We have had such a tumultuous year that I haven’t updated my Oscar predictions since January. The main issue is that we had no idea what was getting released or getting delayed, going direct to streaming or playing in drive-ins, or getting taken off the board completely. The film festivals were all online, which makes it weird. We had no idea about eligibility. Now, we have some idea about what movies are going to be contenders, and there are very few movies with uncertain releases. I’ll take my best shot at this, which I’m prepared to be completely irrelevant soon…because that’s how this year works.
BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
The Predicted Five
1. News of the World (Luke
Davies) – The trailer for the movie cemented its status as one of the
frontrunners in all categories. It is much more accessible than any other
Greengrass movie, and it remains the favorite in this category. Luke Davies was
previously nominated for Lion.
2. One Night in Miami (Kemp
Powers) – This is a new addition to the race, a movie that almost came out
of nowhere during the year. It is getting tremendous early marks. Powers is
debut writer, but with this and Soul,
he is looking for at least one nomination right off the bat.
3. Nomadland (Chloe Zhao) – This
movie is sweeping through festival season. Zhao is such a unique filmmaker, and
this movie feels like it could be a better version of Frozen River or something, with an Oscar juggernaut at the center
of the story. The indie critics favorite rarely wins, but in a year where
theatrical runs are at a premium, this movie could be anointed.
4. The Father (Christopher
Hampton, Florian Zeller) – Out of Sundance, this movie was vaulted to the
top of several Oscar big boards. Zeller is a playwright, so you know the
dialogue will be singled out. With the actors he has involved, this seems like
a surefire contender.
5. I’m Thinking of Ending Things
(Charlie Kaufman) – This would be a cool nomination, but one that is very
unsteady. It has been 16 years since Kaufman has had one of his screenplays
singled out, almost as if the Academy has grown immune to his charm…unless he’s
randomly working in animation.
Others in contention
6. Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom
(Ruben Santiago-Hudson) – The movie’s trailer shot this up every Oscar
heavyweight list, but I’m a little cautious about putting it in every category.
The director hasn’t worked much in feature films, and this is Santiago-Hudson’s
debut screenplay. It could also be just an acting showcase for Viola Davis and
the late Chadwick Boseman.
7. The United States vs. Billie
Holiday (Suzan-Lori Parks) – Parks previously wrote Girl 6 and adapted Native Son last year, which were of varying effectiveness. That
also defined the career of her director Lee Daniels. The material is perfect
for a film, but we will see if it is more than a TV movie.
8. Good Morning, Midnight The
Midnight Sky (Mark L. Smith) –
The trailer looks pretty breathtaking, but there have been so many great space
movies in the last decade or so that movies like Ad Astra are even forgotten and ignored. It has so be unanimously
accepted, but with Clooney at the helm and Smith (The Revenant) writing, it is certainly worth a look.
9. Wild Mountain Thyme (John
Patrick Shanley) – This movie is a new contender, and it really doesn’t fit
with the others. It is much more of a romantic movie, adapted from Shanley’s
own play. It has a pretty interesting cast, and when Oscar-winner Shanley is
making his rare movie, we must pay some attention.
BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
The Predicted Five
3. The Trial of the Chicago 7
(Aaron Sorkin) – This is a very Sorkin movie and a very Sorkin screenplay.
The movie was a big hit with critics and was a big deal on Netflix for a few
weeks, which is as good as you can ask for with streaming movies. Sorkin is
capable of getting snubbed (Steve Jobs),
but this movie seems too perfect for this moment and this voting body to
ignore.
4. Sound of Metal (Darius
Marder, Derek Cianfrance, Abraham Marder) – This movie has been kicked
around for the better part of the last decade, and it is finally coming to
fruition. The trailer looks stunning, almost in a The Wrestler type of way. It also seems like a movie that custom
made to experience with all the sound in a theater, but it also is small enough
to be watched on Prime. Watch out for this one to sneak up on audiences.
5. Palm Springs (Andy Siara) –
This was one of the surprise hits of the year mid-pandemic. It takes the Groundhog Day premise and flips it and
makes it even more hip. This would be a shocker inclusion, but if it can pick
up steam with a National Board of Review win or a couple Golden Globe
nominations, then this debut writer could become a much clearer Oscar
contender.
Others in contention
6. Minari (Lee Isaac Chung) –
The movie was a big hit at Sundance, and everything points to it still being a
contender in all categories. It is easy to draw comparisons to The Farewell, but this one seems to have
more legs, better reviews, and more clear resonance.
7. Never Rarely Sometimes Always
(Eliza Hittman) – These types of extremely independent movies sneak into
the screenplay races sometimes. The movie is not a showy script, it is more
observant and about the premise than the actual writing, but the movie had
unanimous reviews and is a dark horse as awards season approaches.
8. Da 5 Bloods (Spike Lee, Kevin
Willmott, Danny Bilson, Paul De Meo) – Does anyone really remember this
movie? The writing team that just won for BlacKkKlansman
had a biggish Netflix release during the summer to varying success. It
definitely fits in the Spike Lee genre, but that usually means he’s getting
snubbed. The screenplay is one of the weaker parts of the movie, but if the
movie still has legs in the winter, then this could be a no-brainer nomination.
9. Judas and the Black Messiah
(Shaka King) – The release information on this is still uncertain, but we
all assume it is getting released in January or February to qualify for the
Oscars. The trailer is a banger, and it is hoping for the cultural resonance to
put it over the top. This is King’s first major movie, and if it hits, it could
be hit ticket to the big time in the coming years.
10. On the Rocks (Sofia Coppola) –
The movie’s reviews have been steady, but it is becoming clear that Coppola’s
films don’t really translate to the Oscars. Lost
in Translation was a special case, and even though she reunites with Bill
Murray here, this is becoming less likely. The Golden Globes will have to give
it a boost.
11. Promising Young Woman
(Emerald Fennell) – This would be a wild nomination for the first-time
writer, but it does have the flair to be singled out in this particular
category. A lot of times Best Original Screenplay is treated as Most Original
Screenplay, and this could be that movie. Keep an eye out for this one. It has
a Christmas release.
12. Tenet (Christopher Nolan) –
Out of principle, I am keeping Tenet
in there as a contender. It was the movie that was reopening theaters, and
while the box office looks like a failure, without 25% capacity you’re looking
at a $200million smash hit. It is as mind-bending as Nolan’s previous sci-fi
films, and it is even more complicated and kinda fascinating. If we want a
future for theaters, the Academy will give this movie some love.
BEST ACTRESS IN A SUPPORTING ROLE
The Predicted Five
1. Glenn Close – Hillbilly Elegy
– The movie just screams cliché Oscar stuff, and after losing in 2018 for The Wife after winning every precursor
award, Close just reinforced her status as being everybody’s favorite overdue
actress. The reviews have been terrible, but she is still worth putting in this
position due to her scene-stealing abilities and overdue nature.
2. Ellen Burstyn – Pieces of a Woman
– The movie has a stellar cast, and it seems to be a dark and disturbing
drama. Burstyn hasn’t been nominated since her last disturbing movie 20 years
ago (Requiem for a Dream). It appears
that she plays the mother role, which always seems to steal scenes and gather
nominations.
3. Olivia Colman – The Father –
Fresh off her Oscar win for The Favourite,
Colman gets another Oscary part in one of the frontrunners. If she holds her
own with Anthony Hopkins (I’m sure she steals several scenes), then this will
be an easy nomination.
4. Saoirse Ronan – Ammonite –
The movie has been marketed in an almost degrading way, but reviews for it are
still really strong. If enough people see it, and the chemistry between Kate
Winslet and Ronan is palpable, look for Ronan to snag her fifth nomination.
5. Amanda Seyfried – Mank – She
is getting at times “best in show” reviews for the stacked ensemble. She has
always been a talented actress and always underrated when she takes on
difficult parts, but her pairing here with Fincher seems to be the right
combination. We will see if she can win over audiences when they get to see the
hyped-up Netflix film.
Others in contention
6. Youn Yhu-jung – Minari – She
plays the grandmother role in the Sundance hit. She could easily go the same
way as the grandmother role in The
Farewell and get amazing reviews and snubbed all along the way, but she has
to be mentioned here as a contender.
7. Helena Zengel – News of the World
– Playing the young companion to the protagonist is always an interesting
role when making these predictions. She could be Hailee Steinfeld in True Grit, or she can be Kodi
Smit-McPhee in The Road. It all
depends on how much she can take away from Tom Hanks, who seems to be dialing
it back in this film.
8. Priyanka Chopra – The White Tiger
– Ramin Bahrani movies have been hit and miss over the years. I am really
just picking an actress out of the cast for this, but it sounds like a really
ambitious movie, and if it hits, then it could be real contender for this and
even the International Film Oscar. It is a Netflix movie released in late
January, so we know it is going for awards.
9. Janelle Monae – The Glorias –
She has proven herself to be an interesting actress, and here she gets the
juicy role of pioneering feminist Dorothy Pitman Hughes in the movie about
Gloria Steinem. It is currently on Prime, so it certainly has a wide potential
audience.
10. Nicole Kidman – The Prom –
Does the Academy have room for a Ryan Murphy musical comedy? The cast is pretty
stacked, and Kidman always gets singled out. I don’t know what her role entails
or if she or Meryl Streep or one of the students is the lead, but it is worth
keeping an eye on if the Academy is in a light uplifting mood.
11. Maria Bakalova – Borat Subsequent
Moviefilm – The movie was a smash hit, and she was singled out in
basically every review. She is pretty great, and while the movie is
reprehensible, it still feels like a performance and film that could get Golden
Globes love. In 2020, anything is possible, so I’ll just leave her right here.
BEST ACTOR IN A SUPPORTING ROLE
The Predicted Five
1. David Strathairn – Nomadland –
Strathairn is an actor who is seldom singled out, but here we have one of the
big Oscar contenders and the chance for him to play off of one of the most
beloved actresses in the business. He can hold his own, and he will be able to
ride the momentum wave all the way to the ceremony.
2. Charles Dance – Mank – Depending
on the review, we have about 5 or 6 different standouts in Mank. On paper, Dance has the baity role, playing William Randolph
Hurst. He is a beloved character actor without a single major film award
nomination. This should change that.
3. Daniel Kaluuya – Judas and the
Black Messiah – He looks electric in the movie, but him being
campaigned supporting is a little unsettling. Is this just a better chance for
him to win, or is he really not commanding enough to warrant a leading bill?
4. Mark Rylance – The Trial of the
Chicago 7 – He is the easy nominee from the cast. He has all the great
lines, he is fighting the good fight, he is effortless and scene-stealing at
the same time. He also just won an Oscar 5 years ago, so a validation
nomination is always warranted.
5. Leslie Odom Jr. – One Night in
Miami – He is playing Sam Cooke in the superb cast of actors, and he
also has this thing called Hamilton
that has been his ticket for the better part of the last decade. He will almost
certainly be the standout in the cast, unless the voters go for the actors
playing the more iconic figures.
Others in contention
6. Chadwick Boseman – Da 5 Bloods
– He is being hyped up for his other film this year, but watching Da 5 Bloods, it is clear that Boseman’s
charisma overpowers the weaknesses of the script. It is his best performance,
and everyone saw it, being a mid-pandemic Netflix release. The film needs to
have a campaign for it to come back to the forefront.
7. Yayah Abdul-Mateen II – The Trial
of the Chicago 7 – He gives the best performance in the movie and has
the most interesting character, but his screen time and lines are just less
than everyone else. I have a bad feeling that there could be some cannibalization
with all the contenders, and a character like his is just harder to back and
single out.
8. Bill Murray – On the Rocks –
The movie doesn’t appear to be the big Oscar contender that we thought, but
everyone loves Bill Murray. He should be able to just live in that character,
as he did in the previous Sofia Coppola film that got him his only nomination.
I don’t want to count him out just yet.
9. Sacha Baron Cohen – The Trial of
the Chicago 7 – He has the role that should be the easy Oscar
contender, but he plays it almost too goofy. He is still great and has a real
chance to get nominated, but his Borat
movie is also lingering, which could be his invalidation.
10. Tom Pelphrey – Mank – He
plays director Joseph Mankiewicz, and seeing what he did in Ozark in the most recent season, he can
blow everyone off the screen. He is still a newer face, so he will really need
to start gathering critic awards to move up this list.
11. Richard E. Grant – Everybody’s
Talking About Jamie – It has the late February release, and Grant is
coming off of his first nomination just a couple years ago. The movie is an
adaptation of a musical about a teenager who wants to be a drag queen, and I
imagine Grant’s role is a dream for an actor to really just overact and not be
out of place.
12. Robin de Jesus – The Boys in the
Band – His part is one that was singled out on the stage version, and
he is certainly one of the bright spots in the movie in one of the more difficult
roles. If the voters responded to the film, it would not be out of the norm to
reward a performance that got love from the Tonys already.
13. Everybody Else – Mank and The Trial of the Chicago 7 – Tom
Burke as Orson Welles, Arliss Howard as Louis B. Mayer, Toby Leonard Moore as
David O. Selznick…Eddie Redmayne, Jeremy Strong, Frank Langella…they are all
worth mentioning here, depending on who is singled out and how much each movie
hits with the Academy voters. Both movies are pure old-fashioned Oscar bait.
BEST ACTRESS IN A LEADING ROLE
The Predicted Five
1. Viola Davis – Ma Rainey’s Black
Bottom – She is the show-stopper, and unless something crazy happens,
she will be winning her second Oscar this year. It is said that she is almost supporting,
which would really shake things up.
2. Frances McDormand – Nomadland – If she hadn’t just won her second, she would be coasting to another win here. It could wind up being a battle between her and Davis, especially because this is the type of movie that wins the lead Oscars.
3. Sophia Loren – The Life Ahead
– It has been 65 years since her last nomination, and here she plays a
Holocaust survivor, which I’m sure will be an easy sell to Oscar voters.
Sometimes the legendary actor making a comeback doesn’t hit, but this seems
obvious.
4. Audra Day – The United States vs.
Billie Holiday – There is always a newer face in the race. Lee Daniels
movies don’t always hit, but the performances are easy to reward. It has the
Oscar release date in late February, so it will be front and center when voting
is ramping up.
5. Kate Winslet – Ammonite –
The movie is being written off by a lot of people, but Winslet is always in the
running. I expect that she and Ronan are a package deal, and they both squeak
out nominations.
Others in contention
6. Michelle Pfeiffer – French Exit
– The performance has been called Oscar-worthy by critics, but Pfeiffer has
been out of the Oscar game for almost 30 years. Will enough people see this
movie to take out one of the abovementioned contenders?
7. Vanessa Kirby – Pieces of a Woman
– She has the kind of role that could vault her into contention, regardless
of how recognizable of a face she is. She is the lead in such an interesting
cast, and if she can stand out against really commanding actors, she could
start to make a run at this category.
8. Carey Mulligan – Promising Young
Woman – Mulligan is still sitting on her one nomination in 2009, but
she has been close. This movie will have an uphill climb, but it has the
Christmas release. The issue is that it isn’t necessarily classic Oscar
material.
9. Meryl Streep – The Prom –
The Ryan Murphy movie musical is going to Netflix, so at least people will see
it. It is never out of the question to suggest that Meryl can catapult to a
nomination for anything she appears in.
10. Rachel Brosnahan – I’m Your Woman
– Up and coming director Julia Hart got one of the hottest TV stars to be
the lead in her 1970s crime drama. This mention is more out of intrigue than
anything else, but if the movie is a hit on Prime, then it’s a possibility.
11. Angelina Jolie – Those Who Wish
Me Dead – This is another Taylor Sheridan movie. Regardless of the
quality of the movie, the characters are always really dream roles for actors.
It has been over a decade since Jolie has gotten back to the Oscars, and once
this locks in a release date, I expect it to make some noise.
12. Elisabeth Moss – Shirley –
This is the type of movie that would have been an easy Oscar contender about a
decade ago, but now it is a longshot. Moss has been rising up the ranks in
recent years, but unless she takes some critics awards, she will still be
waiting for her first nomination.
BEST ACTOR IN A LEADING ROLE
The Predicted Five
1. Anthony Hopkins – The Father –
He has been touted as the frontrunner since Sundance, and especially coming off
a comeback nomination last year, he has maintained that momentum throughout
2020. The trailer looks fascinating, and it is certainly the most Oscary role
in this group.
2. Gary Oldman – Mank – The movie
is going to be one of the big players in every category, but he will need to be
unbelievable to win another Oscar already. The nomination seems easy, but he
will have a hard time overtaking Hopkins.
3. Tom Hanks – News of the World
– The Academy likes to snub Hanks for some reason, but he finally broke
back through last year. The movie is one of the ones to beat, and he looks subtle
but having room for the physical acting that has been his Oscar ticket in the
past.
4. Chadwick Boseman – Ma Rainey’s
Black Bottom – He has been singled out in every review of the film, but
we will need to see what audiences actually think before putting him near the
top of this list. It is interesting that he is being billed as lead and Davis being
more supporting. That changes the dynamic and almost makes him getting a nomination
more difficult.
5. Riz Ahmed – Sound of Metal –
The movie is getting some incredible reviews, and it is coming in
completely below the radar. That is always a good place to be so it doesn’t get
overhyped. Ahmed has been in and around some amazing projects in the last
decade, but here he finally gets his own vehicle to show off his insane talent.
Others in contention
6. Delroy Lindo – Da 5 Bloods –
What once seemed like a lock for a nomination and a win has all but gone away.
He could make a comeback if he were to take the National Board of Review Award
or if the movie gets all sorts of Golden Globes love, but he is going to need
to campaign, which doesn’t seem like something he would do. If he is campaigned
supporting, then he will be nominated for sure.
7. Lakeith Stanfield – Judas and the
Black Messiah – He is in one of the big awards contenders every single
year, and he is almost never the one who gets the credit for it. Here, we have
a big, loud, important movie, and his role could easily be the heart of it, as
the FBI informant on the Black Panthers.
8. Steven Yeun – Minari – He
has proven his talent in recent years, but the movie needs to be seen. It isn’t
a big streaming movie, so it is in that difficult spot where the word of mouth
and VOD reviews will be really important.
9. Kingsley Ben-Adir – One Night in
Miami – Playing Malcolm X is always going to gather attention, and he
is said to absolutely nail the part. They can’t really nominate everyone in the
movie, but if it is the Best Picture frontrunner, it would be hard to see him
missing out on the party.
10. Benedict Cumberbatch – The
Courier – This movie has the late February release date, and it is
about a Cold War spy trying to end the Cuban Missile Crisis. He is the only
real face in the movie, but it could be the big British movie of the year. The
BAFTAs will be vital to its success.
11. Viggo Mortensen – Falling –
Mortensen wrote and directed this movie as well, which is about a conservative
father who moves in order to live with his gay son. Festivals and such have
already been showering the performance with love and awards, so he is on his
way.
12. Ben Affleck – The Way Back –
One of the few great performances to be seen in a wide release, he has an
outside chance to be remembered in a few months. He has remained in the spotlight
all year, and while the movie is not typical Oscar fare, his performance is.
13. Tom Holland – Cherry – This
is one of a few performances that Holland has this year to break out of his
Spidey shell. It is certainly worth keeping an eye on. The release date is
still uncertain, but it will be on Apple TV+, so it will be seen…in theory.
14. Oscar Isaac – The Card Counter – Again, there is no release date for this film, but Isaac is ready for his first nomination. The movie is a crime drama by Paul Schrader, which will undoubtedly give Isaac some room to show off.
BEST DIRECTOR
The Predicted Five
1. David Fincher – Mank –
Fincher has to win one of these eventually. The Hollywood story, the black and
white, and it being his passion project all point to this being his ticket.
2. Paul Greengrass – News of the
World – Greengrass always has really showy direction, and even though
this material is more subtle, he should be an easy choice for a nomination.
There are some rumblings that the movie might not be that great, but no one has
really seen it yet.
3. Chloe Zhao – Nomadland – This
would be a great nomination. These types of movies are never singled out for
their director, but the unanimous praise for the film and the effort to get as
many women directors into the race as possible makes this seem like a no-brainer.
4. Florian Zeller – The Father –
He would be the unknown name in the group, but there isn’t a single negative
thing that has been said about his movie. If the movie hits with audiences the
way it did at festivals and with critics, then he could be a default winner.
5. Regina King – One Night in Miami
– Everything is pointing to her getting nominated for her directorial
debut. The movie seems like easy Oscar bait, and in a year like this, something
as flashy as One Night in Miami could
be an easy one to really go gaga for.
Others in contention
6. Aaron Sorkin – The Trial of the
Chicago 7 – His directorial choices hold the movie back, but for a
movie that is so clearly Academy stuff, it might not matter. Sorkin is beloved
and the smartest guy in any room. He might just get checked off on all the
ballots because the voters love the movie.
7. Darius Marder – Sound of Metal
– This would be a bit of a shocker, but the movie is on the rise. It was
long supposed to be Derek Cianfrance, but Marder taking over makes it seem like
this is actually his baby. This could be like a Whiplash-type underdog story.
8. Spike Lee – Da 5 Bloods –
He just got his first nomination for directing, and the movie was a pretty big
hit in the summer. If voters remember the film and its epic and indulgent
scope, then he could coast to a nomination.
9. Lee Isaac Chung – Minari –
The campaign is going to be important for the Sundance director. It is hard to
see a scenario where he gets in, but there is always the possibility that this
is the beloved indie of the year that gets in everywhere.
10. Shaka King – Judas and the Black
Messiah – The movie appears to be loud and well-directed. King doesn’t
really have many credits to his name, but with the release date and timeliness,
he could shoot up the ranks quickly.
11. George C. Wolfe – Ma Rainey’s
Black Bottom – Is the movie Best Picture stuff? It will certainly be
seen being on Netflix, but it really doesn’t feel like it has the showiness to
get Best Director attention.
12. Christopher Nolan – Tenet –
This would be a love letter to cinema if he gets nominated for his
incomprehensible movie that tried to save movie theaters. You have to respect
him and his efforts, but is that enough to get people to vote for him?
13. George Clooney – The Midnight Sky
– I am remaining cautious with this movie. It is easy to reward sci-fi
movies, but Clooney has shown no indication that he can direct something like
this as well as say Alfonso Cuaron or Denis Villeneuve.
14. Lee Daniels – The United States
vs. Billie Holiday – Some of his movies are trash, but he has gotten
nominated in the past. Keep an eye on this movie. It is being overshadowed by
other big releases, but this is the kind of story and film that could rise up.
BEST PICTURE
The Predicted Ten (I predict 9 will get nominated)
1. News of the World (Paul
Greengrass) – I am keeping it here just because I called it in January. If
it hits the way it could, then it could be an easy and inoffensive movie to
reward in such a desolate year.
2. Nomadland (Chloe Zhao) – If
there was ever a year for a mico-budget film to win Best Picture, it is this
year where almost no other contenders are on the big screen.
3. Mank (David Fincher) – This
would be the classic choice to win, but it doesn’t feel like the dynamic kind
of film that will get enough #1 votes.
4. One Night in Miami (Regina
King) – This is the movie on the rise. The importance of the story, the
figures it portrays, and perhaps most importantly the era in which it is set
make the movie an irresistible contender.
5. The Father (Florian Zeller) –
This is going to be the movie that is nominated that 90% of the Oscar viewers haven’t
seen, but it will become one of the most respected movies when they do.
6. The Trial of the Chicago 7
(Aaron Sorkin) – The nomination seems pretty secure. If it starts taking
critics awards and gets a handful of SAG nominations, then this is our winner.
7. Sound of Metal (Darius
Marder) – If the Academy wants a break from all of the political choices in
contention, this could be a good outlet for them. Like I stated before, this
could be 2020’s Whiplash. The sound
category seems like a lock for this film, which has become strangely more
important in recent years.
8. Judas and the Black Messiah
(Shaka King) – The movie has the opportunity to slay everyone with the right
release date, but they need to lock it in. I want to put it higher, but we
still really don’t know if it is coming out.
9. Soul (Pete Docter) – It seems
pretty odd to feel like an animated movie could be a lock for a nomination when
it has only happened 3 times, but everything points toward this being one of
Pixar’s finest efforts.
10. Minari (Lee Isaac Chung) –
The last decade or so haven’t been too kind for the Sundance darlings, but the
unanimous love for this story give it a leg up, and the other competition could
cancel each other out.
Others in contention
11. Da 5 Bloods (Spike Lee) –
The movie has the length and importance of a classic Oscar winner, but it just
doesn’t seem like anyone really cares right now. It needs a comeback tour.
12. Mar Rainey’s Black Bottom
(George C. Wolfe) – Netflix has so many contenders. This could be one that
gets the acting love but left out of the major category conversation.
13. The United States vs. Billie
Holiday (Lee Daniels) – I like that the movie is lying in the weeds. So
many times people get tired of hearing about the same few movies, so this late
February release is the key to its contender status.
14. The Midnight Sky (George
Clooney) – When Clooney makes a movie, it is worth putting here. Sometimes
his movies are overly silly, but he is one of the most beloved figures around.
The movie looks pretty breathtaking, but we will see how it plays on small
screens.
15. Never Rarely Sometimes Always
(Eliza Hittman) – This is another one of the early year contenders that was
actually seen in some theaters. It had universally positive reviews, but it
could be a bit too bleak for the Oscar game.
16. The Card Counter (Paul
Schrader) – If it gets released, it could make a run at some nominations.
Schrader’s last film was “snubbed” in a bunch of categories, so the Academy
could want to make up for that.
17. Tenet (Christopher Nolan) –
I still hold to my prediction that if this had been really good, it would have
been a lock for a nomination. It is just such a confusing movie that its
admirable efforts are hard to really go for.
That’s all I have for now!
Did I overlook anything? What is your pick for Best Picture right now? Let me
know in the comments.
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