibert Ruiz
Along with bringing in some top talents through trades and free agency, the Dodgers have been incredibly good at building from within in recent years.  Whether it is Cody Bellinger, Corey Seager, Will Smith, Walker Buehler, or Julio Urias, the Dodgers constantly develop talent into stars and rarely trade away their top prospects.  Not many of the top prospects are projected to help the big club this season (and with the veteran depth they have, that's no surprise).  The one most likely to have an impact in the majors is top catching prospect Keibert Ruiz.  Ruiz is one that the Dodgers have been protecting the last few seasons in the big trades they have pulled off.  Now he will either be the trade chip they need to make another big splash or provide some depth behind the plate behind Will Smith and Austin Barnes.

2021 Prediction
1st in NL West, lose in NLCS
Are the Dodgers the most talented roster in the league?  Yes.  Are they the defending champions?  Yes.  Are they the favorites to repeat?  Yes.  With all that said, only twice in the 21st century have the defending champs even made the World Series the next year (2001 Yankees, 2009 Phillies).  No one has repeated as champs since the 1998-2000 Yankees won three in a row.  The last seven seasons have even had seven different champions.  The Dodgers have the talent to have that kind of run, but it is extremely hard to do.  There is enough parody in baseball right now that I think the Dodgers fall short of the Fall Classic in 2021.  At the same time, this year might be the easiest year to repeat with their depth and the short season in 2020.

Fearless Prediction
This is the last year Clayton Kershaw wears Dodger blue.
Clayton Kershaw is going to go down as one of the greatest pitchers of all time.  He is entering a contract year as a 33 year old, and looking at a roster filled with megadeals and superstars looking for megadeals.  At some point the Dodgers have to run out of money, right?  They just paid Mookie Betts last year, they paid Trevor Bauer this year, they need to decide who will be their shortstop of the future and give him a big payday (whether it is Corey Seager or one of the other superstar free agent shortstops), young stars like Cody Bellinger and Walker Buehler will need to be paid soon, and they still have some other big contracts on the books like A.J. Pollock and David Price.  You have to think Kershaw will either need to take a huge hometown discount or move on to a team that needs a star, like Kershaw's hometown Rangers.


Saturday, April 7, 2018

2018 MLB Pre-Season Profiles: #10-6


They may not win it all, but these teams will be able to claim that they made the playoffs in 2018.

#10
Los Angeles Angels

Most Important Hitter: Shohei Ohtani
Most Important Pticher: Shohei Ohtani
Prospect to Watch: Shohei Ohtani
2018 Prediction: 2nd in AL West, WILD CARD, lose Wild Card Game
Bold Prediction: Shohei Ohtani will have 15+ wins and 15+ home runs.

I may be overstating it a little bit, especially considering this team also has the best player in the world in Mike Trout, but Shohei Ohtani is the most fascinating player in baseball this season.  If he does what he is projected to do (and continues the success he has shown in the start of the season), the combination of Trout and Ohtani might lift the Angels back to the postseason.  The main concern is their bullpen, but their lineup is as complete as it has been since Trout broke into the league.  They won't go far, but the playoffs are within reach.


#9
Milwaukee Brewers

Most Important Hitter: Eric Thames
Most Important Pticher: Chase Anderson
Prospect to Watch: Brandon Woodruff
2018 Prediction: 2nd in NL Central, WILD CARD, lose in Wild Card Game
Bold Prediction: The Brewers will trade for an ace by the All Star Break.

I don't know what was more surprising: the Brewers' 2017 season or the Brewers 2018 offseason.  The Brewers came up just short of the playoffs in 2017, greatly surpassing most expectations.  Then, they go out in the offseason and improve their club more than almost anyone else, adding Lorenzo Cain and Christian Yelich to an already good outfield.  Many were surprised they also didn't land a frontline starter, which was the main area of concern entering the offseason.  That is why it would make sense if the Brewers use their depth in the outfield to go get a starter during the season.


#8
Boston Red Sox

Most Important Hitter: J.D. Martinez
Most Important Pticher: David Price
Prospect to Watch: Michael Chavis
2018 Prediction: 2nd in AL East, WILD CARD, lose in ALDS
Bold Prediction: J.D. Martinez will be the only Red Sox hitter over 20 home runs.

The Red Sox got the power hitter they were missing last year when they picked up J.D. Martinez part way through Spring Training.  They will have a successful season, but won't get too far.  It will be interesting to watch what happens with Michael Chavis this year.  He is the top prospect for the Red Sox, but was just suspended for 80 games.  He is also blocked from coming up to the big leagues by young phenom Rafael Devers.  Even though the Red Sox do not have a strong farm system anymore, it looks like Chavis might be the perfect trading chip mid-season.


#7
Cleveland Indians

Most Important Hitter: Jose Ramirez
Most Important Pticher: Trevor Bauer
Prospect to Watch: Francisco Mejia
2018 Prediction: 1st in AL Central, lose in ALDS
Bold Prediction: Corey Kluber will be the AL starting pitcher in the All Star Game.

The Indians have a loaded roster and should cruise through the AL Central.  Jose Ramirez will look to follow up an MVP-caliber 2017 season with another great year.  Trevor Bauer will be counted on to add depth to the rotation behind Kluber and Carlos Carrasco.  By Memorial Day, Francisco Mejia will be the Indians' starting catcher.  They might not get back to the World Series in 2018, but they will have a great season.


#6
Los Angeles Dodgers

Most Important Hitter: Cody Bellinger
Most Important Pticher: Kenta Maeda
Prospect to Watch: Walker Buehler
2018 Prediction: 1st in NL West, lose in NLDS
Bold Prediction: Clayton Kershaw will return in 2019 to the Dodgers.

The Dodgers still have an amazing roster and will be a serious contender to return to the World Series.  They will need another year from Cody Bellinger like he had in his rookie 2017 season.  Kenta Maeda, being the only right-hander in the Dodgers' rotation, needs to have a productive season.  Walker Buehler could help that rotation at some point as well.  The big story is whether Clayton Kershaw will opt out of his contract after the season and hit free agency.  Whether he opts out or not, he will be a Dodger in 2019.  How could he be anything else?

Friday, July 14, 2017

2016-2017 MLB Wraparound Season


It's that mystical time of year once again!  There ... are ... no ... sports.  You know you are in trouble when the best you can get is NBA Summer League and golf's US Women's Open.  I really can't wait for baseball to come back from the All Star Break today.  This year's Mid-Summer Classic in Miami was definitely a classic.  Aaron Judge made the Home Run Derby must-see-TV.  Also, even though the All Star Game doesn't count for anything anymore, it was still a fun competitive game.  That's one of the big differences between baseball and the other sports.  Football's Pro Bowl can be hard to watch at times as they take it half speed to not hurt anybody.  Basketball's All Star Game is the same as no one plays defense and everyone just plays street ball.  Baseball is different.  Playing baseball is playing baseball however hard you go.  In fact, the game might even be more fun in a game like the All Star Game.  I also loved what they did with the broadcast; talking to players on the field during the game, interviewing hitters as they walk to the batters' box, and of course the Nelson Cruz selfie.  It was one of the most fun baseball experiences I have had in awhile.

To fill the time every year during the break in the sports schedule, I like to take a look at which baseball players have had the best 12 month period.  I compile stats from after last year's All Star Game all the way to this year's All Star Game and see what it would look like if that was considered its own season.  I call it the Wraparound Season.  For hitters, I compile stats for the top 50 players in hits, doubles, home runs, runs, and RBI's from 2016 Post All Star Break and 2017 Pre All Star Break.  For pitchers, I do the same for top 50 in wins, innings pitched, strikeouts, and top 30 in saves.  It's not a perfect system, but it gives a pretty good sample of players.  This year, this gave me 176 hitters and 171 pitchers.  Before we look at league leaders for the 2016-2017 Wraparound Season, let's look back at the top players in the league from the 2015-2016 Wraparound Season.

AL Top Hitters
1.  David Ortiz
2.  Josh Donaldson
3.  Jose Altuve
4.  Edwin Encarnacion
5.  Robinson Cano

NL Top Hitters
1.  Carlos Gonzalez
2.  Nolan Arenado
3.  Matt Carpenter
4.  Daniel Murphy
5.  Kris Bryant

AL Top Starting Pitchers
1.  Chris Sale
2.  David Price
3.  Danny Salazar
4.  Marco Estrada
5.  Justin Verlander

NL Top Starting Pitchers
1.  Clayton Kershaw
2.  Jake Arrieta
3.  Madison Bumgarner
4.  Jose Fernandez
5.  Stephen Strasburg

Top Relievers / Closers
1.  Zach Britton
2.  Andrew Miller
3.  Wade Davis
4.  Kenley Jansen
5.  Hector Rondon

Of the 25 players that made the top lists last year, only nine of them return this year.  Let's look at the stats.

Batting Average
AL
Jose Altuve – HOU .341
Jose Ramirez – CLE .331
Dustin Pedroia – BOS .319
Carlos Correa – HOU .310
Jose Abreu – CWS .308


Jean Segura – ARZ / SEA .338
Mike Trout – LAA .319
JD Martinez – DET .316
Aaron Judge – NYY .313
Adrian Beltre – TEX .310

NL
Joey Votto – CIN .358
Daniel Murphy – WAS .342
Justin Turner – LAD .335
Freddie Freeman – ATL .333
DJ LeMahieu – COL .331


Jean Segura – ARZ / SEA .338


First, there is a top five in this category, but the players listed underneath do not qualify for one of two reasons.  First, in the case of Jean Segura, he has compiled his stats in both leagues and therefore doesn't qualify for either top list.  Second, I made the cut off to make the top list at 400 at bats.  This disqualified Trout, Martinez, and Beltre because of injury and Aaron Judge due to him being a rookie and spending most of last season in the minors.  They all would otherwise make the list.  With all that said, let's look at the stats.  You don't think of guys like Correa and Abreu as average guys, but they have really produced.  Altuve is still the hitting machine he has been the last few years.  Jose Ramirez is a player you don't realize has been as good as he has.

In the NL, no one has been as good as Joey Votto.  Daniel Murphy has become one of the most consistent hitters in the game.  Justin Turner shows why he deserved to make the All Star Team in the Final Vote.  Freddie Freeman was a potential MVP candidate before he got hurt.  DJ LeMahieu is a guy that no one realizes how good he actually is, even though he won the batting title last season.


Home Runs
AL
Khris Davis – OAK 47
Brian Dozier – MIN 41
George Springer – HOU 37
Justin Upton – DET 37
Nelson Cruz – SEA 37
Edwin Encarnacion – TOR / CLE 37

NL
Joey Votto – CIN 41
Jay Bruce – CIN / NYM 38
Charlie Blackmon – COL 37
Jedd Gyorko – STL 36
Nolan Arenado – COL 35
Freddie Freeman – ATL 34


I last year's Wraparound season, the home run leader was Chris Davis.  This year, the home run leader is Khris Davis.  Although this Khris Davis is not as known, he is showing he is just as powerful as the big bopper from Baltimore.  Brian Dozier followed up a strong 2016 with a solid start to 2017 while, surprisingly, still playing in Minnesota.  Springer has broken out into a star this season.  Upton has quietly found his way up to the top of this list.  Cruz and Encarnacion are the types of names you expect to see at the top of this list every year.

Not only does Joey Votto have the best batting average, but he would be 2/3 of the way to the Triple Crown (if this were an actual season).  Jay Bruce finally figured out how to hit in New York just in time for the Mets to be terrible.  Charlie Blackmon is the latest member of the Rockies to become a formidable hitter.  Jedd Gyorko is somehow the best hitter on the Cardinals right now through their lineup's struggles.  Arenado seems to finally be starting to get the credit he deserves for how good he is.  Once again, despite the injury, Freddie Freeman makes a list, showing just how good he is.


RBI
AL
Nelson Cruz – SEA 117
Albert Pujols – LAA 113
Khris Davis – OAK 107
Mookie Betts – BOS 107
Jose Abreu – CWS 106
Carlos Correa – HOU 106

NL
Nolan Arenado – COL 133
Joey Votto – CIN 123
Anthony Rendon – WAS 106
Paul Goldschmidt – ARZ 104
Adam Duvall – CIN 103


The AL list is topped with a couple strong veterans.  Cruz is playing as well as ever, but Pujols is a surprise on this list with how his career has been on a decline.  Mookie Betts makes this list, validating some of the hype as him being one of the best in the game.  Then we have a couple names we have already seen in Abreu and Correa.

For the second year in row, Arenado is at the top of this RBI list.  Joey Votto is just 10 RBI's away from completing the Triple Crown.  Anthony Rendon is another top name to appear from one of the best teams in the game.  Goldschmidt makes an appearance as he is a potential MVP candidate this season.  Adam Duvall is a surprise for several reasons.  First, we haven't heard from him much this season after last year's breakout year.  Second, that makes the Cincinnati Reds as the only team with two players in the top five in RBI's.  That's not the team I would have picked for that distinction.


OPS
AL
Jose Ramirez – CLE .941
Gary Sanchez – NYY .939
Jose Altuve – HOU .931
Miguel Cabrera – DET .921
Logan Morrison – TB .913


Aaron Judge – NYY 1.076
Mike Trout – LAA 1.068
JD Martinez – DET .970
Adrian Beltre – TEX .969
David Ortiz – BOS .922

NL
Freddie Freeman – ATL 1.113
Joey Votto – CIN 1.107
Daniel Murphy – WAS .972
Charlie Blackmon – COL .969
Justin Turner – LAD .964


Cody Bellinger – LAD .964


OPS has become known as one of better stats to determine the effectiveness of a hitter (without diving too deeply into the sabermetrics).  It combines on base percentage with slugging percentage.  Once again in the AL, it appears the top hitters in the AL do not have enough at bats to qualify, but it is hard to argue the likes of Judge, Trout, Martinez, and Beltre do not deserve mention here.  Once again, Jose Ramirez tops the list.  Everyone was talking about Gary Sanchez last season, and although this year he hasn't quite been as good as before, that was a really hard standard to live up to.  Miguel Cabrera shows he is still one of the formidable hitters in the league.  Last, we have the very surprising Logan Morrison, one of a few former Mariner first basemen that decided to learn how to hit this year (stupid Justin Smoak...).

Once again, we are validated that the two best hitters in the NL over the last 12 months are Freddie Freeman and Joey Votto.  Daniel Murphy and Charlie Blackmon belong in that conversation as well.  Everyone has talked about how crazy dominant Cody Bellinger has been this year, but his OPS barely would make this top five if he had enough at bats.


Wins
AL
Dylan Bundy – BAL 16
Carlos Carrasco – CLE 16
Corey Kluber – CLE 16
Rick Porcello – BOS 15
Masahiro Tanaka – NYY 15

NL
Max Scherzer – WAS 20
Dan Straily – CIN / MIA 17
Zach Davies – MIL 15
Clayton Kershaw – LAD 15
Jon Lester – CHC 15
Kenta Maeda – LAD 15
Ivan Nova – PIT 15
Adam Wainwright – STL 15


I know a lot of people refuse to acknowledge the win as a legitimate stat anymore, but the way I see it, the bottom line is winning and losing.  So if you are able to lead your team to a win from the mound, it is a good thing.  With that said, only a couple names on the AL list feel like they belong there.  Dylan Bundy would never be considered a top pitcher, but he leads the AL in wins over the last 12 months along with Carrasco and Kluber, who led their team to the World Series last year.  Reigning Cy Young Award winner Porcello makes the list with Tanaka, who everyone forgets just how good he can be.

Max Scherzer is one of the best pitchers in baseball, and he shows that by being the only pitcher with 20+ wins over the Wraparound Season.  Dan Straily is another one you don't think of when you think of dominant ace, but he has been effective.  Then the group tied for third has some usual suspects (Kershaw, Lester, Wainwright) and some surprises (Davies, Maeda, Nova).


ERA (150 IP minimum)
AL
Corey Kluber – CLE 2.66
Ervin Santana – MIN 2.85
Chris Sale – CWS / BOS 2.98
Sean Manaea – OAK 3.26
Justin Verlander – DET 3.31

NL
Clayton Kershaw – LAD 2.02
Max Scherzer – WAS 2.44
Kyle Hendricks – CHC 2.65
Chase Anderson – MIL 2.84
Jon Lester – CHC 3.11


Last Wraparound Season saw guys like Kershaw and Arrieta with sub 2.00 ERA's that were almost leading the league regardless of an innings limit.  That is not the case this year.  Kluber has shown that he belongs in the discussion as one of the best pitchers in the league.  Ervin Santana has quietly been dominant in Minnesota.  Sale and Verlander should be on this list.  The real surprise is Sean Manaea.  This young hurler for the A's is nowhere near being considered a top pitcher in the game, but this stat might argue otherwise.

Although Kershaw isn't at a 1.56 ERA like he was last year in the 15-16 Wraparound, 2.02 isn't bad.  Scherzer continues to be dominant.  Hendricks hasn't been great so far in 2017, but this shows just how good he was at the end of 2016.  Chase Anderson joins Zach Davies in the list of no name stars that have led the Brewers to first place.  Jon Lester seems to always find a way to be effective.


Overall ERA
AL
Zach Britton – BAL 0.87
Andrew Miller – NYY / CLE 1.47
Craig Kimbrel – BOS 1.87
Chris Devenski – HOU 2.37
Cody Allen – CLE 2.40


Aroldis Chapman – NYY / CHC 1.86
Wade Davis – KC / CHC 2.25

NL
Alex Wood – LAD 1.59
Greg Holland – COL 1.62
Tyler Thornburg – MIL 1.69
Kenley Jansen – LAD 1.73
Raisel Iglesias – CIN 2.02


Aroldis Chapman – NYY / CHC 1.86


Really? A 0.87 ERA?  I know injuries have derailed this season for Zach Britton, limiting him to only 41 innings in the Wraparound, but 0.87 is impressive.  Miller and Kimbrel have the reputation of being dominant.  Cody Allen shows why he still holds down the closer role even with Andrew Miller in town.  Chris Devenski is gaining the reputation of being one of the most versatile and effective relievers in the league.

Alex Wood hasn't pitched enough to hit the innings limit, but he is the only starter on either of these lists.  Holland has only pitched in 2017 and has been dominant in his return from Tommy John.  Thornburg, although now in Boston, hasn't pitched yet in 2017 so all his stats are in the NL.  Kenley Jansen has become one of the most dominant closers in the game.  Raisel Iglesias went from being the Reds' opening day starter a few years ago to being a pretty solid closer.  Then we have two Cubs rental closers in Chapman and Davis.


Strikeouts
AL
Chris Sale – CWS / BOS 288
Chris Archer – TB 250
Yu Darvish – TEX 238
Justin Verlander – DET 232
Corey Kluber – CLE 228

NL
Max Scherzer – WAS 293
Robbie Ray – ARZ 244
Carlos Martinez – STL 211
Jeff Samardzija – SF 204
Jon Lester – CHC 199


There has been a lot of talk in the sabermetric world recently about the "three true outcomes."  These three true outcomes are the results of an at bat that are only controlled by the pitcher and the hitter: a walk, a home run, and a strikeout.  How a pitcher does in the three true outcomes is one way of determining how dominant a pitcher actually is because the pitcher only has himself to blame.  Chris Sale has almost reached the magical 300 strikeout number this Wraparound.  Archer and Darvish are showing that they are establishing themselves again as dominant starters in the league.  Verlander and Kluber seem to be on every one of these lists.

Scherzer is even closer to 300 than Sale.  Robbie Ray has quietly been climbing this list over the last 12 months.  Carlos Martinez is one of the great young fireballers in the game.  Samardzija, although some of the other numbers don't show it, has really been a solid starter the last 12 months and potentially on the trading block this year because of it.  I find it interesting that although the top of the list almost reaches 300, Jon Lester is 5th on this list without even reaching 200 strikeouts.


Innings Pitched
AL
Chris Sale – CWS / BOS 229 1/3
Rick Porcello – BOS 229 1/3
Justin Verlander – DET 215
Chris Archer – TB 214 1/3
Ervin Santana – MIN 208 2/3

NL
Max Scherzer – WAS 229
Carlos Martinez – STL 204 1/3
Jeff Samardzija – SF 204
Ivan Nova – PIT 202 2/3
Jon Lester – CHC 200
Johnny Cueto – SF 200

I always look at the Wraparound innings pitched for potential arms that might break down the second half of this season due to being overworked.  For example, at the top of this list the last few seasons  was David Price, who had to spend 2 or 3 months on the DL at the start of this season.  Although the top of these lists are near the same numbers as last year, I find it interesting that the bottom of the top fives barely hit the 200 inning threshold, which is a standard for being a durable and effective starter.  Chris Sale seems to be one of the most durable starters out there.  Porcello surprises me at being up that high and might be due for a DL stint.  Verlander was at the top of this list a few years ago and has worked his way back up to the top.  Archer's innings are at a very manageable level.  Santana has been doing this long enough to not have to worry as much about innings pitched.

Scherzer is a work horse that never seems to slow down.  The rest of this list doesn't have a high enough number to be concerned about.  Again, you don't expect to see guys like Samardzija and Nova on this list.  Martinez seems to check all the boxes of being a top ace.  Lester and Cueto show they are still very effective in the way they eat up innings.


Saves
AL
Alex Colome – TB 43
Roberto Osuna – TOR 40
Craig Kimbrel – BOS 37
Brandon Kintzler – MIN 36
Ken Giles – HOU 33

NL
Kenley Jansen – LAD 41
Jim Johnson – ATL 37
Seung Hwan Oh – STL 35
Marc Melancon – PIT / WAS / SF 31
Brandon Maurer – SD 31

Some of the names on this list seem to raise some eyebrows.  Colome might be the best closer no one has heard of.  As young as he is, Osuna has been a big part of the Blue Jays' success over the last few years.  Kimbrel is considered as dominant as they come.  Kintzler was introduced to the baseball world at the All Star Game this year.  Giles never gets the credit he deserves for finally resurrecting his career and justifying the trade that brought him to Houston.

Kenley Jansen is the name you expect to see at the top as the best closer while also being on the best team.  Jim Johnson has helped the Braves actually be a respectable team this year.  Oh is the latest Japanese hurler to come over and dominate a bullpen.  Melancon has compiled his save count for three different teams.  Brandon Maurer is another one you don't expect to see, but he has quietly compiled over 30 saves.


Underrated Hitters


Jose Ramirez – CLE
Ender Inciarte – ATL
Jedd Gyorko – STL
Charlie Blackmon – COL
Jose Abreu – CWS

I though I would look at the most underrated hitters and pitchers over the Wraparound season this year.  Jose Ramirez doesn't get near the credit he deserves.  Inciarte deserved his spot in the All Star Game, as he led the NL in hits in the Wraparound with 212.  Gyorko is the last player you think of when you think of top hitters on his own team, let alone the league.  Charlie Blackmon has gotten a lot of attention, but not enough.  He is one of the best hitters in the league.  Jose Abreu is stuck on a terrible team which makes a lot of people forget how good he actually is.


Underrated Pitchers

Ivan Nova – PIT
Dan Straily – CIN / MIA
Sean Manaea – OAK
Ervin Santana – MIN
Robbie Ray – ARZ

I had no idea Ivan Nova has been this good over the last 12 months.  No one is talking about him being the best pitcher on his team, let alone one of the best in baseball.  Straily is the same, as he has quietly put together one of the best stat lines in the league.  As a Mariners fan, I see the A's play a lot, and I had no idea that Sean Manaea had been as good as he has been.  It is great to see Ervin Santana work his way back to a dominant level.  Robbie Ray has been one of the main reasons the Diamondbacks are fighting for a playoff spot.


AL Wraparound MVP

Jose Ramirez – CLE
Jose Altuve – HOU
Mike Trout – LAA
Aaron Judge – NYY
Nelson Cruz – SEA


If you look at the stats, Jose Ramirez is good enough to be the Wraparound MVP.  Altuve is expected to be up there.  Trout and Judge, despite not playing much, deserve consideration with their insane stats.  Nelson Cruz is one of many that could take that 5th spot.


NL Wraparound MVP

Joey Votto – CIN
Freddie Freeman – ATL
Charlie Blackmon – COL
Nolan Arenado – COL
Daniel Murphy – WAS

This list is pretty cut and dry.  Joey Votto, although still playing on a terrible Reds team, is the best hitter in the NL.  If it weren't for his injury, Freddie Freeman might be able to compete with Votto for this spot.  Blackmon and Arenado make it two years in a row that two Rockies make this list (last year it was Arenado and Carlos Gonzalez).  Daniel Murphy is the leader of the National offense statistically, with Rendon second, and maybe Zimmerman third.  Notice I did not say Bryce Harper.


AL Wraparound Cy Young

Corey Kluber – CLE
Chris Sale – CWS / BOS
Justin Verlander – DET
Chris Archer – TB
Ervin Santana – MIN

Kluber and Sale could easily be switched here.  However, Kluber has been pitching meaningful innings every start over the last 12 months.  The same cannot be said for Sale.  Verlander and Archer are not surprises being up on this list.  Again, Ervin Santana is a surprise.


NL Wraparound Cy Young

Max Scherzer – WAS
Clayton Kershaw – LAD
Carlos Martinez – STL
Kyle Hendricks – CHC
Ivan Nova – PIT

If Kershaw hadn't spent a little time on the DL at the end of 2016, he might be able to pass Scherzer.  However, these two are by far the most dominant pitchers in the game right now.  Martinez is one of the few things that have gone right for the Cardinals this year.  Hendricks is up there despite a mediocre start to 2017.  Again, the 5th spot goes to the surprise pitcher in Ivan Nova.


Top Relievers

Kenley Jansen – LAD
Andrew Miller – NYY / CLE
Craig Kimbrel – BOS
Aroldis Chapman – NYY / CHC
Wade Davis – KC / CHC

Kenley Jansen has broken through as the best reliever in baseball over the last 12 months.  Andrew Miller has shown he was probably the best deadline trade of last year.  Kimbrel has returned to the dominant Atlanta days.  Chapman and Davis continue to be the shut down 9th inning guys they have the reputation of being.


To see all the stats that were gathered for this, click the link below: