AL East
My Preseason Predictions
1. New York Yankees*
2. Boston Red Sox*
3. Baltimore Orioles
4. Tampa Bay Rays
5. Toronto Blue Jays
Final Standings
1. Baltimore Orioles*
2. New York Yankees
3. Toronto Blue Jays
4. Tampa Bay Rays
5. Boston Red Sox
The one division I had the time to write a preseason article about is the one I messed up the most. So I have the most words to eat here. I wasn't necessarily that wrong. I thought the Orioles might take a step back, which players like Chris Davis did, but I didn't predict breakout years from Nelson Cruz and Steve Pearce. The Yankees finished in second, but when you look at the injuries they suffered throughout the year, it's hard not to ask "what if" for Jeter's Farewell Tour. I said they needed to be healthy, and it is hard to argue that they wouldn't have been right there if they had a full season from Sabathia, Tanaka, Pineda, Teixeira, and others. The team I missed on most was the Blue Jays, who I said would be guaranteed the cellar. The offense was better than anyone thought and almost got them in the playoffs. The Rays were a disappointment to the point that they were sellers at the Trading Deadline and gave up their prized possession, David Price. The Red Sox I can't figure out. They went from cellar, to world champs, back to the cellar again. I can't tell if Boston Strong made them over-achieve last year, if injuries derailed a season that was headed back to the promised land, or the Red Sox core just got really old really quick. Any could be possible. All I know is 7 years after I made a bet that no AL East team other than the Yankees and Red Sox would make the playoffs over the next decade, we have a year where neither make the playoffs for the first time in the Wild Card Era. If I hadn't lost it before, I think I have officially lost that bet to Zach.
AL Central
My Preseason Predictions
1. Kansas City Royals*
2. Detroit Tigers*
3. Cleveland Indians
4. Chicago White Sox
5. Minnesota Twins
Final Standings
1. Detroit Tigers*
2. Kansas City Royals*
3. Cleveland Indians
4. Chicago White Sox
5. Minnesota Twins
According to Zach, if it wasn't for a terribly blown call a couple weeks ago, I would have predicted this category perfectly. The Tigers haven't been playing great baseball, but their talent level is just too high to not make the playoffs. The Royals have finally pushed through that wall that has kept them out of the playoffs since the 80's. They are a hungry team with nothing to lose, which makes them a team no one wants to play in the playoffs. The Cleveland Indians showed that last season wasn't a fluke by finishing over 500 again this year. The White Sox were more talented than their record showed, but they just couldn't emerge in this tough division. The Twins fired their mainstay manager after a season where their record perfectly reflected their talent level.
AL West
My Preseason Predictions
1. Texas Rangers*
2. Los Angeles Angels
3. Seattle Mariners
4. Oakland A's
5. Houston Astros
Final Standings
1. Los Angeles Angels*
2. Oakland A's*
3. Seattle Mariners
4. Houston Astros
5. Texas Rangers
Finally, all the spending the Angels have done over the past few seasons has finally paid off. They had the best record in baseball this year and finished as one of the hottest teams over the last few months. On the other hand, I knew one of these years Oakland was going to stop over-achieving. I didn't realize it would require Mr. Moneyball to get too greedy and completely destroy his team's chemistry through questionable trades. They went from the best team in baseball at the All Star Break to needing a win on the last day of the season to clinch the final Wild Card spot. If they somehow beat the Royals in the Wild Card game, they probably won't go any further, making this season a disappointment by the Bay. One of the biggest surprises of the season was Seattle. They weren't supposed to compete for another season or two, but the leadership of Robinson Cano and Felix Hernandez had them in contention until the last day. Houston continues to take baby steps toward their World Series championship in 2017. I know I picked the Rangers first and they ended up in the cellar, but this was more a result of a record-setting string of injuries than underachieving. Their lineup and rotation was completely unrecognizable from the preseason projections after about mid-April. Add to that the resignation of Ron Washington, who was their heart and soul, and you have a floundering organization going into 2015.
NL East
My Preseason Predictions
1. Washington Nationals*
2. Atlanta Braves
3. New York Mets
4. Miami Marlins
5. Philadelphia Phillies
Final Standings
1. Washington Nationals*
2. Atlanta Braves
3. New York Mets
4. Miami Marlins
5. Philadelphia Phillies
I am quite impressed with myself as I pretty much nailed the entire National League. After a down year in 2013, the Nationals were back to playing up to expectations, with arguably the best lineup and rotation in the game. The Braves gave a valiant effort, but injuries to their pitching staff finally took their toll down the stretch. While the Braves disappointed with their record, the Mets quietly put together a strong season and took a step forward with the same record as Atlanta. Up until the last couple weeks, the Marlins somehow stayed in the race even without their phenom ace Jose Fernandez. This was thanks mainly to Giancarlo Stanton, one of the most exciting players in the league. As for the Phillies, they sure got old. They stayed loyal to their aging stars and are now paying the price by not being able to afford new young stars to stay relevant. It will be five years before they get out of the cellar.
NL Central
My Preseason Predictions
1. St. Louis Cardinals*
2. Pittsburgh Pirates*
3. Milwaukee Brewers
4. Cincinnati Reds
5. Chicago Cubs
Final Standings
1. St. Louis Cardinals*
2. Pittsburgh Pirates*
3. Milwaukee Brewers
4. Cincinnati Reds
5. Chicago Cubs
Who else could win this division?!? You could put any roster in Cardinals jersey, and they would win this division. It's like magic. However, this year they had some competition for the crown, coming down to the last week to fend off the Pirates. Pittsburgh proved that last year was no fluke as they followed 2013's magical run with a return trip to the playoffs. The Brewers were the surprise class of this division for most of the season, but fell back fairly dramatically over the last month or two. It's a good sign for their future though. The Reds took a giant step back with no real changes to their team besides the manager. All we learned this year is Bryan Price is no Dusty Baker. Hopefully, they realize this before their core group of players starts playing like Phillies. The Cubs have become the National League version of the Astros, with some great young talent that looks like it might all come together sometime near the end of the decade.
NL West
My Preseason Predictions
1. Los Angeles Dodgers*
2. San Francisco Giants*
3. San Diego Padres
4. Arizona Diamondbacks
5. Colorado Rockies
Final Standings
1. Los Angeles Dodgers*
2. San Francisco Giants*
3. San Diego Padres
4. Colorado Rockies
5. Arizona Diamondbacks
The Dodgers once again showed by the end of the season that they were the class of the division and worth every penny they spent on that roster. The Giants are fulfilling their requirement of making the playoffs every other year. Can they win it all again like their last couple runs? The Padres showed once again that they are a solid team that in no way can compete with the talent level of the other teams in their division. Finishing around 500 is the best they can hope for. The only mistake I made in the whole division was the NL West cellar. The Rockies started off strong, but the lack of pitching once again proved costly. Last came the massively underachieving Diamondbacks, who seemed to have lost all chances when Patrick Corbin went down in Spring Training.
My Postseason Awards
Manager of the Year
AL - Lloyd McClendon - SEA
NL - Mike Redmond - MIA
Rookie of the Year
My Preseason Predictions
AL
1. Masahiro Tanaka - NYY
2. Xander Bogaerts - BOS
3. Taijuan Walker - SEA
4. Yordano Ventura - KC
5. George Springer - HOU
NL
1. Michael Wacha - STL
2. Gregory Polanco - PIT
3. Travis d'Arnaud - NYM
4. Billy Hamilton - CIN
5. Oscar Taveres - STL
My ROY Standings
AL
1. Jose Abreu - CWS
2. Matt Shoemaker - LAA
3. Yordano Ventura - KC
4. George Springer - HOU
5. Brock Holt - BOS
NL
1. Billy Hamilton - CIN
2. Jacob deGrom - NYM
3. Travis d'Arnaud - NYM
4. Kolten Wong - STL
5. Yangervis Solarte - SD
An injury to the most hyped rookie coming into the season took my NL winner away. Add that to lackluster debuts from Polanco and Taveres, and my predictions were pretty off. The National League didn't have quite an obvious choice as Abreu in the AL, but Billy Hamilton's electric speed took the league by storm. Him on base was the biggest game-changer the league has seen since Ricky Henderson. The rest of the list had solid rookie years, highlighted by d'Arnuad's solid season as the Mets' everyday catcher. Hamilton was the only breakout star though.
Cy Young Award
My Preseason Predictions
AL
1. Masahiro Tanaka - NYY
2. Felix Hernandez - SEA
3. David Price - TB
4. Yu Darvish - TEX
5. James Shields - KC
NL
1. Jose Fernandez - MIA
2. Clayton Kershaw - LAD
3. Stephen Strasburg - WAS
4. Francisco Liriano - PIT
5. Madison Bumgarner - SF
My Cy Young Standings
AL
1. Felix Hernandez - SEA
2. Corey Kluber - CLE
3. Chris Sale - CWS
4. Max Scherzer - DET
5. Jared Weaver - LAA
NL
1. Clayton Kershaw - LAD
2. Adam Wainwright - STL
3. Johnny Cueto - CIN
4. Doug Fister - WAS
5. Madison Bumgarner - SF
Speaking of Kershaw, he is well on his way of being one of the greatest pitchers of all time if he can stay healthy. He even missed a month at the start of the year and still reached the lofty totals he accumulated this season. It's a shame we couldn't see the showdown between Kershaw and Fernandez that was obviously coming if Fernandez had stayed healthy. The only surprise on the top 5 is Doug Fister. On a staff with Stephen Strasburgh, Gio Gonzalez, and Jordan Zimmerman, Fister and Tanner Roark became the best on the staff and probably the biggest reasons they had the best record in the NL.
MVP
My Preseason Predictions
AL
1. Mike Trout - LAA
2. Miguel Cabrera - DET
3. Adrian Beltre - TEX
4. Robinson Cano - SEA
5. Chris Davis - BAL
NL
1. Hanley Ramirez - LAD
2. Bryce Harper - WAS
3. Andrew McCutchen - PIT
4. Justin Upton - ATL
5. Ryan Braun - MIL
My MVP Standings
AL
1. Mike Trout - LAA
2. Miguel Cabrera - DET
3. Jose Altuve - HOU
4. Nelson Cruz - BAL
5. Michael Brantley - CLE
NL
1. Giancarlo Stanton - MIA
2. Andrew McCutchen - PIT
3. Yasiel Puig - LAD
4. Josh Harrison - PIT
5. Carlos Gomez - MIL
In the NL, a lot of the big names in the game had down years. Many people are saying Kershaw should be the MVP, but the MVP really should go to an everyday player. The most dominant everyday player in the NL this year was Giancarlo Stanton. He is the biggest freak of nature this league has seen in quite awhile. The surprises on this list are Carlos Gomez and utilityman Josh Harrison. Gomez has been a budding superstar for a few years now, but Josh Harrison might be the most valuable player in the league, just not in the most traditional sense. He has played as many games as McCutchen, but at 6 or 7 different positions. They don't make the playoffs without Harrison.
Postseason Predictions
Wild Card Round
Royals def. A's
Giants def. Pirates
As for the actual Pirates, it is hard to root against them, but I can't see them capturing that same magic again, especially going up against the Giants. Th Pirates lose here, but win the division next year.
Divisional Round
Tigers def. Orioles
Angels def. Royals
Nationals def. Giants
Dodgers def. Cardinals
The Royals are a great story, but the great stories usually come to an end before things get too serious. The Angels are too hot with too much firepower in that lineup to let the Royals keep their dream season going.
The Nationals are finally playing the way they should, and even though the Giants seemed to be destined to go all the way this year, I can't see the Nats losing this early. However, that's what I thought a few years ago when the Cardinals had another of their miracle comebacks.
This will be a great matchup. Flash vs. Fundamentals. Starving for a title vs. Perennial contender. The Cardinals are definitely weaker than they have been in past years, which doesn't necessarily mean they are out of it, but the Dodgers are too good for them to lose here.
Championship Series
Tigers def. Angels
Nationals def. Dodgers
The Nats and Dodgers are very similar teams. Both have incredible pitching staffs, powerful lineups, and motivation to finally bring a championship back home. The Nats pitching is just better than the Dodgers hitting. If only Kershaw could pitch every game ... but he can't.
World Series
Nationals def. Tigers