The Golden Globes are a bit ridiculous from time to time,
but I love it. It is a great way to kick off the rest of awards season, and it
is the one circuit that actually recognizes achievement in comedy. Box office
hits are theoretically more in play, but that rarely actually happens. They
love foreign films, movie stars, and TV shows in their first season. Check out
what the Hollywood Foreign Press Association’s nomination list could look like
when they are announced on December 12th.
BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS IN A TELEVISION
SERIES, MINISERIES, OR TV MOVIE
1. Millie Bobby
Brown – Stranger Things
2. Maura Tierney –
The Affair
3. Constance
Zimmer – UnREAL
4. Emilia Clarke –
Game of Thrones
5. Lena Headey – Game of Thrones
BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR IN A TELEVISION
SERIES, MINISERIES, OR TV MOVIE
1. Louie Anderson
– Baskets
2. Sterling K.
Brown – The People vs. O.J. Simpson:
American Crime Story
3. Kit Harrington
– Game of Thrones
4. John Lithgow – The Crown
5. Hugh Laurie – The Night Manager
BEST ACTRESS IN A MINISERIES OR TV MOVIE
1. Sarah Paulson –
The People vs. O.J. Simpson: American
Crime Story
2. Kerry
Washington – Confirmation
3. Felicity
Huffman – American Crime
4. Riley Keough – The Girlfriend Experience
5. Shirley MacLaine – Wild Oats
BEST ACTOR IN A MINISERIES OR TV MOVIE
1. Courtney B.
Vance - The People vs. O.J. Simpson:
American Crime Story
2. Riz Ahmed – The Night Of
3. Tom Hiddleston
– The Night Manager
4. Bryan Cranston
– All the Way
5. James Franco – 12.22.63
BEST MINISERIES OR TELEVISION MOVIE
1. The People vs. O.J. Simpson: American Crime
Story
2. The Night Of
3. The Night Manager
4. All the Way
5. American Crime
BEST ACTRESS IN A TELEVISION SERIES –
COMEDY/MUSICAL
1. Sarah Jessica
Parker – Divorce
2. Issa Rae – Insecure
3. Julia
Louis-Dreyfus – Veep
4. Ellie Kemper – Unbreakable Kimmy Schmidt
5. Kristen Bell – The Good Place
BEST ACTOR IN A TELEVISION SERIES –
COMEDY/MUSICAL
1. Donald Glover –
Atlanta
2. Jeffrey Tambor
– Transparent
3. Anthony Anderson
– Black-ish
4. Gael Garcia
Bernal – Mozart in the Jungle
5. Thomas Haden Church – Divorce
BEST TELEVISION SERIES – COMEDY/MUSICAL
1. Atlanta
2. Divorce
3. Veep
4. Mozart in the Jungle
5. Silicon Valley
BEST ACTRESS IN A TELEVISION SERIES –
DRAMA
1. Evan Rachel
Wood – Westworld
2. Winona Ryder – Stranger Things
3. Claire Foy – The Crown
4. Robin Wright – House of Cards
5. Viola Davis – How to Get Away with
Murder
BEST ACTOR IN A TELEVISION SERIES –
DRAMA
1. Rami Malek – Mr. Robot
2. Kiefer Sutherland
– Designated Survivor
3. Wagner Moura – Narcos
4. Paul Giamatti –
Billions
5. Kevin Spacey – House of Cards
BEST TELEVISION SERIES – DRAMA
1. Stranger Things
2. Game of Thrones
3. House of Cards
4. The Crown
5. Westworld
The only ones of the TV nominations that I am really
confident in are the People vs. O.J. Simpson
noms in all relevant categories and Paul Giamatti for Billions. I mean, Giamatti won for freaking Barney’s Version and got an inexplicable nod for Too Big to Fail. He has his own TV show
now…lock! Anyway, on to the predictions I actually stand a chance at getting
right…
BEST ANIMATED FILM
1. Moana
2. Kubo and the Two Strings
3. Sing
4. Zootopia
5. Finding Dory
Explanation: There aren’t too many
options in this category. The foreign animated films are not as high profile as
they typically are, and these big budget studio animated movies have all been
very well received. They are gaga for Disney and Pixar.
BEST FOREIGN FILM
1. Elle
2. Toni Erdmann
3. Neruda
4. Julieta
5. The Salesman
Explanation: The foreign film category
at the Globes usually looks nothing like the Academy’s picks. A movie like Elle is much more likely to score points
with the HFPA than bring home Oscar gold. They also cannot resist the big name
foreign directors, so Pedro Almodovar should have no problem securing at least
a nomination for Julieta.
BEST ORIGINAL SONG
1. “Can’t Stop the
Feeling” – Trolls
2. “Audition (The
Fools Who Dream” – La La Land
3. “A Letter to
the Free” – 13th
4. “The Great Beyond” – Sausage Party
5. “City of Stars” – La La Land
Explanation: The precedent really
hasn’t been set this year for which songs will be heralded by all of the awards
circuits, but predicting animated films, a musical, and a documentary are about
as solid of choices as any. The Trolls
song will of course award Justin Timberlake, which I’m not sure the Globes can
resist.
BEST ORIGINAL SCORE
1. The Light Between Oceans – Alexandre
Desplat
2. The BFG – John Williams
3. Rogue One: A Star Wars Story – Michael
Giacchino
4. Arrival – Johann Johansson
5. Finding Dory – Thomas Newman
Explanation: The Globes are a little
weird with their original scores. They love nominating the biggest names in the
business, but they somehow end up giving the award to movies like All Is Lost or The Painted Veil, which have no chance at Oscar noms. The Light Between Oceans, which isn’t
even necessarily Desplat’s most popular score of the year (Florence Foster Jenkins), seems like the kind of eventual winner
that we could end up with.
BEST SCREENPLAY – MOTION PICTURE
1. La La Land – Damien Chazelle
2. Manchester by the Sea – Kenneth Lonergan
3. Moonlight – Barry Jenkins, Tarell
McCraney
4. Nocturnal Animals – Tom Ford
5. Loving – Jeff Nichols
Explanation: You would think with only
one screenplay category that these would pretty much be the favorites to win
the Best Picture categories, but that is not always the case. However, this
year the favorites happen to be really creative and original scripts, so this
category could prove to be more traditional. Watch out for some surprise here.
They have no shame in nominating an out-of-nowhere comedy in this category,
such as The American President and It’s Complicated.
BEST DIRECTOR – MOTION PICTURE
1. Martin Scorsese
– Silence
2. Damien Chazelle
– La La Land
3. Denzel
Washington – Fences
4. Denis
Villeneuve – Arrival
5. Kenneth Longergan – Manchester by the Sea
Explanation: The HFPA cannot resist
Scorsese. Even his lesser work shows up at the Globes in a big way. Denzel
Washington getting nominated in this distinguished group of directors might
raise eyebrows, but they love actors directing movies as well. Angelina Jolie’s
debut film In the Land of Blood and Honey
was even nominated for Best Foreign Film, and Washington’s The Great Debaters scored a Best Picture nom.
The HFPA Dream Lineup:
Ben Affleck – Live By Night
Woody Allen – Café Society
Clint Eastwood – Sully
Mel Gibson – Hacksaw Ridge
Martin Scorsese – Silence
BEST ACTRESS IN A SUPPORTING ROLE IN A
MOTION PICTURE
1. Viola Davis – Fences
2. Michelle
Williams – Manchester by the Sea
3. Nicole Kidman –
Lion
4. Shailene Woodley
– Snowden
5. Lupita Nyong’o – Queen of Katwe
Explanation: The supporting categories
have yielded some interesting nominations over the years. One year sticks out
where Sarah Jessica Parker and Shirley MacLaine were nominated for the scarcely
seen The Family Stone and In Her Shoes. However, this year there
are heavyweights like Nicole Kidman and Viola Davis in the running. I suspect
that Davis won’t win for her TV show, so they will award her here instead and
start her eventual Oscar run. Woodley would be a little oddball, but she has
been nominated here in the past, and Oliver Stone movies are typically well
received by the HFPA.
The HFPA Dream Lineup:
Nicole Kidman – Lion
Helen Mirren – Eye in the Sky
Kristen Stewart – Billy Lynn’s Long Halftime Walk
Kate Winslet – Collateral Beauty
Shailene Woodley –
Snowden
BEST ACTOR IN A SUPPORTING ROLE IN A
MOTION PICTURE
1. Jeff Bridges – Hell or High Water
2. Liam Neeson – Silence
3. Aaron Eckhart –
Sully
4. Michael Shannon
– Nocturnal Animals
5. Mahershala Ali – Moonlight
Explanation: This was a tough category
to predict. There are usually some strange choices, but the big stars have
memorable roles, so it might look a bit more like the Academy’s lineup than we
have come accustomed to. Bridges is the frontrunner after taking the National
Board of Review. It is classic Bridges and a shoo-in Oscar nominee. Eckhart is
sort of a stab; I feel like that movie probably played well with this voting
body. It is going to be between Bridges and Neeson. It all depends on how many
people see Silence before the voting
window ends.
The HFPA Dream Lineup:
George Clooney – Hail, Caesar!
Robert De Niro – Hands of Stone
Chris Pratt – The Magnificent Seven
Channing Tatum – Hail, Caesar!
Vince Vaughn – Hacksaw Ridge
BEST ACTRESS IN A LEADING ROLE IN A
MOTION PICTURE – COMEDY/MUSICAL
1. Meryl Streep – Florence Foster Jenkins
2. Emma Stone – La La Land
3. Annette Bening –
20th Century Women
4. Sally Field – Hello, My Name Is Doris
5. Hailee Steinfeld – The Edge of
Seventeen
Explanation: This is a really powerful
group of actresses. It would only be fitting for Stone to be in the same
category as Steinfeld, when one of the closest relatives to The Edge of Seventeen was the Golden
Globe nominated Easy A. Streep always
wins at the Globes, especially in this category.
The HFPA Dream Lineup:
Tina Fey – Whiskey Tango Foxtrot
Melissa McCarthy -
Ghostbusters
Kristen Stewart – Café Society
Meryl Streep – Florence Foster Jenkins
Renee Zellweger – Bridget Jones’s Baby
BEST ACTOR IN A LEADING ROLE IN A MOTION
PICTURE – COMEDY/MUSICAL
1. Ryan Gosling – La La Land
2. Colin Farrell –
The Lobster
3. Warren Beatty –
Rules Don’t Apply
4. Robert De Niro
– The Comedian
5. Viggo Mortensen – Captain Fantastic
Explanation: Mortensen has had success
with the HFPA in the past. The rest of this category seems pretty
straightforward for the Globes. I was tempted to double nom Ryan Gosling with The Nice Guys sliding in there, but I
just couldn’t justify taking one of these beloved superstars out of it. If The Nice Guys does make an appearance, I
suspect it will pull an In Bruges and
get both actors in.
The HFPA Dream Lineup:
Russell Crowe – The Nice Guys
Ryan Gosling – The Nice Guys
Jonah Hill – War Dogs
Michael Keaton – The Founder
Ryan Reynolds – Deadpool
BEST MOTION PICTURE – COMEDY/MUSICAL
1. La La Land
2. 20th Century Women
3. Hail, Caesar!
4. Florence Foster Jenkins
5. Sing Street
Explanation: There are a lot of serious
contenders for 2nd place in this category. Some that were not
mentioned include The Nice Guys, The Founder, Café Society, Everybody Wants
Some!!, and even something off-the-wall like Elvis & Nixon. Nothing is beating La La Land, though. It is musical nostalgia with star power. It is
a bigger favorite than Lamar Jackson is for the Heisman.
The HFPA Dream Lineup:
Café Society
Deadpool
Ghostbusters
Hail, Caesar!
La La Land
BEST ACTRESS IN A LEADING ROLE IN A
MOTION PICTURE – DRAMA
1. Natalie Portman
– Jackie
2. Ruth Negga – Loving
3. Amy Adams – Arrival
4. Isabelle
Huppert – Elle
5. Jennifer Lawrence – Passengers
Explanation: This is an interesting
category. There are a host of contenders on the outside who can sneak in there
over any of the five. Those include Emily Blunt for The Girl on the Train, Jessica Chastain for Miss Sloane, and dark horse Rebecca Hall for Christine. Natalie Portman seems like a typical winner for this
category. Adams will get nominated for Arrival
or Nocturnal Animals (or both?).
We’ll see how much the awards really love J-Law this awards season. If she gets
nominated for that movie, then she really is the next Streep.
The HFPA Dream Lineup:
Amy Adams – Arrival
Marion Cotillard –
Allied
Taraji P. Henson –
Hidden Figures
Jennifer Lawrence –
Passengers
Natalie Portman – Jane Got a Gun
BEST ACTOR IN A LEADING ROLE IN A MOTION
PICTURE – DRAMA
1. Casey Affleck –
Manchester by the Sea
2. Denzel
Washington – Fences
3. Will Smith – Collateral Beauty
4. Andrew Garfield
– Hacksaw Ridge
5. Joel Edgerton – Loving
Explanation: This could be an absolutely
star-studded category if it holds to form. Maybe I am being facetious to
suggest that Garfield could get nominated for Hacksaw Ridge over Silence,
but if not for a relatively weak year in 2006, that would have definitely been
the case for Leo (which was only reaffirmed by the Oscars). Affleck is this
year’s Bree Larson, it appears. He should sweep his way all the way to the
Academy Awards.
The HFPA Dream Lineup:
Tom Hanks – Sully
Matthew
McConaughey – Gold
Brad Pitt – Allied
Chris Pratt – Passengers
Will Smith – Collateral Beauty
BEST MOTION PICTURE – DRAMA
1. Silence
2. Manchester by the Sea
3. Moonlight
4. Nocturnal Animals
5. Arrival
Explanation: Scorsese will likely reign
again at the Globes. This category is never as easy as expected. There’s always
an Eastern Promises or an About Schmidt in the mix. Nocturnal Animals could be that Cronenberg-style inclusion. The rest seem like safe bets, combining great indie
cinema and an intelligent box office hit. We’ll see how this shapes up. Rarely
are the contenders not eventual Oscar Best Picture nominees.
The HFPA Dream Lineup:
The Birth of a Nation
Collateral Beauty
Hacksaw Ridge
Passengers
Patriots Day
So, there are my illustrious (and likely largely
incorrect) Golden Globes predictions! Let me know if I had any serious omissions
in the comments.