Showing posts with label Joey Votto. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Joey Votto. Show all posts

Tuesday, February 28, 2023

2023 Pre-Season Profile: Cincinnati Reds

 #28
The Cincinnati Reds have been selling off big league talent over the last few years and building up a strong farm system in the process.  Will 2023 be the year the big league roster starts to see some impact from all this young talent?


#26 - 4th in NL Central
MIH - Jonathan India
MIP - Luis Castillo
PTW - Hunter Greene

2022 Results
#27 - 62-100 - 4th in NL Central
Highest WAR (Position) - Brandon Drury
Highest WAR (Pitcher) - Luis Castillo
The Reds went from over .500 in 2021 to a 100 loss season in 2022.  They saw their ace traded mid-season (Luis Castillo), as well as their best hitter (Brandon Drury).  The offense struggled to score, but their young pitching showed some real bright spots, with phenom starters Hunter Greene and Nick Lodolo having strong rookie seasons.  Also, rookie Alexis Diaz emerged as their closer of the future.  So amid a disappointing season, there was some hope.


Additions / Subtractions
As with many teams in rebuild mode, the offseason was about seeing if any of their veterans had value on the trade market while bringing in other veterans to be placeholders until the kids are ready.  Much of the Reds' work was done mid-season in shedding big league talent, but the offseason also saw the departure of Mike Moustakas, Kyle Farmer, Donovan Solano, and Mike Minor.  The new crop of veterans include starter Luke Weaver, shortstop Kevin Newman, and corner outfielder / first baseman Wil Myers.


Most Important Hitter
Nick Senzel
Not every prospect works out, and so far in his big league career, Nick Senzel is one of those prospects that just hasn't.  The former #2 overall pick is now entering his age 28 season and 5th full season in the big leagues.  So far, his rookie season (2019) was the most successful, where he posted a measly 87 OPS+ with 12 home runs.  In 2022, he had a 64 OPS+ with only 5 home runs and 25 RBI's in 110 games.  The good part about being on a rebuilding team is you are given more opportunities for playing time and development.  Senzel is once again slated to be the Reds' everyday centerfielder, but with the youth movement moving through the minors, Senzel needs to start showing some progress, or he will no longer have a job in Cincinnati.


Most Important Pitcher
Hunter Greene
No one meant more to the future success of the Reds in 2022 than Hunter Greene.  The flame-throwing phenom had a solid rookie campaign in his age 22 season, showing why everyone had been waiting for his debut since he was picked 2nd overall in the 2017 draft.  Now it's his time to take the next step and show he is ready to be the new ace of the Reds.  If Greene can solidify himself at the top of the Reds' rotation, then the Reds will be ready to contend sooner than anticipated.  It would also mean they have a true superstar on their hands too.


Prospect to Watch
Elly De La Cruz
The Reds have a strong farm system, boasting 4 players in the Top 100 Prospects.  Their system has a unique makeup though, with 7 of their top 8 prospects playing either shortstop or third base.  However, the class of the group, and the player most ready to make a splash in 2023, is Elly De La Cruz.  This 21 year old shortstop is ranked as the 10th prospect in baseball, and it's easy to see why.  At 6'5", he's a towering presence with special speed and some real pop in his bat.  In 2022, between Single-A and Double-A, De La Cruz hit 28 home runs and had 47 steals.  I don't think the Reds can keep him out of Cincinnati much longer, and he has an outside shot at making the Opening Day roster.


2023 Prediction
5th in NL Central
The Reds are definitely headed in the right direction, but they are not ready to turn that corner yet.  As some of these top prospects like Elly De La Cruz, Noelvi Marte, and Brandon Williamson join the big leagues throughout the year, the team will improve and become more and more fun to watch.  Look for next year to be a big jump year in Cincinnati, but for now, the record won't be great.


Fearless Prediction
This will be Joey Votto's last season.
It feels like it is time.  Joey Votto has been the face of the Reds almost since the moment he arrived in 2007.  He's a 6 time All Star, won a Gold Glove and an MVP.  He has a chance at being a Hall of Famer.  He's also entering his age 39 season, last year was the worst year of his career, and he's in the last year of his 10 year megadeal (which is the only reason he hasn't been traded like the rest of the team's veteran assets).  He has a team option for next year, but there's no way it gets picked up.  The production doesn't warrant a $20mil+ contract for his age 40 season.  I could see Votto opting to retire than wear another jersey besides the Reds.


Monday, March 15, 2021

2021 Pre-Season Profile: Cincinnati Reds

 #19
The Cincinnati Reds went for it in 2020, but ended up losing in the first round of the playoffs.  Will 2021 be another step towards contention, or will they be taking a step back?

#7 - 1st in NL Central, lose in NLDS
MIH - Eugenio Suarez
MIP - Raisel Iglesias
PTW - Tony Santillan

2020 Results
#13 - 31-29, 2nd NL Central, lost in Wild Card Round
The Reds looked like they had the roster in 2020 to make a deep run.  Their lineup had some pop, and their rotation was elite, led by Cy Young winner Trevor Bauer.  Thanks to the expanded playoffs, they found themselves in the tournament, but didn't score a run in their Wild Card sweep by the Braves.

Additions / Subtractions
After one year of going for it, the Reds seemed to partially give up on their run before it ever started.  First, Trevor Bauer left in free agency (and the Reds never even attempted to bring him back).  Then they traded closer Raisel Iglesias to the Angels (they signed Sean Doolittle to fill the role).  Shortstop Freddy Galvis signed in Baltimore in free agency (and wasn't replaced by another veteran).  The offseason was also mired in rumors of whether aces Luis Castillo and Sonny Gray would also be traded.  For now, they are still on the roster showing the Reds weren't quite willing to sell the whole farm.

Most Important Hitter
Nick Senzel
One of the top Reds prospects from a couple years ago was Nick Senzel.  Now he is the starting centerfielder, but he has yet to fulfill any of the promise of his prospect status.  Right now, Senzel has a career .245 average and an 83 OPS+ in two seasons.  Hardly the production you expect out of a top prospect.  He needs to take a step or two forward to make this lineup truly work.

Most Important Pitcher
Luis Castillo
Luis Castillo is on his way to being one of the elite pitchers in the league.  As of right now, he is still a Red and the most impactful pitcher on their staff.  With Trevor Bauer's departure, the spotlight will now be on him to lead the staff.  This could be a breakout season for Castillo.  The question is if that production will be putting the Reds in contention or if he will be traded to help someone else.

Prospect to Watch
Jose Garcia
The Reds have four prospects in baseball's Top 100.  Jose Garcia is not one of them, but he has a golden opportunity that could lead to some great success for the 22 year old prospect.  The Reds lost their shortstop in free agency and never replaced him.  That forced them to find an internal solution, and Jose Garcia appears to be that solution to start the season.  Ranked the 6th best prospect in the Reds system, this Cuban defector shows a lot of promise to be an everyday shortstop in the league for quite some time.

2021 Prediction
3rd in NL Central
Like I said when I previewed the Cubs, the NL Central was wide open in 2020 and is wide open this season too even though it looks like a couple teams are heading in the wrong direction.  The Reds had one of the more curious offseasons.  It's like they wanted to do a full reset but couldn't find the right price for some of their more valuable assets.  So I guess they are forced to compete this year.  I see them having a little less turmoil and a little more depth than the Cubs which puts them in 3rd in the division.

Fearless Prediction
Over half of the Reds' Opening Day lineup will no longer be on the roster Opening Day 2022.
Like I said, the Reds tried to reset this offseason and couldn't.  Look for them to try and start unloading talent, maybe not mid-season but definitely next offseason.  Either that, or they reload since they still have a decent core.  I really don't understand what they are trying to do.


Sunday, March 17, 2019

2019 Pre-Season Profile: Cincinnati Reds

#19

The Cincinnati Reds have been building up a strong farm system over the last couple years, but their on-field production has been lacking.  Will bringing in some veteran leadership finally bring about the change in the Reds' fortunes they have been waiting for?

2018 Predictions
5th in NL Central
This will be Bryan Price's last season as the Reds' manager.

2018 Results
67-95, 5th in NL Central

Last season was Bryan Price's fifth season as the Reds manager, and only lasted 18 games.  Apparently, losing over 90 games every season finally wasn't good enough.  The Reds, and especially their pitching staff, have been underwhelming all throughout his tenure.  It was long past time to move on.  There were some breakout performances from players like Scooter Gennett and Eugenio Suarez.

Additions / Subtractions

Rarely do you see a team with a streak of losing like this become buyers in the offseason.  However, that is exactly what happened with the Reds and their new manager David Bell.  They made several blockbuster trades to make them interesting.  They acquired Tanner Roark from the Nationals and Sonny Gray from the Yankees.  Then, in what might be the biggest surprise of the offseason, the Reds sent Homer Bailey (who was quickly released) to the Dodgers for Matt Kemp, Yasiel Puig, and Alex Wood.  The only other notable subtractions were speedster Billy Hamilton and starter Matt Harvey.

Most Important Hitter
Yasiel Puig

The Reds made some big moves in the offseason to help change their culture.  So they picked up one of the most polarizing players in the big leagues over the last decade.  When Yasiel Puig is on, he is one of the best in the league.  When Puig is off, he is bad and a distraction.  If nothing else, Puig is exciting.  He is instantly the most interesting player on the Reds and might be able to anchor their lineup with Joey Votto,  It all depends on what Puig shows up.  Maybe the change of scenery will be good for him.

Most Important Pitcher
Sonny Gray

For a struggling pitching staff, a proven commodity is exactly what they need.  Sonny Gray has had a bit of a rocky road over the last year or so.  He started 2017 in Oakland before being traded mid-season to the Yankees.  In 2018, he struggled greatly in the Bronx with one of his worst seasons as a professional.  The Reds acquired him with the idea that a change of scenery, and a reunion with his college pitching coach, will bring him back to his All Star level.  If he does, he may stabilize this entire pitching staff.

Prospect to Watch
Nick Senzel

The second overall pick in the 2016 Draft, Nick Senzel is the 6th best prospect in the league and about ready to break out when given the opportunity.  He tore up AAA in 2018 with a .310 average.  The only problem is his two positions, second and third base, currently have two of the Reds best hitters in Gennett and Suarez.  This season, either one of them will be moved or Senzel will be sen t off to bring back more veterans that can help now.

2019 Prediction
4th in NL Central

All the moves the Reds made this offseason definitely have them moving in the right direction for the first time in awhile.  The problem is their division might have two or three playoff teams in it with possibly every team finishing above .500.  They will compete, which is more than could be said of them for the last five years.  However, their division will keep them away from the playoffs.  They will still be a fun team to watch all season though.

Fearless Prediction
Scooter Gennett will be traded mid-season.

This team is headed in the right direction for sure, but it doesn't mean they can't continue to seel off some pieces and rebuild.  With Nick Senzel waiting in the wings, Scooter has a chance to be expendable and bring back an impressive haul.  Look for him to be available and possibly moved by the Deadline.

Tuesday, February 20, 2018

2018 Pre-Season Profile: Cincinnati Reds

#28

The Cincinnati Reds definitely seem like a team that is headed in the right direction.  Will 2018 be the year they start competing again?

2017 Predictions
5th in NL Central
Zack Cozart will be traded before the All Star Break.

2017 Results
68-94, 5th in NL Central

For the past few seasons, the Reds have been trying to hit the reset button on their franchise, but they seem reluctant to completely blow up their roster.  A few years ago, they waited too long to finally trade Brandon Phillips, and they chose to hold on to Zack Cozart last season instead of trade him at the Deadline.  The positive for the Reds last year was a very productive lineup.  They had six players hit over 20 home runs.  The pitching was pretty horrible, earning a team ERA of 5.17 throughout the season.  When their second best starter in terms of WAR was a guy that only started four games at the end of the season, there is a bit of a problem.

Additions / Subtractions

Instead of trading Cozart mid-season last season, they let him walk in free agency and sign with the Angels.  They really didn't make any additions to their roster beyond welcoming back guys like Anthony DeSclafani and Brandon Finnegan from injury.

Most Important Hitter
Billy Hamilton

The Reds have some prolific power hitters.  From an established star like Joey Votto to emerging stars like Adam Duvall, Scott Schebler, and Eugenio Suarez, the Reds know how to put the ball out of the park.  What would help is if they had more guys on base when those balls leave the park.  Billy Hamilton is well known as one of the fastest players in the game and one of the best defensive centerfielders as well.  So when he ends 2017 with a 1.0 WAR, it's obvious his bat is a liability.  He finished the season with a 66 OPS+ (league average is 100).  If Billy Hamilton can round out his game and hit .280 instead of under .250, then the Reds' lineup will be that much more potent.

Most Important Pitcher
Homer Bailey

The Reds threw some money at Homer Bailey back in 2014, thinking they had one of the more talented young arms in the game.  However, after signing his 6 year $105 million contract, injuries completely derailed his career.  After breaking 200 innings in 2012 and 2013, he only reached 145 innings in 2014, which has been the only time he has broken 100 innings under the new contract.  2017 saw Bailey pitch enough to show he might finally be close to fully healthy.  The first step to the Reds' pitching staff having more success this season is Homer Bailey starting to earn some of the money the Reds have been paying him the last few years.

Prospect to Watch
Tyler Mahle

That starting pitcher I mentioned that was the Reds' second best starter in terms of WAR last season?  That was Tyler Mahle.  He was called up late in the season, started 4 games, and had some success, posting a 2.70 ERA in 20 innings.  One of the best prospects in the Reds' system and only 23 years old, Mahle should play a big role in the Reds' rotation this season and beyond.

2018 Prediction
5th in NL Central

As great as the Reds' offense is, the pitching is that bad.  The Reds will be able to outscore some teams, but that is not sustainable.  They need to consider signing one of the veteran starting pitchers that are still available to stabilize their staff.  They do have some good years in front of them, but they need to wait for a few more of their arms to develop in the minors.  By the time flamethrower and 2017 top draft pick Hunter Greene is ready in a few years, the Reds will be ready to compete.

Fearless Prediction
This will be Bryan Price's last season at the Reds' manager.

I honestly don't understand how he still has his job.  Bryan Price's background is as a pitching coach, yet he has had zero success developing any of the Reds' pitchers so far.  This will be his 5th season at the helm for the Reds, and in that time the pitching has been the team's weakness.  You would think a pitching coach would improve the pitching a little bit?  I predicted this firing 2 years ago, and yet he is still around after two more terrible years.  He has to be nearing the end of his leash, right?

Friday, July 14, 2017

2016-2017 MLB Wraparound Season


It's that mystical time of year once again!  There ... are ... no ... sports.  You know you are in trouble when the best you can get is NBA Summer League and golf's US Women's Open.  I really can't wait for baseball to come back from the All Star Break today.  This year's Mid-Summer Classic in Miami was definitely a classic.  Aaron Judge made the Home Run Derby must-see-TV.  Also, even though the All Star Game doesn't count for anything anymore, it was still a fun competitive game.  That's one of the big differences between baseball and the other sports.  Football's Pro Bowl can be hard to watch at times as they take it half speed to not hurt anybody.  Basketball's All Star Game is the same as no one plays defense and everyone just plays street ball.  Baseball is different.  Playing baseball is playing baseball however hard you go.  In fact, the game might even be more fun in a game like the All Star Game.  I also loved what they did with the broadcast; talking to players on the field during the game, interviewing hitters as they walk to the batters' box, and of course the Nelson Cruz selfie.  It was one of the most fun baseball experiences I have had in awhile.

To fill the time every year during the break in the sports schedule, I like to take a look at which baseball players have had the best 12 month period.  I compile stats from after last year's All Star Game all the way to this year's All Star Game and see what it would look like if that was considered its own season.  I call it the Wraparound Season.  For hitters, I compile stats for the top 50 players in hits, doubles, home runs, runs, and RBI's from 2016 Post All Star Break and 2017 Pre All Star Break.  For pitchers, I do the same for top 50 in wins, innings pitched, strikeouts, and top 30 in saves.  It's not a perfect system, but it gives a pretty good sample of players.  This year, this gave me 176 hitters and 171 pitchers.  Before we look at league leaders for the 2016-2017 Wraparound Season, let's look back at the top players in the league from the 2015-2016 Wraparound Season.

AL Top Hitters
1.  David Ortiz
2.  Josh Donaldson
3.  Jose Altuve
4.  Edwin Encarnacion
5.  Robinson Cano

NL Top Hitters
1.  Carlos Gonzalez
2.  Nolan Arenado
3.  Matt Carpenter
4.  Daniel Murphy
5.  Kris Bryant

AL Top Starting Pitchers
1.  Chris Sale
2.  David Price
3.  Danny Salazar
4.  Marco Estrada
5.  Justin Verlander

NL Top Starting Pitchers
1.  Clayton Kershaw
2.  Jake Arrieta
3.  Madison Bumgarner
4.  Jose Fernandez
5.  Stephen Strasburg

Top Relievers / Closers
1.  Zach Britton
2.  Andrew Miller
3.  Wade Davis
4.  Kenley Jansen
5.  Hector Rondon

Of the 25 players that made the top lists last year, only nine of them return this year.  Let's look at the stats.

Batting Average
AL
Jose Altuve – HOU .341
Jose Ramirez – CLE .331
Dustin Pedroia – BOS .319
Carlos Correa – HOU .310
Jose Abreu – CWS .308


Jean Segura – ARZ / SEA .338
Mike Trout – LAA .319
JD Martinez – DET .316
Aaron Judge – NYY .313
Adrian Beltre – TEX .310

NL
Joey Votto – CIN .358
Daniel Murphy – WAS .342
Justin Turner – LAD .335
Freddie Freeman – ATL .333
DJ LeMahieu – COL .331


Jean Segura – ARZ / SEA .338


First, there is a top five in this category, but the players listed underneath do not qualify for one of two reasons.  First, in the case of Jean Segura, he has compiled his stats in both leagues and therefore doesn't qualify for either top list.  Second, I made the cut off to make the top list at 400 at bats.  This disqualified Trout, Martinez, and Beltre because of injury and Aaron Judge due to him being a rookie and spending most of last season in the minors.  They all would otherwise make the list.  With all that said, let's look at the stats.  You don't think of guys like Correa and Abreu as average guys, but they have really produced.  Altuve is still the hitting machine he has been the last few years.  Jose Ramirez is a player you don't realize has been as good as he has.

In the NL, no one has been as good as Joey Votto.  Daniel Murphy has become one of the most consistent hitters in the game.  Justin Turner shows why he deserved to make the All Star Team in the Final Vote.  Freddie Freeman was a potential MVP candidate before he got hurt.  DJ LeMahieu is a guy that no one realizes how good he actually is, even though he won the batting title last season.


Home Runs
AL
Khris Davis – OAK 47
Brian Dozier – MIN 41
George Springer – HOU 37
Justin Upton – DET 37
Nelson Cruz – SEA 37
Edwin Encarnacion – TOR / CLE 37

NL
Joey Votto – CIN 41
Jay Bruce – CIN / NYM 38
Charlie Blackmon – COL 37
Jedd Gyorko – STL 36
Nolan Arenado – COL 35
Freddie Freeman – ATL 34


I last year's Wraparound season, the home run leader was Chris Davis.  This year, the home run leader is Khris Davis.  Although this Khris Davis is not as known, he is showing he is just as powerful as the big bopper from Baltimore.  Brian Dozier followed up a strong 2016 with a solid start to 2017 while, surprisingly, still playing in Minnesota.  Springer has broken out into a star this season.  Upton has quietly found his way up to the top of this list.  Cruz and Encarnacion are the types of names you expect to see at the top of this list every year.

Not only does Joey Votto have the best batting average, but he would be 2/3 of the way to the Triple Crown (if this were an actual season).  Jay Bruce finally figured out how to hit in New York just in time for the Mets to be terrible.  Charlie Blackmon is the latest member of the Rockies to become a formidable hitter.  Jedd Gyorko is somehow the best hitter on the Cardinals right now through their lineup's struggles.  Arenado seems to finally be starting to get the credit he deserves for how good he is.  Once again, despite the injury, Freddie Freeman makes a list, showing just how good he is.


RBI
AL
Nelson Cruz – SEA 117
Albert Pujols – LAA 113
Khris Davis – OAK 107
Mookie Betts – BOS 107
Jose Abreu – CWS 106
Carlos Correa – HOU 106

NL
Nolan Arenado – COL 133
Joey Votto – CIN 123
Anthony Rendon – WAS 106
Paul Goldschmidt – ARZ 104
Adam Duvall – CIN 103


The AL list is topped with a couple strong veterans.  Cruz is playing as well as ever, but Pujols is a surprise on this list with how his career has been on a decline.  Mookie Betts makes this list, validating some of the hype as him being one of the best in the game.  Then we have a couple names we have already seen in Abreu and Correa.

For the second year in row, Arenado is at the top of this RBI list.  Joey Votto is just 10 RBI's away from completing the Triple Crown.  Anthony Rendon is another top name to appear from one of the best teams in the game.  Goldschmidt makes an appearance as he is a potential MVP candidate this season.  Adam Duvall is a surprise for several reasons.  First, we haven't heard from him much this season after last year's breakout year.  Second, that makes the Cincinnati Reds as the only team with two players in the top five in RBI's.  That's not the team I would have picked for that distinction.


OPS
AL
Jose Ramirez – CLE .941
Gary Sanchez – NYY .939
Jose Altuve – HOU .931
Miguel Cabrera – DET .921
Logan Morrison – TB .913


Aaron Judge – NYY 1.076
Mike Trout – LAA 1.068
JD Martinez – DET .970
Adrian Beltre – TEX .969
David Ortiz – BOS .922

NL
Freddie Freeman – ATL 1.113
Joey Votto – CIN 1.107
Daniel Murphy – WAS .972
Charlie Blackmon – COL .969
Justin Turner – LAD .964


Cody Bellinger – LAD .964


OPS has become known as one of better stats to determine the effectiveness of a hitter (without diving too deeply into the sabermetrics).  It combines on base percentage with slugging percentage.  Once again in the AL, it appears the top hitters in the AL do not have enough at bats to qualify, but it is hard to argue the likes of Judge, Trout, Martinez, and Beltre do not deserve mention here.  Once again, Jose Ramirez tops the list.  Everyone was talking about Gary Sanchez last season, and although this year he hasn't quite been as good as before, that was a really hard standard to live up to.  Miguel Cabrera shows he is still one of the formidable hitters in the league.  Last, we have the very surprising Logan Morrison, one of a few former Mariner first basemen that decided to learn how to hit this year (stupid Justin Smoak...).

Once again, we are validated that the two best hitters in the NL over the last 12 months are Freddie Freeman and Joey Votto.  Daniel Murphy and Charlie Blackmon belong in that conversation as well.  Everyone has talked about how crazy dominant Cody Bellinger has been this year, but his OPS barely would make this top five if he had enough at bats.


Wins
AL
Dylan Bundy – BAL 16
Carlos Carrasco – CLE 16
Corey Kluber – CLE 16
Rick Porcello – BOS 15
Masahiro Tanaka – NYY 15

NL
Max Scherzer – WAS 20
Dan Straily – CIN / MIA 17
Zach Davies – MIL 15
Clayton Kershaw – LAD 15
Jon Lester – CHC 15
Kenta Maeda – LAD 15
Ivan Nova – PIT 15
Adam Wainwright – STL 15


I know a lot of people refuse to acknowledge the win as a legitimate stat anymore, but the way I see it, the bottom line is winning and losing.  So if you are able to lead your team to a win from the mound, it is a good thing.  With that said, only a couple names on the AL list feel like they belong there.  Dylan Bundy would never be considered a top pitcher, but he leads the AL in wins over the last 12 months along with Carrasco and Kluber, who led their team to the World Series last year.  Reigning Cy Young Award winner Porcello makes the list with Tanaka, who everyone forgets just how good he can be.

Max Scherzer is one of the best pitchers in baseball, and he shows that by being the only pitcher with 20+ wins over the Wraparound Season.  Dan Straily is another one you don't think of when you think of dominant ace, but he has been effective.  Then the group tied for third has some usual suspects (Kershaw, Lester, Wainwright) and some surprises (Davies, Maeda, Nova).


ERA (150 IP minimum)
AL
Corey Kluber – CLE 2.66
Ervin Santana – MIN 2.85
Chris Sale – CWS / BOS 2.98
Sean Manaea – OAK 3.26
Justin Verlander – DET 3.31

NL
Clayton Kershaw – LAD 2.02
Max Scherzer – WAS 2.44
Kyle Hendricks – CHC 2.65
Chase Anderson – MIL 2.84
Jon Lester – CHC 3.11


Last Wraparound Season saw guys like Kershaw and Arrieta with sub 2.00 ERA's that were almost leading the league regardless of an innings limit.  That is not the case this year.  Kluber has shown that he belongs in the discussion as one of the best pitchers in the league.  Ervin Santana has quietly been dominant in Minnesota.  Sale and Verlander should be on this list.  The real surprise is Sean Manaea.  This young hurler for the A's is nowhere near being considered a top pitcher in the game, but this stat might argue otherwise.

Although Kershaw isn't at a 1.56 ERA like he was last year in the 15-16 Wraparound, 2.02 isn't bad.  Scherzer continues to be dominant.  Hendricks hasn't been great so far in 2017, but this shows just how good he was at the end of 2016.  Chase Anderson joins Zach Davies in the list of no name stars that have led the Brewers to first place.  Jon Lester seems to always find a way to be effective.


Overall ERA
AL
Zach Britton – BAL 0.87
Andrew Miller – NYY / CLE 1.47
Craig Kimbrel – BOS 1.87
Chris Devenski – HOU 2.37
Cody Allen – CLE 2.40


Aroldis Chapman – NYY / CHC 1.86
Wade Davis – KC / CHC 2.25

NL
Alex Wood – LAD 1.59
Greg Holland – COL 1.62
Tyler Thornburg – MIL 1.69
Kenley Jansen – LAD 1.73
Raisel Iglesias – CIN 2.02


Aroldis Chapman – NYY / CHC 1.86


Really? A 0.87 ERA?  I know injuries have derailed this season for Zach Britton, limiting him to only 41 innings in the Wraparound, but 0.87 is impressive.  Miller and Kimbrel have the reputation of being dominant.  Cody Allen shows why he still holds down the closer role even with Andrew Miller in town.  Chris Devenski is gaining the reputation of being one of the most versatile and effective relievers in the league.

Alex Wood hasn't pitched enough to hit the innings limit, but he is the only starter on either of these lists.  Holland has only pitched in 2017 and has been dominant in his return from Tommy John.  Thornburg, although now in Boston, hasn't pitched yet in 2017 so all his stats are in the NL.  Kenley Jansen has become one of the most dominant closers in the game.  Raisel Iglesias went from being the Reds' opening day starter a few years ago to being a pretty solid closer.  Then we have two Cubs rental closers in Chapman and Davis.


Strikeouts
AL
Chris Sale – CWS / BOS 288
Chris Archer – TB 250
Yu Darvish – TEX 238
Justin Verlander – DET 232
Corey Kluber – CLE 228

NL
Max Scherzer – WAS 293
Robbie Ray – ARZ 244
Carlos Martinez – STL 211
Jeff Samardzija – SF 204
Jon Lester – CHC 199


There has been a lot of talk in the sabermetric world recently about the "three true outcomes."  These three true outcomes are the results of an at bat that are only controlled by the pitcher and the hitter: a walk, a home run, and a strikeout.  How a pitcher does in the three true outcomes is one way of determining how dominant a pitcher actually is because the pitcher only has himself to blame.  Chris Sale has almost reached the magical 300 strikeout number this Wraparound.  Archer and Darvish are showing that they are establishing themselves again as dominant starters in the league.  Verlander and Kluber seem to be on every one of these lists.

Scherzer is even closer to 300 than Sale.  Robbie Ray has quietly been climbing this list over the last 12 months.  Carlos Martinez is one of the great young fireballers in the game.  Samardzija, although some of the other numbers don't show it, has really been a solid starter the last 12 months and potentially on the trading block this year because of it.  I find it interesting that although the top of the list almost reaches 300, Jon Lester is 5th on this list without even reaching 200 strikeouts.


Innings Pitched
AL
Chris Sale – CWS / BOS 229 1/3
Rick Porcello – BOS 229 1/3
Justin Verlander – DET 215
Chris Archer – TB 214 1/3
Ervin Santana – MIN 208 2/3

NL
Max Scherzer – WAS 229
Carlos Martinez – STL 204 1/3
Jeff Samardzija – SF 204
Ivan Nova – PIT 202 2/3
Jon Lester – CHC 200
Johnny Cueto – SF 200

I always look at the Wraparound innings pitched for potential arms that might break down the second half of this season due to being overworked.  For example, at the top of this list the last few seasons  was David Price, who had to spend 2 or 3 months on the DL at the start of this season.  Although the top of these lists are near the same numbers as last year, I find it interesting that the bottom of the top fives barely hit the 200 inning threshold, which is a standard for being a durable and effective starter.  Chris Sale seems to be one of the most durable starters out there.  Porcello surprises me at being up that high and might be due for a DL stint.  Verlander was at the top of this list a few years ago and has worked his way back up to the top.  Archer's innings are at a very manageable level.  Santana has been doing this long enough to not have to worry as much about innings pitched.

Scherzer is a work horse that never seems to slow down.  The rest of this list doesn't have a high enough number to be concerned about.  Again, you don't expect to see guys like Samardzija and Nova on this list.  Martinez seems to check all the boxes of being a top ace.  Lester and Cueto show they are still very effective in the way they eat up innings.


Saves
AL
Alex Colome – TB 43
Roberto Osuna – TOR 40
Craig Kimbrel – BOS 37
Brandon Kintzler – MIN 36
Ken Giles – HOU 33

NL
Kenley Jansen – LAD 41
Jim Johnson – ATL 37
Seung Hwan Oh – STL 35
Marc Melancon – PIT / WAS / SF 31
Brandon Maurer – SD 31

Some of the names on this list seem to raise some eyebrows.  Colome might be the best closer no one has heard of.  As young as he is, Osuna has been a big part of the Blue Jays' success over the last few years.  Kimbrel is considered as dominant as they come.  Kintzler was introduced to the baseball world at the All Star Game this year.  Giles never gets the credit he deserves for finally resurrecting his career and justifying the trade that brought him to Houston.

Kenley Jansen is the name you expect to see at the top as the best closer while also being on the best team.  Jim Johnson has helped the Braves actually be a respectable team this year.  Oh is the latest Japanese hurler to come over and dominate a bullpen.  Melancon has compiled his save count for three different teams.  Brandon Maurer is another one you don't expect to see, but he has quietly compiled over 30 saves.


Underrated Hitters


Jose Ramirez – CLE
Ender Inciarte – ATL
Jedd Gyorko – STL
Charlie Blackmon – COL
Jose Abreu – CWS

I though I would look at the most underrated hitters and pitchers over the Wraparound season this year.  Jose Ramirez doesn't get near the credit he deserves.  Inciarte deserved his spot in the All Star Game, as he led the NL in hits in the Wraparound with 212.  Gyorko is the last player you think of when you think of top hitters on his own team, let alone the league.  Charlie Blackmon has gotten a lot of attention, but not enough.  He is one of the best hitters in the league.  Jose Abreu is stuck on a terrible team which makes a lot of people forget how good he actually is.


Underrated Pitchers

Ivan Nova – PIT
Dan Straily – CIN / MIA
Sean Manaea – OAK
Ervin Santana – MIN
Robbie Ray – ARZ

I had no idea Ivan Nova has been this good over the last 12 months.  No one is talking about him being the best pitcher on his team, let alone one of the best in baseball.  Straily is the same, as he has quietly put together one of the best stat lines in the league.  As a Mariners fan, I see the A's play a lot, and I had no idea that Sean Manaea had been as good as he has been.  It is great to see Ervin Santana work his way back to a dominant level.  Robbie Ray has been one of the main reasons the Diamondbacks are fighting for a playoff spot.


AL Wraparound MVP

Jose Ramirez – CLE
Jose Altuve – HOU
Mike Trout – LAA
Aaron Judge – NYY
Nelson Cruz – SEA


If you look at the stats, Jose Ramirez is good enough to be the Wraparound MVP.  Altuve is expected to be up there.  Trout and Judge, despite not playing much, deserve consideration with their insane stats.  Nelson Cruz is one of many that could take that 5th spot.


NL Wraparound MVP

Joey Votto – CIN
Freddie Freeman – ATL
Charlie Blackmon – COL
Nolan Arenado – COL
Daniel Murphy – WAS

This list is pretty cut and dry.  Joey Votto, although still playing on a terrible Reds team, is the best hitter in the NL.  If it weren't for his injury, Freddie Freeman might be able to compete with Votto for this spot.  Blackmon and Arenado make it two years in a row that two Rockies make this list (last year it was Arenado and Carlos Gonzalez).  Daniel Murphy is the leader of the National offense statistically, with Rendon second, and maybe Zimmerman third.  Notice I did not say Bryce Harper.


AL Wraparound Cy Young

Corey Kluber – CLE
Chris Sale – CWS / BOS
Justin Verlander – DET
Chris Archer – TB
Ervin Santana – MIN

Kluber and Sale could easily be switched here.  However, Kluber has been pitching meaningful innings every start over the last 12 months.  The same cannot be said for Sale.  Verlander and Archer are not surprises being up on this list.  Again, Ervin Santana is a surprise.


NL Wraparound Cy Young

Max Scherzer – WAS
Clayton Kershaw – LAD
Carlos Martinez – STL
Kyle Hendricks – CHC
Ivan Nova – PIT

If Kershaw hadn't spent a little time on the DL at the end of 2016, he might be able to pass Scherzer.  However, these two are by far the most dominant pitchers in the game right now.  Martinez is one of the few things that have gone right for the Cardinals this year.  Hendricks is up there despite a mediocre start to 2017.  Again, the 5th spot goes to the surprise pitcher in Ivan Nova.


Top Relievers

Kenley Jansen – LAD
Andrew Miller – NYY / CLE
Craig Kimbrel – BOS
Aroldis Chapman – NYY / CHC
Wade Davis – KC / CHC

Kenley Jansen has broken through as the best reliever in baseball over the last 12 months.  Andrew Miller has shown he was probably the best deadline trade of last year.  Kimbrel has returned to the dominant Atlanta days.  Chapman and Davis continue to be the shut down 9th inning guys they have the reputation of being.


To see all the stats that were gathered for this, click the link below: